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Old 02-25-2022, 03:45 PM
  #111  
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I know about the crack spread. Oil prices going up doesn’t make the spread better. It might or it could just as easily make it worse. Demand/price for whatever byproduct your selling at whatever time of year is just as important to your margins. In Delta’s case, they can easily lose money if they time the market wrong, defeating the purpose of not having to pay for a refiner’s profit margin.
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Old 02-25-2022, 04:05 PM
  #112  
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Originally Posted by Margaritaville View Post
The value of the refinery is that it floods the Northeast with jet fuel and thus drives down the price. They run the refinery at a loss and still come out ahead. Bold move Cotton.

Here's an article from 2016 but still a good read.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-d...-idUSKCN10E0EZ

"Warmann’s memo said the strategy cost the refinery about $30 million in the second quarter, which left it with a $10 million loss for the period, but he said it saved Delta about $100 million."
Im not an expert, but claiming an operating loss can also provide some financial benefits like tax relief.
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Old 02-27-2022, 11:29 AM
  #113  
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Originally Posted by AllYourBaseAreB View Post
I know about the crack spread. Oil prices going up doesn’t make the spread better. It might or it could just as easily make it worse. Demand/price for whatever byproduct your selling at whatever time of year is just as important to your margins. In Delta’s case, they can easily lose money if they time the market wrong, defeating the purpose of not having to pay for a refiner’s profit margin.
Actually - OIL up - refinery $$ bad. Refined products up - refinery $$ good.
losses for tax purposes - can be mitigated by tax benefits but losses are losses - profits are better
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Old 02-27-2022, 11:32 AM
  #114  
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Originally Posted by cantflylist View Post
Actually - OIL up - refinery $$ bad. Refined products up - refinery $$ good.
losses for tax purposes - can be mitigated by tax benefits but losses are losses - profits are better
exactly my point.
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Old 02-27-2022, 11:57 PM
  #115  
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Anyone know besides APC where one can see where they would retire on a specific airline seniority list? I have a bit over 30 years left and I am aware that AA has 50% retiring in 7 years but what about after those years. Thanks.
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Old 02-28-2022, 01:52 AM
  #116  
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Originally Posted by Sirius View Post
Anyone know besides APC where one can see where they would retire on a specific airline seniority list? I have a bit over 30 years left and I am aware that AA has 50% retiring in 7 years but what about after those years. Thanks.
WidgetSeniority.com
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Old 02-28-2022, 04:32 AM
  #117  
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Originally Posted by Gundam View Post
That seems to be just for Delta
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Old 02-28-2022, 05:39 AM
  #118  
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Better then nothing, isn't it? Extra info to consider.
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Old 02-28-2022, 07:08 AM
  #119  
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Originally Posted by Sirius View Post
Anyone know besides APC where one can see where they would retire on a specific airline seniority list? I have a bit over 30 years left and I am aware that AA has 50% retiring in 7 years but what about after those years. Thanks.
Trying to pick a company with a 30yr horizon based on perceived seniority is sorta a fools errand? At this point, most contracts are more similar than different (unless your considering freight haulers). Pensions (for those that had them) have been wiped by BK courts.

As you can read on this website, a company that uses just a couple or less types of planes makes for a longer upgrade overall as multi-type airlines seniority lists are spread out over different bases and types. Relative seniority in your base/type is the only thing that will control your QOL.

Pick a job based on where you want to live (and who hires you). If you can drive to work, your seniority will go further. If you can take living in the NE, your seniority will go further no matter what company you choose. If you can tell us what airlines will survive and thrive over the next 30yrs(an eternity in this business), that would be great info to know as well.
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Old 02-28-2022, 07:28 AM
  #120  
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Originally Posted by nene View Post
Trying to pick a company with a 30yr horizon based on perceived seniority is sorta a fools errand? At this point, most contracts are more similar than different (unless your considering freight haulers). Pensions (for those that had them) have been wiped by BK courts.

As you can read on this website, a company that uses just a couple or less types of planes makes for a longer upgrade overall as multi-type airlines seniority lists are spread out over different bases and types. Relative seniority in your base/type is the only thing that will control your QOL.

Pick a job based on where you want to live (and who hires you). If you can drive to work, your seniority will go further. If you can take living in the NE, your seniority will go further no matter what company you choose. If you can tell us what airlines will survive and thrive over the next 30yrs(an eternity in this business), that would be great info to know as well.
Correct. Next week we could merge with jet blue and you can watch your seniority projections disappear.
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