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Alaska - Virgin SLI Predictions Poll

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View Poll Results: What Hybrid methodology in the AS-VX ISL
15% ALOS/85% Status (VX proposal)
24
30.00%
30% ALOS/70% Status (232 AS pilots on top)
15
18.75%
40% ALOS/60% Status (318 AS pilots on top)
8
10.00%
50%ALOS/50% Status (410 AS pilots on top)
9
11.25%
60% ALOS/40% Status (508 AS pilots on top)
7
8.75%
70% ALOS/30% Status (AS pilots position)
8
10.00%
Something Else
9
11.25%
Voters: 80. You may not vote on this poll

Alaska - Virgin SLI Predictions Poll

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Old 10-11-2018 | 08:06 PM
  #101  
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I was expecting the arbitration to fall somewhere between each proposal but they definitely did their own thing. Some people are better off now than both proposals and others are worse. I wasn’t expecting it to turn out the way it did.
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Old 10-12-2018 | 01:46 PM
  #102  
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Originally Posted by OCCP
I was expecting the arbitration to fall somewhere between each proposal but they definitely did their own thing. Some people are better off now than both proposals and others are worse. I wasn’t expecting it to turn out the way it did.
Not sure how it wasn’t “between the two”.

Going into arbitration both sides agreed on the method. The two sides agreed that each pilot would be scored. To simplify, two seniority lists are made, one based entirely on longevity, the other based on relative position. Each pilot receives a score based on where they appear on each of the two seniority list. For the easiest example #1 VX is #1 based on relative position so he gets 2500 (-ish total pilots VX+AS) points for RP. For the longevity score a 2006 hire on a DOH-only list would put you at about 1000. That would give #1 VX about 1500 points for longevity.

This is what the arbitrators decided yesterday. The weighting that was decided was 60% longevity and 40% RP. So...in our estimated data above...VX#1 = (2500*.4)+(1500*.6)

=1000+900=1900 which is 1900 from bottom which means 600 in this example.

Checking the actual award he ended up at 534 so this quick estimate is pretty close. This formula is applied to every pilot going down the list and there you have it.

Alaska asked for 70% longevity weighting, VX asked for 15% longevity...the arbitrators decided that 60% was going to be the number.

Additionally, AS asked that for the last 25%-ish of the list that we should switch to a ratio formula for the bottom 25% of pilots. The arbitrators squashed that notion and said the formula was to be used for the entire seniority list.

Basically in my opinion, AS “won” much of the battle at the top of the list and VX won the battle at the bottom. I was hired at AS 12 years ago and am one junior to a VX that was hired at VX 8 years ago. I was going to retire at AS in the top 40 and now I’ll be lucky to crack the top 250.

I think the arbitrators did a good job. If VX had prevailed in their position I would be around 130 more junior. If AS had won there position outright I would have gained about 40 positions. So it could have been slightly better but it could have been much worse. This feels like a divorce-I am exhausted and I am glad it is behind me and just want to get on with my life.
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Old 10-12-2018 | 02:02 PM
  #103  
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Originally Posted by AltoCumulus
Not sure how it wasn’t “between the two”.



Going into arbitration both sides agreed on the method. The two sides agreed that each pilot would be scored. To simplify, two seniority lists are made, one based entirely on longevity, the other based on relative position. Each pilot receives a score based on where they appear on each of the two seniority list. For the easiest example #1 VX is #1 based on relative position so he gets 2500 (-ish total pilots VX+AS) points for RP. For the longevity score a 2006 hire on a DOH-only list would put you at about 1000. That would give #1 VX about 1500 points for longevity.



This is what the arbitrators decided yesterday. The weighting that was decided was 60% longevity and 40% RP. So...in our estimated data above...VX#1 = (2500*.4)+(1500*.6)



=1000+900=1900 which is 1900 from bottom which means 600 in this example.



Checking the actual award he ended up at 534 so this quick estimate is pretty close. This formula is applied to every pilot going down the list and there you have it.



Alaska asked for 70% longevity weighting, VX asked for 15% longevity...the arbitrators decided that 60% was going to be the number.



Additionally, AS asked that for the last 25%-ish of the list that we should switch to a ratio formula for the bottom 25% of pilots. The arbitrators squashed that notion and said the formula was to be used for the entire seniority list.



Basically in my opinion, AS “won” much of the battle at the top of the list and VX won the battle at the bottom. I was hired at AS 12 years ago and am one junior to a VX that was hired at VX 8 years ago. I was going to retire at AS in the top 40 and now I’ll be lucky to crack the top 250.



I think the arbitrators did a good job. If VX had prevailed in their position I would be around 130 more junior. If AS had won there position outright I would have gained about 40 positions. So it could have been slightly better but it could have been much worse. This feels like a divorce-I am exhausted and I am glad it is behind me and just want to get on with my life.


I’ve been at AS for 6 years and got a number that was worse than the AS or VX proposal. So for people in my seniority the result was not between the two. Is it a big difference? No. But it’s still not between the two proposals.
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Old 10-12-2018 | 03:40 PM
  #104  
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Originally Posted by CassinAK
I’ve been at AS for 6 years and got a number that was worse than the AS or VX proposal. So for people in my seniority the result was not between the two. Is it a big difference? No. But it’s still not between the two proposals.
The AS proposal decided to divert from the harmony method when they hit 50%. They also proposed to staple 10% of the VXers. The arbitrators called BS and used the harmony method all the way down which favored most of the VXers hired in the last 7 years. In some cases they landed higher then the VX and AS proposal.
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Old 10-12-2018 | 04:05 PM
  #105  
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Originally Posted by Scoop
As a 737 guy with thousands of hours my only question is why?


I guess if you like:

Bumping your head on the overhead.
A choice between recline or aft movement of the seat.
The very exhilarating sound of air - lots and lots of very loud air.

A choice of too hot or too cold for the cabin.
Getting very intimate (not by choice) with any unfortunate jumpseat riders.
Aviation nostalgia (AKA 737 overhead panel).
The challenge worthy of a gymnast getting in and out of your seat.
The worlds smallest Lav - with a bonus toilet seat that will not stay up.
A VNAV system that will keep you on your toes.


I guess to be totally fair bumping your head on the overhead only applies to Pilots taller than 4' 11".


Only kidding (sort of) the 737 is fun to fly. Good luck to all the Alaska Pilots!


Scoop
Haha he's right!

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Old 10-12-2018 | 09:17 PM
  #106  
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I have to admit I'm impressed with the amount of professionalism and civility I've seen here since the result came out. Not gonna lie, I thought there'd be at least one guy to go off the reservation...


Good job guys! Lets show 'em we're ready for 2020.
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Old 10-12-2018 | 10:09 PM
  #107  
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Originally Posted by AltoCumulus
I was going to retire at AS in the top 40 and now I’ll be lucky to crack the top 250
Until the next merger. Hopefully you’ll be able to stay within the top 500 after that one.
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Old 10-13-2018 | 06:32 AM
  #108  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy
I have to admit I'm impressed with the amount of professionalism and civility I've seen here since the result came out.
I agree. Both pilot groups deserve credit, and their unity will be important in the next contract negotiation. 👍
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Old 10-13-2018 | 07:09 AM
  #109  
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So far the most immature and inflammatory trash talk has come from two of the legacy Alaska wives who are spouting ill informed nonsense in the Alaska pilots and families Facebook page. Someone needs to take their computers from them.
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Old 10-13-2018 | 08:43 AM
  #110  
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Originally Posted by Ala5ka
So far the most immature and inflammatory trash talk has come from two of the legacy Alaska wives who are spouting ill informed nonsense in the Alaska pilots and families Facebook page. Someone needs to take their computers from them.
Probably the same wife that told a pilot to take off their orange lanyard. Those poor women have no lives outside of their husbands "position". They talk more shop then a bunch of pilots at a 4th of July party! I pitty them and my wife can't stand them.
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