Not quite....assuming the APC numbers are correct:

APC 2020 retirement numbers:

AAL: 772

DAL 549 + UAL 366 = 915

 

Those are mandatory retirement numbers only, plenty more are bailing out early and using months of sick time in the process.

 

Zero plans to slow or stop hiring according to the boss of hiring.

that’s today’s plan anyway.

 

But the early outs are happening at all the airlines, so I assume it’s a push.

 

American has WAY more pilots over the age 60. There are significantly more "early outs" between 60-64, so there are likely far more at AA. Look at the AA mandatory retirements for the next 5 years.

 

Screen name checks out for this kind of knowledge.

 

Tell us Miss Cleo... your vast gypsy knowledge is impressive.

 

IDK how accurate it is but the AA seniority calculator says I'll move up 1100 numbers between now and Dec 31.

 

Screen name? Definitely showing your age with that one

 

The problem is people are scared to fly*. It's not a lack of money issue (economic) it's a lack of desire for our product.

Small difference but huge ramifications...why? Because it means fare sales don't really bring in more business.

I did see someone from Alaska said they ran a fare sale and had a positive result. Just keep this stat in mind - 13% of our pax are business clients and they account of 50% of our revenue.

So while airplanes may have the other 87% of our pax on board, they only account for 50% of our revenue, leaving us with a pretty damn big shortfall at the end of the year.

I would imagine Delta and United would be in a similar predicament, but maybe Spirit not so much since they don't have that much business traffic.

*and corps are afraid of getting sued sending their people to conferences where they might get sick