End Of The Regionals
 

Conservatively 600 plus pilots are leaving the regionals each month.

No doubt there are pilots who are not trying to leave, but what percentage of each carrier is that?

What is the date of the door closing?

Mid 2016????

Time for pilots flying $30 million dollar aircraft with 70 plus passengers to get paid $100,000 minimum for a first officer.

600 are leaving? Where is that statistic coming from? If true, you would be correct that the regionals would be in a great deal of trouble.

However, I think if 600 pilots are leaving, 450 of them are making a lateral move and taking another regional job.

If you think regionals are going, you're smoking dope. No way is that happening--they still represent about 50% of the departures. As sure as the sun rises, there will be an event--fuel, war, economy--that will bring the industry low. Contracts will be renegotiated, scope changed and 90-seaters will be the new RJ.

GF

Can I get some of what you're on?

The regionals are no longer 50% of US departures, and major/legacy pilots out number regional pilots 2:1 now. The trend, thankfully, is going the correct direction.

Will they die? Nah...definitely not. Hopefully the trend continues in the correct direction.

I would love to see the details of your 600/month. Even the big 3 see less than an average of 600 a YEAR each. So at the highest average peak, 2000 pilots a year head to the big 3 and that doesn't include military, corporate, cargo etc.

Even with a liberal number of 100 guys a month at each if the big 3, that's 3600/year. Compared to your 7200/year leaving the regionals. So where are the rest going?
Jumping ship to other regionals, quitting the profession?

I don't pay too much attention but even the bigger regionals like Skywest and Expressjet lose well under 100 a month.
With numbers like you are "conservatively" posting, the regionals wouldn't have a single pilot within a few years.

Nope. Wish you were on to something here though....

Flamebait. Gzsg does this all the time. He states a total unsubstantiated figure as fact then throws out a few questions to get people going.

End Of The Regionals
 

600 are leaving and 599 of them are going to a different regional.

With 1000 lining up to replace them.