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onedolla 09-17-2022 04:15 PM


Originally Posted by canucker (Post 3496761)
What's the impression that with these negotiations, the training pay will be fixed?

There are no impressions yet.

flyingmonkeys 09-17-2022 08:03 PM

Rumor going around is the company is motivated to get something done. Maybe not a final TA but something in the short term at least comparable to B6 rates by the end of the year. That’s not good enough obviously but at least it’s something until a deal is reached.

sioux8ships 09-18-2022 07:02 AM


Originally Posted by flyingmonkeys (Post 3496842)
Rumor going around is the company is motivated to get something done. Maybe not a final TA but something in the short term at least comparable to B6 rates by the end of the year. That’s not good enough obviously but at least it’s something until a deal is reached.

You can wish in one hand and crap in the other- see which one fills up faster.

Excargodog 09-18-2022 08:13 AM


Originally Posted by sioux8ships (Post 3496955)
You can wish in one hand and crap in the other- see which one fills up faster.

This^^^

Perhaps if the vote actually goes through JB would apply some pressure to try to manage NK attrition. Perhaps not. I’m not all that sure that JB is trying to buy NK for their pilot group. They have a lot of 320ceos that are long in the tooth. They may just be buying an order book of newer and more fuel efficient aircraft and whatever of the existing pilot group happens to have stuck around. Yeah, they too have NEOs on order, but clearly a lot of aircraft are being bought for replacement, not expansion, including replacement of their 190s in the near future.

Which is another thing causing NK FOs to look elsewhere. The days of three year upgrades at NK are pretty much gone for good. You can probably upgrade faster at AA, UA, or DL, if you don’t mind eternal reserve in SFO, LAX, or EWR.

SSlow 09-18-2022 08:55 AM


Originally Posted by sioux8ships (Post 3496955)
You can wish in one hand and crap in the other- see which one fills up faster.

Oh man, there's a few on this thread about to have an epic meltdown after reading this

baseball3792 09-18-2022 09:43 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3496986)
This^^^

Perhaps if the vote actually goes through JB would apply some pressure to try to manage NK attrition. Perhaps not. I’m not all that sure that JB is trying to buy NK for their pilot group. They have a lot of 320ceos that are long in the tooth. They may just be buying an order book of newer and more fuel efficient aircraft and whatever of the existing pilot group happens to have stuck around. Yeah, they too have NEOs on order, but clearly a lot of aircraft are being bought for replacement, not expansion, including replacement of their 190s in the near future.

Which is another thing causing NK FOs to look elsewhere. The days of three year upgrades at NK are pretty much gone for good. You can probably upgrade faster at AA, UA, or DL, if you don’t mind eternal reserve in SFO, LAX, or EWR.

What is the most junior upgrade right now?

baseball3792 09-18-2022 09:46 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3496986)
This^^^

Perhaps if the vote actually goes through JB would apply some pressure to try to manage NK attrition. Perhaps not. I’m not all that sure that JB is trying to buy NK for their pilot group. They have a lot of 320ceos that are long in the tooth. They may just be buying an order book of newer and more fuel efficient aircraft and whatever of the existing pilot group happens to have stuck around. Yeah, they too have NEOs on order, but clearly a lot of aircraft are being bought for replacement, not expansion, including replacement of their 190s in the near future.

Which is another thing causing NK FOs to look elsewhere. The days of three year upgrades at NK are pretty much gone for good. You can probably upgrade faster at AA, UA, or DL, if you don’t mind eternal reserve in SFO, LAX, or EWR.

What is currently the most junior CA? And what’s the mock showing for that?

Excargodog 09-18-2022 10:26 AM


Originally Posted by baseball3792 (Post 3497025)
What is currently the most junior CA? And what’s the mock showing for that?

The mock assuming we are going to hire and keep an additional 300 FOs before the ‘what-if’ about six months out? And not lose any of the ones we currently have? Or that NONE of the 200 FOs senior to the junior CA who have been holding back to avoid reserve elect to upgrade? And that we are going to actually take all the aircraft on order - and not retire any of them? Are you talking about THAT what-if?

I think there may be a copy of that in the library - it’s in the Fiction section. The only thing that might make that come true is if the attrition of junior CAs actually increases which IS possible. But yeah, that might briefly restore a three year upgrade if ALL those things happened. And the more senior of those people might even keep CA if the SLI goes well. They’d be on reserve a LONG time though.

baseball3792 09-18-2022 10:37 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3497030)
The mock assuming we are going to hire and keep an additional 300 FOs before the ‘what-if’ about six months out? And not lose any of the ones we currently have? Or that NONE of the 200 FOs senior to the junior CA who have been holding back to avoid reserve elect to upgrade? And that we are going to actually take all the aircraft on order - and not retire any of them? Are you talking about THAT what-if?

I think there may be a copy of that in the library - it’s in the Fiction section. The only thing that might make that come true is if the attrition of junior CAs actually increases which IS possible. But yeah, that might briefly restore a three year upgrade if ALL those things happened. And the more senior of those people might even keep CA if the SLI goes well. They’d be on reserve a LONG time though.

I don’t know what it shows, hence why I asked :)

JulesWinfield 09-18-2022 11:06 AM


Originally Posted by baseball3792 (Post 3497035)
I don’t know what it shows, hence why I asked :)

July 21 hire. Not accurate though.

flyingmonkeys 09-18-2022 02:39 PM

I believe most junior CA award most recently went to an 8/19 hire

symbian simian 09-18-2022 03:07 PM

IDGAF about First Week (weak?) Openers. BTDT. Wake me up when we are ready for Last Week Closers. Last time the union published the old/new contract comparison. Unchanged language black, old language red, new language blue. Still remember reading reading the ever so important section 17, and the 5 or so words that had changed, and Bendo fighting over that for weeks.

Tranquility 09-18-2022 03:11 PM

I seem to remember section 9 taking what seemed like an entire year to TA…. And they want help in streamlining training?! Okaaaaaaay….
They wouldn’t have to train so many pilots if attrition weren’t so bad, which comes back to a few other sections in the contract not even remotely related to section 9….

symbian simian 09-18-2022 03:23 PM


Originally Posted by Tranquility (Post 3497106)
I seem to remember section 9 taking what seemed like an entire year to TA…. And they want help in streamlining training?! Okaaaaaaay….
They wouldn’t have to train so many pilots if attrition weren’t so bad, which comes back to a few other sections in the contract not even remotely related to section 9….

And our S9 is still the worst out there. Don't expect DLA trip buys here, but the way the our LCAs totally run over seniority like it's not there.... They should have LCA bid like regular Captains. And put all of them on the FO no fly list so their trips stay open on the FO side, to be assigned for training or FO open time later.

sioux8ships 09-18-2022 04:20 PM


Originally Posted by symbian simian (Post 3497109)
And our S9 is still the worst out there. Don't expect DLA trip buys here, but the way the our LCAs totally run over seniority like it's not there.... They should have LCA bid like regular Captains. And put all of them on the FO no fly list so their trips stay open on the FO side, to be assigned for training or FO open time later.

No doubt! Been saying this for years! No seniority when it comes to LCA, total bs. CAs should be bought off their trips if they want them for training!

Stratoliner 09-19-2022 08:54 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3496986)
Which is another thing causing NK FOs to look elsewhere. The days of three year upgrades at NK are pretty much gone for good. You can probably upgrade faster at AA, UA, or DL, if you don’t mind eternal reserve in SFO, LAX, or EWR.

With the current attrition rate why exactly would upgrade times become longer and longer?

DrSteveBrule 09-19-2022 09:09 AM


Originally Posted by Stratoliner (Post 3497332)
With the current attrition rate why exactly would upgrade times become longer and longer?

Because largely losing low seniority FOs, and cant keep making captains if there's no FOs to staff enough lines to justify more upgrades.

JulesWinfield 09-19-2022 12:48 PM


Originally Posted by DrSteveBrule (Post 3497352)
Because largely losing low seniority FOs, and cant keep making captains if there's no FOs to staff enough lines to justify more upgrades.

Most of the attrition has come from relatively senior FOs and junior captains, with a mix of lower seniority people.

SlimBob 09-20-2022 04:36 PM


Originally Posted by sioux8ships (Post 3497129)
No doubt! Been saying this for years! No seniority when it comes to LCA, total bs. CAs should be bought off their trips if they want them for training!

I hear this a lot on the line. Captains are upset at LCA when they didn't do anything to deserve it. And they don't even pick the trips they're on. Maybe they should get what their seniority warrants but that shouldn't open up to scrutiny from their peers.

afterburn81 09-20-2022 07:25 PM


Originally Posted by BananaHammock (Post 3495248)
This guy right here, is right.

Unless we get substantial raises across the board AND significant contract/QoL improvements there is no reason to be first.

Yeah but, a wise-man once said: If you ain’t first, you’re last.

BananaHammock 09-21-2022 03:57 AM


Originally Posted by afterburn81 (Post 3498306)
Yeah but, a wise-man once said: If you ain’t first, you’re last.

Ok, let's play your imaginary game.

Make believe numbers let's say our current pay compared to the legacies puts us within a 15% delta of earning potential.

We go ahead and accept a 'good deal' on paper, then the legacies make their deals.

After all the deals are made our earning potential compared to the legacies only puts us at a 25% delta.

WOW, glad we were first though ! we can hang our hats on being first ! what a an achievement !!! we should be sooooo proud !!!

GTFOH

flyingmonkeys 09-21-2022 04:28 AM


Originally Posted by BananaHammock (Post 3498384)
Ok, let's play your imaginary game.

Make believe numbers let's say our current pay compared to the legacies puts us within a 15% delta of earning potential.

We go ahead and accept a 'good deal' on paper, then the legacies make their deals.

After all the deals are made our earning potential compared to the legacies only puts us at a 25% delta.

WOW, glad we were first though ! we can hang our hats on being first ! what a an achievement !!! we should be sooooo proud !!!

GTFOH

maybe we can get a clause in our cba that says our pay can never trail legacy airbus pay by more than x percentage.

Excargodog 09-21-2022 06:40 AM


Originally Posted by BananaHammock (Post 3498384)
Ok, let's play your imaginary game.

Make believe numbers let's say our current pay compared to the legacies puts us within a 15% delta of earning potential.

We go ahead and accept a 'good deal' on paper, then the legacies make their deals.

After all the deals are made our earning potential compared to the legacies only puts us at a 25% delta.

WOW, glad we were first though ! we can hang our hats on being first ! what a an achievement !!! we should be sooooo proud !!!

GTFOH

On the flip side, how much might we lose if we drag this out two plus years staying on the same contract until the JCBA? Not only do we lose the money we might have made, we make a low ball JCBA offer look better, because it would be an even greater improvement over the current contract than an interim LOA or contract would have been.

Let’s be real, NK already lags B6 rates by ~25%, and they opened negotiations already. Simply pegging NK pay to B6 pay would start the ball rolling quicker, provide more short term gain, and set NK AND B6 pilot groups up better for a higher joint expectation on the JCBA. And don’t overlook the time value of money. $$ in your 401k today are worth more than the same dollars in their two years from now - unless you are buying Bolivian tin futures or something.

Excargodog 09-21-2022 06:43 AM


Originally Posted by flyingmonkeys (Post 3498390)
maybe we can get a clause in our cba that says our pay can never trail legacy airbus pay by more than x percentage.

So when the first over leveraged legacy gets forced into bankruptcy and the judge forces a concessionaire contract on their pilot group the pay goes down? Be sure to build an only upward ratchet into that clause.

dualinput 09-21-2022 07:14 AM

Can we please stop this. No one is doing the NC any favors here. Let them do their job instead of undermining them.

FlyGuy2002 09-21-2022 07:29 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3498444)
On the flip side, how much might we lose if we drag this out two plus years staying on the same contract until the JCBA? Not only do we lose the money we might have made, we make a low ball JCBA offer look better, because it would be an even greater improvement over the current contract than an interim LOA or contract would have been.

Let’s be real, NK already lags B6 rates by ~25%, and they opened negotiations already. Simply pegging NK pay to B6 pay would start the ball rolling quicker, provide more short term gain, and set NK AND B6 pilot groups up better for a higher joint expectation on the JCBA. And don’t overlook the time value of money. $$ in your 401k today are worth more than the same dollars in their two years from now - unless you are buying Bolivian tin futures or something.


couldn’t agree more . Well stated.

CincoDeMayo 09-21-2022 08:27 AM


Originally Posted by dualinput (Post 3498466)
Can we please stop this. No one is doing the NC any favors here. Let them do their job instead of undermining them.

Not to mention how stupid some of these ideas sound. People can vote when it comes time to vote.

flyingmonkeys 09-21-2022 12:08 PM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3498448)
So when the first over leveraged legacy gets forced into bankruptcy and the judge forces a concessionaire contract on their pilot group the pay goes down? Be sure to build an only upward ratchet into that clause.

Yes that’s pretty much what I meant. Our pay doesn’t always have to trail by xxx amount… just can never trail more than xxx

MCDUmanipulator 09-21-2022 05:09 PM


Originally Posted by dualinput (Post 3498466)
Can we please stop this. No one is doing the NC any favors here. Let them do their job instead of undermining them.

maybe because nobody has any faith in the NC or company.

JulesWinfield 09-21-2022 05:44 PM


Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 3498830)
maybe because nobody has any faith in the NC or company.

Do you think posting here will help?

MCDUmanipulator 09-21-2022 08:40 PM


Originally Posted by JulesWinfield (Post 3498866)
Do you think posting here will help?

dont think what 5-10 pilots say on a forum has any affect on negotiations.

king10pin02 09-22-2022 04:37 AM


Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 3498939)
dont think what 5-10 pilots say on a forum has any affect on negotiations.

flashback to TRO……

dualinput 09-22-2022 05:01 AM


Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 3498939)
dont think what 5-10 pilots say on a forum has any affect on negotiations.

You’d be wrong.

I didn’t think social media could have any affect on an insurrection happening. The voice of a few is on the internet can turn into the thoughts of many.

CincoDeMayo 09-22-2022 05:12 AM


Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 3498939)
dont think what 5-10 pilots say on a forum has any affect on negotiations.

Haha. This statement just shows how new you are.

BluNK 09-22-2022 06:01 AM

First Week Openers
 

Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 3498939)
dont think what 5-10 pilots say on a forum has any affect on negotiations.


You must be new here……


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Excargodog 09-22-2022 06:02 AM


Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 3498939)
dont think what 5-10 pilots say on a forum has any affect on negotiations.


Originally Posted by dualinput (Post 3499024)
You’d be wrong.

I didn’t think social media could have any affect on an insurrection happening. The voice of a few is on the internet can turn into the thoughts of many.

Yeah, look at what happened at UA when their NC and MEC tried to sell the pilots down the river with the concessionary TUMI TA. The MEC recalls sent the company back pedaling pretty quickly. By and large I think expressing pilot expectations online is a good thing, as long as one doesn’t cross the line to publicly advocating illegal work actions which might get the pilot group in trouble. Otherwise the MEC might think you’d be willing to sell out all commuting reservists for a suitcase or something. Or screw over all the new hires for “leverage.”

CincoDeMayo 09-22-2022 06:13 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3499050)
Yeah, look at what happened at UA when their NC and MEC tried to sell the pilots down the river with the concessionary TUMI TA. The MEC recalls sent the company back pedaling pretty quickly. By and large I think expressing pilot expectations online is a good thing, as long as one doesn’t cross the line to publicly advocating illegal work actions which might get the pilot group in trouble. Otherwise the MEC might think you’d be willing to sell out all commuting reservists for a suitcase or something. Or screw over all the new hires for “leverage.”

Loving this first year pay leverage! That pay is perfect until we get gains for everyone.

Anddddddddd go….

DrSteveBrule 09-22-2022 06:59 AM


Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 3498939)
dont think what 5-10 pilots say on a forum has any affect on negotiations.

NOOB! Come on. You work for NK and don't know?

gatorbird 09-22-2022 11:00 AM


Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 3498939)
dont think what 5-10 pilots say on a forum has any affect on negotiations.

The US District Court Judge for the Southern District of Florida has entered the chat.

MCDUmanipulator 09-22-2022 11:36 AM

Have you seen anyone on here advocating for illegal things? Nope. Just people throwing pay rates around.


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