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Old 09-02-2016, 01:32 PM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by saturn View Post
Thats a good pilot rumor. You realize that they ordered 100 firm, 100 options. This 200 MRJ deal is worth 8.4 BILLION. You think they can just order all that and then cancel without spending a dollar?All as a ploy to save $ from EMBRAER?
Without that SkyWest order, this aircraft wouldn't likely of entered production. It is what justified building this airplane, with nearly 50% of all orders. Mitsubishi had to have had strong assurances or severe penalties to undertake this whole project if SkyWest canceled. Its too massive of risk (tens of billions) otherwise.
I never said it wouldn't cost them anything. If you think the bean-counters haven't crunched the numbers every way possible, then I don't know what to tell you. SkyWest does not have to even cancel, they can sell their slots or make other deals. The fact that this plane was supposed to be here 3 years ago doesn't really help Mitsubishi's bargaining position.
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Old 09-02-2016, 02:17 PM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by word302 View Post
I never said it wouldn't cost them anything. If you think the bean-counters haven't crunched the numbers every way possible, then I don't know what to tell you. SkyWest does not have to even cancel, they can sell their slots or make other deals. The fact that this plane was supposed to be here 3 years ago doesn't really help Mitsubishi's bargaining position.
I agree, I think they have accounted for various scenarios financially. What I doubt is that this historically fiscally conservative company would make a 8 bil order, having no intention of actually flying them, all as a risky gamble to gain leverage with another manufacturer. I think that played into it, but I actually think they intended to fly them when they made that order. Sure they can sell slots, but that's a backup plan. It would be foolish to order 100 firm paper airplanes with the Plan A always being to resale them. They will have a hard time selling all 100 slots, there are only 240 total firm for the MRJ, and not much demand outside US regionals. If I wanted to show other manufacturers I can go elsewhere, I order 10 or 20, not 100-200. That's a lot of liability.
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Old 09-02-2016, 02:28 PM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by saturn View Post
I agree, I think they have accounted for various scenarios financially. What I doubt is that this historically fiscally conservative company would make a 8 bil order, having no intention of actually flying them, all as a risky gamble to gain leverage with another manufacturer. I think that played into it, but I actually think they intended to fly them when they made that order. Sure they can sell slots, but that's a backup plan. It would be foolish to order 100 firm paper airplanes with the Plan A always being to resale them. They will have a hard time selling all 100 slots, there are only 240 total firm for the MRJ, and not much demand outside US regionals. If I wanted to show other manufacturers I can go elsewhere, I order 10 or 20, not 100-200. That's a lot of liability.
They can lease them out if scope isn't relaxed. That's a lot of debt to take on, though, for a company like SkyWest.
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Old 09-02-2016, 02:30 PM
  #54  
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Originally Posted by Nantonaku View Post
My question is will the MRJ fly ever? They can't even get it over here for testing. How many years behind schedule is it?
That's not really fair. The problem was in the A/C sensors. Hardly a show stopper, they just wanted to be safe.

And don't forget Mitsubishi is basically making its first new plane in 60 years. It is essentially starting from scratch. That's a brutal learning curve and they have paid for it. Are you forgetting all the Dreamliner problems?

I'd fly on an MRJ over that Chinese plane any day of the week. Japanese quality vs. Chinese quality? Not even a contest.
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Old 09-02-2016, 03:00 PM
  #55  
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Originally Posted by word302 View Post
OO ordered these to use as a bargaining chip with Embraer and Bombardier. I doubt they ever planned to take delivery.
Says the regional pilot with all the back room inside information.
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Old 09-02-2016, 03:14 PM
  #56  
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Originally Posted by CBreezy View Post
Says the regional pilot with all the back room inside information.
I forgot. What is your position again? Give me a break.
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Old 09-02-2016, 04:16 PM
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Originally Posted by word302 View Post
I forgot. What is your position again? Give me a break.
Not one who parades on the internet claiming to have inside information about the private dealings of an airline when all they are qualified to do is fly airplanes.
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Old 09-02-2016, 04:42 PM
  #58  
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Default How many do we really need?

With the present fleet, the fleet on order, and projections for the near- and mid-range future, how many Regional aircraft types, made by how many aircraft manufacturers, can the global air system economically absorb?

You can only afford to spend so much national pride (read: subsidies). We've seen Canadian Pride. Now we may be seeing Chinese Pride, Japanese Pride, Ukrainian Pride,...

The concept of 'Too big to allow failure' is getting a workout.
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Old 09-02-2016, 05:01 PM
  #59  
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Originally Posted by Ordell View Post
That's not really fair. The problem was in the A/C sensors. Hardly a show stopper, they just wanted to be safe.

And don't forget Mitsubishi is basically making its first new plane in 60 years. It is essentially starting from scratch. That's a brutal learning curve and they have paid for it. Are you forgetting all the Dreamliner problems?

I'd fly on an MRJ over that Chinese plane any day of the week. Japanese quality vs. Chinese quality? Not even a contest.
That is funny you bring up the Dreamliner and Japanese quality - a huge problem with the Dreamliner was cracks in the wings due to parts made by? Yep, a company in Japan - Mitsubishi. And you don't think a large number of parts in this new plane will be built in China? Unless the US major airlines buy into this project then how do they plan on making money?
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Old 09-02-2016, 05:47 PM
  #60  
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Originally Posted by Mercyful Fate View Post
Insecure? What do I have to be insecure about, don't have a horse in this race.

You guys wont hold scope, and you know it because history says so. You guys have a history of folding like a shirt on stuff like this.
You are going off of past actions, I'm basing my info on the current Intel from the company and our negotiatiors. You can believe anything you want. Like I said earlier, there is a chance more 76 seat RJs will be allowed and given to whomever will park their 50 seat aircraft. No one here is talking about an increase in MGTOW.

I guess we will just have to wait and see who's right...
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