We’re no where near that much doom & gloom…did you not see the email from DM today? Yes, more IL’s for April, but then they are planning all hands on deck for a busy summer…

 

unstacking is the bogeyman, the John Wick of PBS. If you are in the bottom 50% of your seat and base, John Wick will build your schedule and you will do nothing because can do nothing.

if you put enough “else next bid” and are not lazy, untacking is no different than step trading, except PBS is a week faster.

 

If AS furloughs and there has been zero thought given to that currently, you can’t even imagine what happens at the big three in that scenario. This is a cyclical industry, a few years ago FedEx was the penthouse, right now probably UA… but if this economy tanks, as good as 2023 looked at the big 3… well the inverse is also true. I do think consolidation and retirements mute any serious decay over the next 24 months but I expect every airline to take a hiring pause over the next few months. AS traditional does very well in a downturn, this time I would expect to be no different, we do have a lot on our plate right now though. I expect 2024 and 2025 to suck everywhere. Get to where you want to be, the music is about to stop for a couple of years.
Laugh it off, go back and look at what people were saying in 2000 at UAL. 😱

 

Retirement math doesn't support that, for the big guys. Slowing is not stopping, they are still hiring a lot by historical standards and if you want/need a job and don't work for one of their metered regionals your odds are still good.

Music at AS may well have stopped for a year or two.

 

It’s about to stop everywhere!

 

I'm now up 65% on CLSK. 35% on MSTR. Looks like you called the 2024 bottom for BTC, when you panic sold. We just briefly hit 48,200. Can you make another BTC prediction please. I'll be taking inverse OTZ to the bank!

I'm really hoping you're in no way responsible for any financial matters where my employment seniority number happens to reside.

 

Ten minutes after I read your post, I got an email (presumably sent to the entire CJO pool of candidates) confirming exactly this....

 

just info the Union and Company has put out already, hiring is done for most of the year at least, downgrades were prevented at this point by the EILs, but if things are as bleak as has been posted here on this forum, they will certainly be on the table going forward, and like I said typically downgrades are accompanied by furloughs, although those have not been mentioned by the company or union to my knowledge.

 

The first shoe dropped today… EXPE

I made 4x on BTC and didn’t feel like riding it back to 20k
I sold at 43… there is no way that 43 is the bottom for 2024.
Im sincerely happy for your returns, maybe I’ll be wrong. I didn’t have 40k of BTC though, it was more than 5,000k.

BTC will drop 7% next week and be down 18% by the end of February 🤷‍♂️… that’s my best guess

 

Amazing! Thank you.

Great staffing predictions as well. DM just announced no IL offered for May.

Inverse OTZ, even better than inverse Cramer?