I have been hearing and reading on here the company is going to limit NHs to 30 per month or per class going forward. I guess this won’t take too long before we find out the validity of this information.
Many are guessing it’s to let the back log unclog but I think it may have more to do with the CA FO imbalance that would happen if we continue to hire 900 pilots this year. I’m guessing since we are running out of FOs to upgrade we don’t need as many FOs anymore. The 2017 NHs won’t have the 1000 hours until 2019-2020. If we hired another 900 pilots this year I’m guessing we would have more than 1500 pilots with less than a 1000 hours by the end of the year. I’m guessing we are going to be some what neutral on CA growth this year. 300-350 gone with Flow AND attrition to OAL. 2016 guys will start coming of age to be upgraded and they may account for 250-300 added to the 150 that was just forced to upgrade.