Haha what changes will there be? Management is doing better than they've done before. Everything is running great, still a bunch of planes out there making Hulas tons of cash. Revolving door for pilots which keep costs low. All they have to do is lose a few planes, staffing will be normal again. TSA has no value. The American flying can be transferred whenever they want it back, the XRs are owned by United. It's a paper company. I can see a consolidation with gojet if gojet loses their contracts but that's it.

You speak as if United has any more interest vested in TSA other than that you fly some 145s for them. They have other regionals they are much more heavily vested in that would likely see improvements and agreements before TSA ever did.

Yup Im gonna have to agree with this. The regional market is very dynamic and in a constant state of flux right now. Though TSA is reactionary, we (management) will react. How they react and weather it will be appropriate, that is the question!

I find it kind of humorous that those at the AA WOs think that its all gravy from here and that nothing bad could ever happen to them. Not that I wish anything bad to happen, I dont, but a little peak at history will reveal that everything is a Sin wave. Go up today, slide back down tomorrow. That is why it is always said that timing is everything. Im glad we are on the leading edge of the wave, but at some point the trend will reverse itself.

Never said that. What I said is changes are in the wind. I could see TSA being bought, I could also see them buying somebody else and moving the XRs there. Either way they are going to need pilots. Its a pilots market and whether my paycheck says TSA or somebody else I don't care. All I care about is maximizing my income.

The advantage TSA has is our contracts are competitive and we only have 15 airplanes flying for AA that could be ditched quickly if needed. And we are a vessel UAL could use to get their hands on the MRJ. Heard from some Expressjet guys that UAL has already approached Skywest about legacy Expressjet and was told they had to take the whole operation including legacy ASA and UAL balked. TSA and Commutair both would be easy to buy and getting rid of 15 145s for AA would be easy. Skywest, Expressjet, Republic and Mesa would be much more complicated because of the amount of flying they have for Delta and AA. I don't see UAL developing a competitive program to mainline without a flow, and I don't see a flow unless UAL owns its lift.

Then again, they could park more RJs and move more flying to UAL. Again we all win because they will still need the pilots. 2017 is gonna be an interesting year.

Exactly. This is a pattern bargaining business. Just because you have the best deal today, doesn't mean it will be the best in six months or a year.

No one at the AA WOs thinks their on some sort of "gravy train". There is a reason that attrition is so high at the WOs. Pilots are leaving for greener pastures.

Interesting. I have heard so many people talk about how great the WOs are. Quick upgrades, high pay, awesome QOL. So much so that we have lost a high number of FOs to the AA WOs. Soooooooooo, your telling me that all these guys are getting suckered?

They are a good place to be right now and likely for the foreseeable future. They aren't for everyone though. I never said anyone was getting suckered. You're trying to infer something that just isn't in what I said. My point is that no regional is a "gravy train". The WOs are one of the best places to be in the regional world until something better comes along.

Lol. I don't wish anything bad to happen at TSA. I have a lot of friends there. And I didn't want to leave. I did so because of "the writing on the wall." Wishing for something bad to happen versus saying what I think will or won't happen are two different things. I hope UAL and TSA do up the ante. It would be good for everyone there and all regionals in general. But my opinion is that this won't happen...

UAL has been forced to do something... they bought 49% of CommutAir and ordered 65 737-700's while publicaly stating they will be drastically cutting their regional carriers with a focus on slashing the number of 50 seaters in operation and focusing on bringing flying back in house between now and 2020. So my opinion is that I do not think UAL is going to pay a contract carrier to throw large bonuses at new hires to boost staffing numbers. And I don't think they will buy any regionals.... Maybe CommutAir since they already own 49%. But I doubt it. These are opinions, not ill wishes for tsa or any other regional.

I do fully agree with you there it looks like there will be some major consolidation between several regional carriers moving forward. That has to happen for companies to survive.

What revolving door for pilots? Have you seen our newhire classes lately? We've parked just about everything but the XRs on the United side. If they have to send those back the company is in big trouble, and Gojet will not be the only one to lose contracts. Change will occur because if it doesn't TSA will be in big trouble and upper management knows it. What kind of and how significant the change is will be interesting to see.