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interesting...
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No scenario can match the envisioned potential cases of onboard fire, pressurization issue, smoke, etc.
The actions of waiting until a frequency handoff, turning a transponder to standby, turning initially left of course for a certain distance, and then another turn after several minutes southbound over the ocean, never communicating any intent, no mayday, no attempted change in altitude/climb/dive. It's fairly obvious these were deliberate actions by someone on the plane. Eliminating passengers (which the police investigators seem to have already done) and the culprits become the two upfront. Given their personal histories, the CA is suspect. |
Yeah that pretty much seals the deal (if accurate).
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Still leaves a lot of questions.
Originally Posted by rickair7777
(Post 2170626)
Yeah that pretty much seals the deal (if accurate).
This scenario relies on Zaharie Shah being a successful, happy, healthy, well adjusted person, with no financial troubles and a good support network around him, having some sort of invisible, persistent, silent psychotic break over the course of many weeks: From whenever the idea was originally formed, to rehearsing it on his simulator, to actually executing it several weeks later. That kind of invisible, un-triggered, long term mental crisis is almost unprecedented. There's been no evidence found of problems with Shah's health, finances, marriage, career, political views, etc. Coupled with the total lack of a suicide note or manifesto, it is really difficult to accept this theory, and also makes other theories, however far-fetched, look a little bit more plausible. |
Originally Posted by ShyGuy
(Post 2168592)
No scenario can match the envisioned potential cases of onboard fire, pressurization issue, smoke, etc.
The actions of waiting until a frequency handoff, turning a transponder to standby, turning initially left of course for a certain distance, and then another turn after several minutes southbound over the ocean, never communicating any intent, no mayday, no attempted change in altitude/climb/dive. It's fairly obvious these were deliberate actions by someone on the plane. Eliminating passengers (which the police investigators seem to have already done) and the culprits become the two upfront. Given their personal histories, the CA is suspect.
Originally Posted by abelenky
(Post 2171848)
I don't think the new home simulator evidence, combined with the other facts (waiting until a frequency handoff, transponder to standby, multiple course adjustments) really closes the case just yet.
This scenario relies on Zaharie Shah being a successful, happy, healthy, well adjusted person, with no financial troubles and a good support network around him, having some sort of invisible, persistent, silent psychotic break over the course of many weeks: From whenever the idea was originally formed, to rehearsing it on his simulator, to actually executing it several weeks later. That kind of invisible, un-triggered, long term mental crisis is almost unprecedented. There's been no evidence found of problems with Shah's health, finances, marriage, career, political views, etc. Coupled with the total lack of a suicide note or manifesto, it is really difficult to accept this theory, and also makes other theories, however far-fetched, look a little bit more plausible. MH370 piloted into sea, says crash expert |
Originally Posted by abelenky
(Post 2171848)
I don't think the new home simulator evidence, combined with the other facts (waiting until a frequency handoff, transponder to standby, multiple course adjustments) really closes the case just yet.
This scenario relies on Zaharie Shah being a successful, happy, healthy, well adjusted person, with no financial troubles and a good support network around him, having some sort of invisible, persistent, silent psychotic break over the course of many weeks: From whenever the idea was originally formed, to rehearsing it on his simulator, to actually executing it several weeks later. That kind of invisible, un-triggered, long term mental crisis is almost unprecedented. There's been no evidence found of problems with Shah's health, finances, marriage, career, political views, etc. Coupled with the total lack of a suicide note or manifesto, it is really difficult to accept this theory, and also makes other theories, however far-fetched, look a little bit more plausible. If the crew were overcome by a fire, but the autopilot kept flying until fuel exhaustion, I believe the FBW would still try to hold last-trimmed airspeed...which would lead to a controlled 230-ish knots descent into the water. That might lead some to believe (based on large wreckage chunks that washed ashore) to say "deliberately flown into the water." |
Was it ever established just how many of the "Waiting for the right moment to surprise you." batteries were on board?
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I bent over backward to come up with a fire scenario which could explain all of the known anomalies and exonerate the crew (it's in a post many pages back).
But if the CA actually and in fact flew the exact incident profile on his sim and subsequently erased the data, it's getting really really hard to write that off as a coincidence. |
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