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Old 03-28-2024, 12:39 PM
  #611  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
Yes. AS/HA agreed to do some things and hold off on finalizing for a short while. In exchange the DOJ seems to be indicating that they'll make a quick decision. Seems to hint DOJ already has an idea as to what that decision will be.
what are we thinking that decision will be 👀
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Old 03-28-2024, 06:09 PM
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Originally Posted by blackbox348 View Post
what are we thinking that decision will be 👀
The fact that the DOJ is even talking with you guys is good news. With our debacle (JB/NK) we tried to contact the DOJ to discuss concessions but they wouldn’t even respond. I think AS/HA is going to happen without any issues.
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Old 03-28-2024, 08:01 PM
  #613  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
Yes. AS/HA agreed to do some things and hold off on finalizing for a short while. In exchange the DOJ seems to be indicating that they'll make a quick decision. Seems to hint DOJ already has an idea as to what that decision will be.
do some things

hold off on

can you offer examples? Not specific to the situation but it sounds like you have some thoughts in a general sense during a regulatory review of this kind.

Also. How might an SLI be affected by two airlines where one continued to hire post merger announcement and the other did not? We are hiring another 10% in the next 12 months.
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Old 03-28-2024, 08:13 PM
  #614  
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Originally Posted by PineappleXpres View Post
do some things

hold off on

can you offer examples? Not specific to the situation but it sounds like you have some thoughts in a general sense during a regulatory review of this kind.

Also. How might an SLI be affected by two airlines where one continued to hire post merger announcement and the other did not? We are hiring another 10% in the next 12 months.
I was told those hired after the merger announcement would be simply be DOH and below those on property, whereas those on property prior to the announcement (12/3/23) would be integrated at whatever formula the arbitrator decides. This is assuming the SLI goes into arbitration which is the most likely scenario.
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Old 03-28-2024, 08:17 PM
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Originally Posted by PineappleXpres View Post
do some things

hold off on

can you offer examples? Not specific to the situation but it sounds like you have some thoughts in a general sense during a regulatory review of this kind.

Also. How might an SLI be affected by two airlines where one continued to hire post merger announcement and the other did not? We are hiring another 10% in the next 12 months.
I was was hired post announcement for the last merger. In our case we were DOH and classes that started the same day at the 2 airlines were zippered into each other. Basically those of us hired after the merger announcement had no skin in the SLI game.
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Old 03-28-2024, 08:24 PM
  #616  
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Originally Posted by conquestdz View Post
I was was hired post announcement for the last merger. In our case we were DOH and classes that started the same day at the 2 airlines were zippered into each other. Basically those of us hired after the merger announcement had no skin in the SLI game.
Zippered. Fun! Thanks.
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Old 03-29-2024, 06:03 AM
  #617  
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Originally Posted by AKCattleCarrier View Post
I hate this merger.

1. The Amazon flying is subjecting us to Amazons whims (whipsaw) in line with Mesa and Atlas. Not company I want AS to be associated with nor their payrates or contract protections. If Amazon can whipsaw AS, AS can whipsaw its pilot group to compete with bottom tier contract cargo carriers. HA is staffing for this flying which I believe likely means AS will be overstaffed when they are combined.

2. The only hardware HA has of value to AS is a 787 and order slots. Old A330-200s (to my understanding have range issues? I.E. useless unless you have a pitstop in the middle of the Pacific), old 717s at the end of their life cycle, 321's that AS just spent the last 10 years getting rid of. Seems unlikely that anything is left besides Maxs and 787s in a decade. I.E. 1000 ****ed off pilots except for the select few who can hold 787.

3. HA is a flailing (not failing) business model. Buying another company just to shut down everything that isn't making money. Leads to unhappy people, upended lives, etc.

4. HA appears overstaffed as is. 60ish airplanes. 1100 pilots? I'm not sure what the staffing model is for wide bodies, but this seams fat. We already have zero hiring zero progression at AS this year.

5. Much like the VA folks, I think the HA pilot group is in for a rude awakening when it sees how cutthroat AS is. Surfer holiday culture may be a thing of the past shortly. Base sizes, aircraft, etc. These are all things that are just numbers on a spreadsheet to ST and BM. Ask any prior VA pilot that believed leaderships rhetoric. The chance of those 787s staying in HNL is not high. Results in a bunch ****ed off island boys.

6. Another SLI. It won't go smoothly. It NEVER goes smoothly. Somehow everyone gets F'd in an SLI. Somehow.

7. Another 1000 pilots complaining about sidesticks and tray tables sounds exhausting. I'm sure HA pilots are fine folks just like the VA pilots are a good group of people. But listening to people complain EVERY SINGLE TIME you come to work and sit next to someone in black pants gets so old. I am aware this is not how you wanted your career to go....I always lend a sympathetic ear, I wish I could go back and make it so AS never bought VA. But they did, it was a huge mistake IMO, that CEO is gone, moving on. Sorry the 737 is a POS, its what we're paid to fly, moving on.

I didn't leave AS for one of the bigger airlines for very specific reasons. Notably, was the defensive nature of the business model and the downside protection to my career that is provided. This merger puts AS way outside of its core competency and I worry it will be far more economically sensitive after acquiring a flailing business model with a bunch of inefficient old assets and an overstaffed pilot group. Eliminates the defensive nature of our business model which I covet. So while a bunch of career 737 pilots drool over the potential of sitting in a 787 for 14 hours to Sydney (if the fences ever come down) I'll be praying for the DOJ to step in and spare us from BMs ego project. I like our airline and I like our 10-12 percent profit margins even more. I believe those profit margins are a thing of the past when the entities are combined and the well being of both pilot groups goes down substantially in a post merger environment.

I hope I'm wrong, I often am, merger seems inevitable, and I genuinely hope everyone benefits through the process.
All legit concerns. I've actually been concerned that AS is *too* defensive and was heading towards possibly getting squeezed by the big guys in the long-term... just because it worked in the past doesn't mean there's still a niche for the last "regional legacy". So at least BM is trying to get out of that potential rut. You're right that doing so is nowhere near as safe and reliable as the traditional AS business model.
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Old 03-29-2024, 06:09 AM
  #618  
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Originally Posted by PineappleXpres View Post
do some things

hold off on

can you offer examples? Not specific to the situation but it sounds like you have some thoughts in a general sense during a regulatory review of this kind.

Also. How might an SLI be affected by two airlines where one continued to hire post merger announcement and the other did not? We are hiring another 10% in the next 12 months.
I have little SA other than media and what our former wall street guy posts on the other forum (he posts here too).

The companies agreed to provide some specific info and then let the DOJ have a specific amount of time to digest that before consumating the merger. I think the implied deal is that if DOJ doesn't object within that short timeline, they're OK with the merger moving forward.

Yes, post-annnouncement hires are strict DOH, zippered on the off chance that both airlines started a class on the same day. Theory being that you knew what you signed up for when you showed up for class, so you're not entitled to any SLI special treatment either way.
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Old 03-29-2024, 07:44 AM
  #619  
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Originally Posted by AKCattleCarrier View Post
I hate this merger.

1. The Amazon flying is subjecting us to Amazons whims (whipsaw) in line with Mesa and Atlas. Not company I want AS to be associated with nor their payrates or contract protections. If Amazon can whipsaw AS, AS can whipsaw its pilot group to compete with bottom tier contract cargo carriers. HA is staffing for this flying which I believe likely means AS will be overstaffed when they are combined.

2. The only hardware HA has of value to AS is a 787 and order slots. Old A330-200s (to my understanding have range issues? I.E. useless unless you have a pitstop in the middle of the Pacific), old 717s at the end of their life cycle, 321's that AS just spent the last 10 years getting rid of. Seems unlikely that anything is left besides Maxs and 787s in a decade. I.E. 1000 ****ed off pilots except for the select few who can hold 787.

3. HA is a flailing (not failing) business model. Buying another company just to shut down everything that isn't making money. Leads to unhappy people, upended lives, etc.

4. HA appears overstaffed as is. 60ish airplanes. 1100 pilots? I'm not sure what the staffing model is for wide bodies, but this seams fat. We already have zero hiring zero progression at AS this year.

5. Much like the VA folks, I think the HA pilot group is in for a rude awakening when it sees how cutthroat AS is. Surfer holiday culture may be a thing of the past shortly. Base sizes, aircraft, etc. These are all things that are just numbers on a spreadsheet to ST and BM. Ask any prior VA pilot that believed leaderships rhetoric. The chance of those 787s staying in HNL is not high. Results in a bunch ****ed off island boys.

6. Another SLI. It won't go smoothly. It NEVER goes smoothly. Somehow everyone gets F'd in an SLI. Somehow.

7. Another 1000 pilots complaining about sidesticks and tray tables sounds exhausting. I'm sure HA pilots are fine folks just like the VA pilots are a good group of people. But listening to people complain EVERY SINGLE TIME you come to work and sit next to someone in black pants gets so old. I am aware this is not how you wanted your career to go....I always lend a sympathetic ear, I wish I could go back and make it so AS never bought VA. But they did, it was a huge mistake IMO, that CEO is gone, moving on. Sorry the 737 is a POS, its what we're paid to fly, moving on.

I didn't leave AS for one of the bigger airlines for very specific reasons. Notably, was the defensive nature of the business model and the downside protection to my career that is provided. This merger puts AS way outside of its core competency and I worry it will be far more economically sensitive after acquiring a flailing business model with a bunch of inefficient old assets and an overstaffed pilot group. Eliminates the defensive nature of our business model which I covet. So while a bunch of career 737 pilots drool over the potential of sitting in a 787 for 14 hours to Sydney (if the fences ever come down) I'll be praying for the DOJ to step in and spare us from BMs ego project. I like our airline and I like our 10-12 percent profit margins even more. I believe those profit margins are a thing of the past when the entities are combined and the well being of both pilot groups goes down substantially in a post merger environment.

I hope I'm wrong, I often am, merger seems inevitable, and I genuinely hope everyone benefits through the process.
All valid, but consider:

We had/have a defend mentality.

We had great interisland margins until we didn’t.

We only introduce new flying where we only attempt monopolistic type routes. Like, “Gee I wonder why nobody else is or why everyone else stopped route x.” On that note, we don’t want to fly into fortress hubs of other carriers and step on any one else’s toes. Meanwhile everyone is gunning to fly to Hawaii.

We cling to what worked, like Japan. Flying empty planes hemorrhaging money.

We carry “extra” staff for long haul flying and the training bubbles and inefficiencies of a diverse fleet and route structure. There are advantage to that complexity like negotiating power or like when a fleet is parked due to operational or manufacturing woes, the other picks up the slack.

We are trying really hard to offer a premium leisure product while still offering basic economy to satisfy everyone and somehow “feel” different.

We have a very low attrition rate due to our varied, east flying and high qol.

Sucks we can’t make money and I’m as worried as anybody Hono gets shrunk or Amazon pulls the plug or whipsaws.

BUT, I also don’t want my checks to bounce.

There is a reason, beyond the SWAPA/staple thing, that HAL pilots prefer Alaska over Southwest. We must see something in you that says “hang on, this merger could work with an all 737 type operator.”

You are right, margins will erode. I’d be more nervous than ever with a MAX only growth plan for the next 20 years. Change can be a good thing. Some parts of it anyways.
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Old 03-29-2024, 07:47 AM
  #620  
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Originally Posted by AKCattleCarrier View Post
I hate this merger.

1. The Amazon flying is subjecting us to Amazons whims (whipsaw) in line with Mesa and Atlas. Not company I want AS to be associated with nor their payrates or contract protections. If Amazon can whipsaw AS, AS can whipsaw its pilot group to compete with bottom tier contract cargo carriers. HA is staffing for this flying which I believe likely means AS will be overstaffed when they are combined.

2. The only hardware HA has of value to AS is a 787 and order slots. Old A330-200s (to my understanding have range issues? I.E. useless unless you have a pitstop in the middle of the Pacific), old 717s at the end of their life cycle, 321's that AS just spent the last 10 years getting rid of. Seems unlikely that anything is left besides Maxs and 787s in a decade. I.E. 1000 ****ed off pilots except for the select few who can hold 787.

3. HA is a flailing (not failing) business model. Buying another company just to shut down everything that isn't making money. Leads to unhappy people, upended lives, etc.

4. HA appears overstaffed as is. 60ish airplanes. 1100 pilots? I'm not sure what the staffing model is for wide bodies, but this seams fat. We already have zero hiring zero progression at AS this year.

5. Much like the VA folks, I think the HA pilot group is in for a rude awakening when it sees how cutthroat AS is. Surfer holiday culture may be a thing of the past shortly. Base sizes, aircraft, etc. These are all things that are just numbers on a spreadsheet to ST and BM. Ask any prior VA pilot that believed leaderships rhetoric. The chance of those 787s staying in HNL is not high. Results in a bunch ****ed off island boys.

6. Another SLI. It won't go smoothly. It NEVER goes smoothly. Somehow everyone gets F'd in an SLI. Somehow.

7. Another 1000 pilots complaining about sidesticks and tray tables sounds exhausting. I'm sure HA pilots are fine folks just like the VA pilots are a good group of people. But listening to people complain EVERY SINGLE TIME you come to work and sit next to someone in black pants gets so old. I am aware this is not how you wanted your career to go....I always lend a sympathetic ear, I wish I could go back and make it so AS never bought VA. But they did, it was a huge mistake IMO, that CEO is gone, moving on. Sorry the 737 is a POS, its what we're paid to fly, moving on.

I didn't leave AS for one of the bigger airlines for very specific reasons. Notably, was the defensive nature of the business model and the downside protection to my career that is provided. This merger puts AS way outside of its core competency and I worry it will be far more economically sensitive after acquiring a flailing business model with a bunch of inefficient old assets and an overstaffed pilot group. Eliminates the defensive nature of our business model which I covet. So while a bunch of career 737 pilots drool over the potential of sitting in a 787 for 14 hours to Sydney (if the fences ever come down) I'll be praying for the DOJ to step in and spare us from BMs ego project. I like our airline and I like our 10-12 percent profit margins even more. I believe those profit margins are a thing of the past when the entities are combined and the well being of both pilot groups goes down substantially in a post merger environment.

I hope I'm wrong, I often am, merger seems inevitable, and I genuinely hope everyone benefits through the process.
Totally agree with you, I can’t figure out why it seems a large number of Alaska pilots I fly with are excited about this. 787s maybe, well wouldn’t it be better if Alaska took their 1.9 billion and bought their own. Maybe not the case from a company/investor point of view, but it sure would be better for pilots who are here now or hope to come here in the future.
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