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Old 06-09-2022, 09:00 PM
  #6351  
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Originally Posted by Miltocivil View Post
Barely enough to cover attrition and upgrades
Do you have actual numbers?

As posted a few pages ago in this thread, the attrition and hiring numbers YTD are extremely similar for Alaska, jetBlue, and Spirit. Why would a newhire stay at these 3 carriers when they can go to the big 3 legacies for much faster movement, more retirements, widebody planes, and multiple bases throughout the entire nation (one in each time zone)?

Notice I purposefully said nothing about pilot contracts. A pilot contract won't fix the structural issues described in the question posed above.
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Old 06-09-2022, 09:52 PM
  #6352  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
Do you have actual numbers?

As posted a few pages ago in this thread, the attrition and hiring numbers YTD are extremely similar for Alaska, jetBlue, and Spirit. Why would a newhire stay at these 3 carriers when they can go to the big 3 legacies for much faster movement, more retirements, widebody planes, and multiple bases throughout the entire nation (one in each time zone)?

Notice I purposefully said nothing about pilot contracts. A pilot contract won't fix the structural issues described in the question posed above.
Not everyone hired by Alaska has the pedigree or the horsepower to land at a major airline. Many retired mil pilots are satisfied with what Alaska offers. Historically, legacy brats stick around. Alaska can probably retain 35-40% of new hires based on these factors. The long game for them is a recession and the eventual balancing of staffing by the majors. Alaska Airlines understands the game it plays better than most
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Old 06-09-2022, 11:11 PM
  #6353  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
Do you have actual numbers?

As posted a few pages ago in this thread, the attrition and hiring numbers YTD are extremely similar for Alaska, jetBlue, and Spirit. Why would a newhire stay at these 3 carriers when they can go to the big 3 legacies for much faster movement, more retirements, widebody planes, and multiple bases throughout the entire nation (one in each time zone)?

Notice I purposefully said nothing about pilot contracts. A pilot contract won't fix the structural issues described in the question posed above.
I am confused . So, basically, you agree with me?
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Old 06-10-2022, 12:25 AM
  #6354  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
Do you have actual numbers?

As posted a few pages ago in this thread, the attrition and hiring numbers YTD are extremely similar for Alaska, jetBlue, and Spirit. Why would a newhire stay at these 3 carriers when they can go to the big 3 legacies for much faster movement, more retirements, widebody planes, and multiple bases throughout the entire nation (one in each time zone)?

Notice I purposefully said nothing about pilot contracts. A pilot contract won't fix the structural issues described in the question posed above.
I’m not an Economics major, but if industry leading pay/contract doesn’t solve these “structural issues” what does? “Over-hiring”?

Second tier airlines will need to step up to the plate and compete for a scarce resource….pilots.
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Old 06-10-2022, 02:21 AM
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Originally Posted by AK22 View Post
I’m not an Economics major, but if industry leading pay/contract doesn’t solve these “structural issues” what does? “Over-hiring”?

Second tier airlines will need to step up to the plate and compete for a scarce resource….pilots.
Consolidation is the name of the game. As much as some don’t think it will happen, it will sooner or later! This shortage will last several years and that WILL force consolidation… sit back and watch it unfold😉
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Old 06-10-2022, 04:54 AM
  #6356  
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So nobody knows how often classes are and the size of each class?
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Old 06-10-2022, 06:33 AM
  #6357  
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Originally Posted by airb320 View Post
Consolidation is the name of the game. As much as some don’t think it will happen, it will sooner or later! This shortage will last several years and that WILL force consolidation… sit back and watch it unfold😉
AS might just barely get away with avoiding that. Maybe. Unlike regionals I think they can still attract and retain some pilots... if they really put their mind to to it.

They'd have to retreat to the PNW, and the managers would need serious top cover from the BOD. Not sure how far the board will go along. Other big problem is share price and shareholders... if it gets too low and the BOD doesn't address it, you could get activism or the shareholders would just sell to the highest bidder. In the later case managers would be on the receiving end of an uncoordinated acquisition... ie unemployed. So I don't think the company can view retreat as a conservative low-risk fallback position, more like a last resort. Considering their fundamental priority has to be their own job security.
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Old 06-10-2022, 08:05 AM
  #6358  
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This airline is made for Seattle. It’s Juneuary, waiting for the summer, meh, sometimes sunny, mainly rainy. Nothing to be excited about.
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Old 06-10-2022, 08:08 AM
  #6359  
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Consolidation is coming for sure but I doubt highly it will involve delta, united, aa, or SWA. The low cost 2nd tier carriers like here at alaska, jet blue, spirit, sunny, frontier are going to all have to pair up or face an eventual demise.
Originally Posted by airb320 View Post
Consolidation is the name of the game. As much as some don’t think it will happen, it will sooner or later! This shortage will last several years and that WILL force consolidation… sit back and watch it unfold😉
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Old 06-10-2022, 10:08 AM
  #6360  
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Anyone else interviewing later this month?
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