Standards Meeting Notes
#21
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During a very short window in time (late '23 through early April '24 hires), we had new hires get CA slots in indoc. To my knowledge, nobody actually went to upgrade class after 350 hours, but they did start receiving CA pay at 350 hours.
However -- since the new hire CA phenomenon ended in April '24 (the last class to have NHCA slots was April 2, 2024) -- CA slots have gone WAY more senior. The current vacancy bid has the most junior NBCA at 61 pct system seniority. Lots and lots of senior FOs who delayed upgrade are now bidding for NBCA.
I' would be utterly astonished if we ever see CA slots being awarded in indoc ever again. We do have a large NBCA vacancy bid supposedly happening in November, and I can see upgrade dropping to maybe 2 years at that time. Which is of course ludicrously quick by any measure...
However -- since the new hire CA phenomenon ended in April '24 (the last class to have NHCA slots was April 2, 2024) -- CA slots have gone WAY more senior. The current vacancy bid has the most junior NBCA at 61 pct system seniority. Lots and lots of senior FOs who delayed upgrade are now bidding for NBCA.
I' would be utterly astonished if we ever see CA slots being awarded in indoc ever again. We do have a large NBCA vacancy bid supposedly happening in November, and I can see upgrade dropping to maybe 2 years at that time. Which is of course ludicrously quick by any measure...
#23
We just had a bid in February of this year where pilots under 3 years were getting Airbus CA, and it wasn't even a very big bid. Also we haven't had a Narrowbody bid since then, only a couple backfills, so to say "its gone senior" isn't really accurate since when you only have one backfill and its someone with 7,000 seniority number that's because its only one person so it isn't a fair picture of actual seniority.
It's anybody's guess whether the next NBCA bid will see those slots going to people with 2, 3, 4, or more years on property. The current snapshot reflects the FOMO we keep mentioning -- the very large number of senior FOs who delayed jumping the trash bag because they figured NBCA would always be available. When that dried up, it left a lot of them stuck in the right seat. In recent months as the new hire CAs finished upgrade training and started flying, a lot of those senior FOs wound up flying with people *way* junior to them.
And so I think you're going to continue to see a lot of those guys bidding NBCA in every foreseeable vacancy bid until they are awarded it. I can literally name 8 of my friends whom this describes perfectly, and that's just *one* BES I'm talking about, let alone all of our NB bases and aircraft types.
Regardless, though -- it's still incredible and unprecedented movement.
#24
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If you listen to Kirby on podcasts he wasn't allowed to implement hardly anything over there. Almost every time he tried to make a difference, he was shot down by Parker. American would be a much different airline right now if they had just let Kirby run it.
#26
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In addition to the previous responses, I'll add that this scenario is fairly unlikely in your time horizon. You'll more than likely get both the hours and the time before you'll get awarded a vacancy.
#28
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We just had a bid in February of this year where pilots under 3 years were getting Airbus CA, and it wasn't even a very big bid. Also we haven't had a Narrowbody bid since then, only a couple backfills, so to say "its gone senior" isn't really accurate since when you only have one backfill and its someone with 7,000 seniority number that's because its only one person so it isn't a fair picture of actual seniority.
#30
I don’t think you’ve read any of what Adam Smith actually wrote. Or maybe you’re being sarcastic.
But to suggest our system is “capitalism” is hilarious. Our government picks winners and losers all the time. The amount of government intervention in our system doesn’t resemble capitalism in any sense of what that word means. We also don’t have free markets. Which for our industry a good thing. See cabotage.
But I generally agree with your sentiment that a golden parachute for a CEO that destroys a company brings to mind the “moral hazard” term that became so popular after the 2008 financial crisis. Negligence and crooked practices should be punished.
I certainly prefer our system to whatever you want to call China or even European countries and Canada have.
But to suggest our system is “capitalism” is hilarious. Our government picks winners and losers all the time. The amount of government intervention in our system doesn’t resemble capitalism in any sense of what that word means. We also don’t have free markets. Which for our industry a good thing. See cabotage.
But I generally agree with your sentiment that a golden parachute for a CEO that destroys a company brings to mind the “moral hazard” term that became so popular after the 2008 financial crisis. Negligence and crooked practices should be punished.
I certainly prefer our system to whatever you want to call China or even European countries and Canada have.
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