Airline Pilot Central Forums

Airline Pilot Central Forums (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/)
-   Spirit (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/spirit/)
-   -   Kirby was WRONG! (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/spirit/151926-kirby-wrong.html)

BenS 04-24-2026 12:15 PM


Originally Posted by Midsomer (Post 4027408)
Is it really an oversupply. The legacy and regionals could absorb all the NK pilots with planned hiring. However the downward pressure on wages will be the lower margins of the war effects and overall economic uncertainty.

I don’t root for spirits demise but the predict the fall of airline travel and further job losses on spirit being gone is unrealistic. Also I don’t think Cruz’s district alone would see 500 million impact from spirit’s demise. Show the math on that one please.

Finally what changes with a 500 million dollar investment? Does spirit cut deeper to make themselves smaller? That results in job losses also but as long as it doesn’t get you then that okay? The business fundamentals of spirit don’t work. While it may have in the past, the other carriers adapted while spirit didn’t. It’s a business model problem at spirit not a fuel problem. Fuel has only accelerated the fall.

My reply was in reply to a guy who said Spirit liquidating won't affect his paycheck.. sure there's a million economic dynamics that go into whether UAs hiring went down this year because of reason X or Y or Z.. all conjecture is fair. But my question that was "does Spirit liquidating have an upward or downward pressure on wages?", the reply was "it won't affect mine".. and maybe your points are valid, maybe Spirit will liquidate and the job market won't destabilize.. but the point is, any excess of pilots looking for a job, without an equivalent excess of jobs.. is a downward pressure on wages.. so no, celebrating Spirits demise because you think it's good for your seniority or something, does ignore the total pressures that puts on the job market, even if it is just 2,000 pilots.. (then add in if creditors cut off high risk airlines right now, that's when things spiral where Avelo and Breeze lose the ability to get any funding to continue operations, F9 and JB spiral into furloughing 50%, Allegiant and Sun Country, Alaska, hell even AA and WN, need access to credit right now).. so am I engaging in hyperbole? Perhaps.. perhaps exaggerating broader market risk... But what if it does happen?? You just say "woops, cheered for the wrong team" from the furlough line?? Just saying.. it's a low risk, sure, but a risk that should be acknowledged..

As for the math about Ted Cruz's district alone could suffer $500mil+ in damages if Spirit liquidates? Sure, also hyperbole, perhaps.. I have no way of knowing how many Spirit pilots, gate agents, baggage handlers, etc live in his district.. but once unemployed, none of them pay federal/state/local income taxes, and all of them collect unemployment (a budget positive item becomes budget negative).. then take the number of flights Spirit operates near his district, times 176 seats, times 80-90% load factor.. and that's the number of people not flying to his district on any given day.. multiply that number by what the average tourist spends when visiting his district (lodging, food, entertainment, business, and commerce).. that's a dollar amount that Spirit brings no longer visiting his district.. "oh but pax will fly someone else".. if his home airport has an airline with seats to spare to bring them.. and then his constituents that will travel in the future, will spend 50-100% more on their tickets (based on the studies of Den, Phx, Msp) and that's hundreds of dollars times however many airline travellers live in his district, that go from being spent on local things to spending on necessary air travel..

So yes, his district is halfway between SAT and AUS, and it's not inconceivable to see hundreds of millions of dollars leave (or not come) to his district because of the demise of Spirit airlines...

Busdriver2 04-24-2026 12:16 PM


Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot (Post 4027416)
Spirit has a $450M DIP financing repayment due in July. This lets them pay that off and it they can get to profitability by July lets them possibly exit BK. But it’ not like they just get to keep $500M to keep burning and not pay back the DIP loans.

so Spirits been losing money for 61 months (to be fair first 2 years of Covid everyone was losing money) and you think in 2 months by July they can turn it around?

havoste 04-24-2026 12:28 PM

White House mulls using Defence Production Act in Spirit takeover

New details from CBS...Getting crazier by the headline.

Most surprising aspect is Spirit and United already went to the White House early April to sell Newark slots in a liquidation plan but white house rejected it

ChinaDenver 04-24-2026 01:40 PM


Originally Posted by havoste (Post 4027421)
White House mulls using Defence Production Act in Spirit takeover

New details from CBS...Getting crazier by the headline.

Most surprising aspect is Spirit and United already went to the White House early April to sell Newark slots in a liquidation plan but white house rejected it

Yeah - that Defense Production Act scenario (if true and not fake news) doesn't even pass the smirk test. In no way is Spirit even tangentially connected to any element of national defense unless it becomes a military charter airline.

LTJ9 04-24-2026 01:44 PM


Originally Posted by havoste (Post 4027421)
White House mulls using Defence Production Act in Spirit takeover

New details from CBS...Getting crazier by the headline.

Most surprising aspect is Spirit and United already went to the White House early April to sell Newark slots in a liquidation plan but white house rejected it

Trump officials rejected that idea. The federal government owns slots, which would be preserved to make Spirit more attractive for a future owner, one of the sources said.”

The Pentagon would use Spirit's excess capacity for transporting troops, military cargo or other missions, sources told CBS News.”


Chimpy 04-24-2026 01:48 PM


Originally Posted by LTJ9 (Post 4027440)
Trump officials rejected that idea. The federal government owns slots, which would be preserved to make Spirit more attractive for a future owner, one of the sources said.”

The Pentagon would use Spirit's excess capacity for transporting troops, military cargo or other missions, sources told CBS News.”


You forgot the last line of that article "Until they are acquired".

Essentially the government is going to subsidize NK until someone buys them.

LTJ9 04-24-2026 02:01 PM


Originally Posted by Chimpy (Post 4027442)
You forgot the last line of that article "Until they are acquired".

Essentially the government is going to subsidize NK until someone buys them.


Yes, you’re right and the other debtors will most likely only agree if there seems to be a high probability of a sale before liquidation, so they can get their money back.

“Under a bailout plan being discussed for Spirit, the government would lend Spirit $500 million and become the top debtor in the bankruptcy pecking order”


FriendlyPilot 04-24-2026 03:49 PM


Originally Posted by Chimpy (Post 4027442)
You forgot the last line of that article "Until they are acquired".

Essentially the government is going to subsidize NK until someone buys them.

JetBlue could get them for pennies on the dollar.

Stankhunt42 04-24-2026 03:58 PM


Originally Posted by MCDUmanipulator (Post 4027361)
how does getting rid of some of the lowest pay rates in the industry “drive our wages down”?

It does not…
His first paragraph is complete garbage that makes no logical sense.
The second paragraph is the typical virtue signal that anyone who dares comment on anything spirit and isn’t overly positive is a scumbag POS. I have not seen one person gloating or celebrating Spirit going down on any forum btw.
This is followed by an incoherent diatribe about more made up crap that makes no sense.

The actual point of the comment was that he wants you to know what a great person he is because he calls out the “haters”.

flier320 04-24-2026 03:58 PM


Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot (Post 4027492)
JetBlue could get them for pennies on the dollar.

jetblue is next one out......


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 05:06 PM.


Website Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands