![]() |
Originally Posted by FlyingKat
(Post 1697580)
These guys now are paying what it cost me for an instructor and the airplane for a mid 70s 172 DRY.
CPI Inflation Calculator |
Originally Posted by zondaracer
(Post 1697697)
What did you pay back then? At my school we have wet rates for C172s starting at $100 an hour. According to the government inflation calculator, $23 in 1975 = $100 in 2014.
|
Originally Posted by FlyingKat
(Post 1697580)
But what you are missing here is the way we all used to build time, rather than pay the "big bucks" to get hired at 300 hours are slowly drying up. The environment is very different from 10 or even 5 years ago. Mom and pop flight schools are shutting down all over the place due to lack of students and the increased cost of flying in general. These guys now are paying what it cost me for an instructor and the airplane for a mid 70s 172 DRY. Plus all the check operations have dried up. The few opportunities that are left are being targeted by regional airlines to create a pipeline for these college grads to build time for the restricted ATP. Plus some of the flight requirements for the ATP have increased as well. Building the 1500 hours was the easy part, but getting all the instrument, night, and XC could be difficult for a CFI.
Not saying I advocate going head over heels into debt for this job (I didn't). But going "the hard way" has gotten a hell of a lot harder due to the new ATP rule and the decreasing opportunities for time building jobs. As for time building, the system over all isn't just going to need wet commercial tickets (even if we did eliminate the new mins) but also mass quantities of new instructors. There isn't much pipeline productivity to gain by trying to shave off a few hundred hours when any instructor that wants to can get 80+ hours a month anyway. Yet the same A4A types that squeal about higher mins aren't doing jack squat to address the true bottom end which is new pilot and new instructor supply. The slight amount of spool up we're seeing on that end is almost exclusively coming from fantasy camp business models thinking everyone needs to pay 6 figures for ratings and everything has to be done in brand new quarter million dollar overpriced G1000 suite aircraft. That is rediculous. If a legacy is truly worried about staffing its feeders, they need to ramp up (or just buy and expand) a 141/61 flight school, fill it with cheap used high time 2-4 seat round dial planes and sell ratings for cost. Problem solved. But these days anything "education" is raging on government steroids. If a major in French ceramics cost 6 figures, I guess an aviation degree and a couple ratings has to be more, right? :rolleyes: Also, why aren't they lobbying for another general aviation revitalization act? The trial lawyer lobby hated the last one, and their spin machine is back up again, calling for the skies to be raining down with our precious children if the noble defenders of justice can't shotgun sue anyone and anything for every accident but the last act was a HUGE success. Its time for another one. |
Originally Posted by JamesNoBrakes
(Post 1697736)
Something has to give at that price IMO. Does it have a mogas STC? Hows the maint and A/C condition? What's the rental place's record for events?
|
Originally Posted by zondaracer
(Post 1697697)
What did you pay back then? At my school we have wet rates for C172s starting at $100 an hour. According to the government inflation calculator, $23 in 1975 = $100 in 2014.
CPI Inflation Calculator I paid $75 an hour for the 172 with an instructor wet ten years ago. $50 an hour solo. With inflation that comes to $95 an hour for the plane and instruction. So your quoted rate for an airplane wet is $5 more than I paid for an airplane and an instructor. |
The 61 mom and pop schools have been going out of business for years - I owned mine in PHN (Port Huron MI) in the late 90's. We were a lasergrade testing center - That was taken away by the FAA because we didn't do the requisite mimimum number per year (what does it matter? WE bought the equipment.) It sure helped though when my four aircraft fleet flew 10 hours in February.
We sold charts - the FAA took that away from us becuase we didn't sell the requisite minimum. That helped too. Insurance on a 1981 Cessna 172 went from $2500 per year to 10K per year for training and rental (we never made a claim or ever missed a payment). Of course I could have had $10,000 deductibles and sued the students but I didn't. The opinions here about low student starts are spot on. Eventually when the ATP pipeline dries up that will be the problem. Then there's the "if they paid more, ATPs would materialize" theory. But those guys (much like myself) are getting older and more cynical. How many would REALLY come back? |
Originally Posted by Std Deviation
(Post 1697968)
The 61 mom and pop schools have been going out of business for years - I owned mine in PHN (Port Huron MI) in the late 90's. We were a lasergrade testing center - That was taken away by the FAA because we didn't do the requisite mimimum number per year (what does it matter? WE bought the equipment.) It sure helped though when my four aircraft fleet flew 10 hours in February.
We sold charts - the FAA took that away from us becuase we didn't sell the requisite minimum. That helped too. Insurance on a 1981 Cessna 172 went from $2500 per year to 10K per year for training and rental (we never made a claim or ever missed a payment). Of course I could have had $10,000 deductibles and sued the students but I didn't. The opinions here about low student starts are spot on. Eventually when the ATP pipeline dries up that will be the problem. Then there's the "if they paid more, ATPs would materialize" theory. But those guys (much like myself) are getting older and more cynical. How many would REALLY come back? |
Originally Posted by gloopy
(Post 1697807)
The 300 hour wonder pilot is and always has been a giant myth. Yes it happened, but very, very rarely in numbers or time periods. UAL went crazy doing that for different reasons for a short while, and some regionals did it too for a very limited time. The vast majority of regionals always required "12 and 2" or greater, if not by policy then certainly to be competitive, even when smaller legacy airlines were hiring more per year than they are now. Even when regionals were wasting pilot talent flying pax around 19-30 at a time. Saying the regional industry needs 300 hour wonder pukes to staff flights is a cosmic joke. They don't and they never did, even during the record hiring of the late 90's.
As for time building, the system over all isn't just going to need wet commercial tickets (even if we did eliminate the new mins) but also mass quantities of new instructors. There isn't much pipeline productivity to gain by trying to shave off a few hundred hours when any instructor that wants to can get 80+ hours a month anyway. Yet the same A4A types that squeal about higher mins aren't doing jack squat to address the true bottom end which is new pilot and new instructor supply. The slight amount of spool up we're seeing on that end is almost exclusively coming from fantasy camp business models thinking everyone needs to pay 6 figures for ratings and everything has to be done in brand new quarter million dollar overpriced G1000 suite aircraft. That is rediculous. If a legacy is truly worried about staffing its feeders, they need to ramp up (or just buy and expand) a 141/61 flight school, fill it with cheap used high time 2-4 seat round dial planes and sell ratings for cost. Problem solved. But these days anything "education" is raging on government steroids. If a major in French ceramics cost 6 figures, I guess an aviation degree and a couple ratings has to be more, right? :rolleyes: Also, why aren't they lobbying for another general aviation revitalization act? The trial lawyer lobby hated the last one, and their spin machine is back up again, calling for the skies to be raining down with our precious children if the noble defenders of justice can't shotgun sue anyone and anything for every accident but the last act was a HUGE success. Its time for another one. |
Originally Posted by gloopy
(Post 1697807)
The 300 hour wonder pilot is and always has been a giant myth. Yes it happened, but very, very rarely in numbers or time periods. UAL went crazy doing that for different reasons for a short while, and some regionals did it too for a very limited time. The vast majority of regionals always required "12 and 2" or greater, if not by policy then certainly to be competitive, even when smaller legacy airlines were hiring more per year than they are now. Even when regionals were wasting pilot talent flying pax around 19-30 at a time. Saying the regional industry needs 300 hour wonder pukes to staff flights is a cosmic joke. They don't and they never did, even during the record hiring of the late 90's.
As for time building, the system over all isn't just going to need wet commercial tickets (even if we did eliminate the new mins) but also mass quantities of new instructors. There isn't much pipeline productivity to gain by trying to shave off a few hundred hours when any instructor that wants to can get 80+ hours a month anyway. Yet the same A4A types that squeal about higher mins aren't doing jack squat to address the true bottom end which is new pilot and new instructor supply. The slight amount of spool up we're seeing on that end is almost exclusively coming from fantasy camp business models thinking everyone needs to pay 6 figures for ratings and everything has to be done in brand new quarter million dollar overpriced G1000 suite aircraft. That is rediculous. If a legacy is truly worried about staffing its feeders, they need to ramp up (or just buy and expand) a 141/61 flight school, fill it with cheap used high time 2-4 seat round dial planes and sell ratings for cost. Problem solved. But these days anything "education" is raging on government steroids. If a major in French ceramics cost 6 figures, I guess an aviation degree and a couple ratings has to be more, right? :rolleyes: Also, why aren't they lobbying for another general aviation revitalization act? The trial lawyer lobby hated the last one, and their spin machine is back up again, calling for the skies to be raining down with our precious children if the noble defenders of justice can't shotgun sue anyone and anything for every accident but the last act was a HUGE success. Its time for another one.
Originally Posted by zondaracer
(Post 1697697)
What did you pay back then? At my school we have wet rates for C172s starting at $100 an hour. According to the government inflation calculator, $23 in 1975 = $100 in 2014.
CPI Inflation Calculator Or, to put it another way... 1996 minimum wage was $4.75. It took 7157 hours to earn $33,900. Today, minimum wage is $7.25. Today it takes 7103 hours to earn $51,500. Eitherway, it is a wash. Expensive then, expensive now. |
Originally Posted by block30
(Post 1697977)
In a nutshell, what do you see as the solution(s)? Serious question. And yes, I know an FBO that fell below FAA minimums and got all those things you mentioned yanked. :mad:
There is no spoon. Until then, Bless God. |
| All times are GMT -8. The time now is 01:35 AM. |
Website Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands