Airline Pilot Central Forums

Airline Pilot Central Forums (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/)
-   American (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/american/)
-   -   Furlough Estimates (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/american/129761-furlough-estimates.html)

nuball5 07-29-2020 05:10 AM


Originally Posted by FullThrust (Post 3100943)
Yeah but don't forget the company still has to pay for health insurance for the average family of 4, plus 401k, etc. Having reduced line values but keeping more pilots on payroll just makes each pilot more expensive on a per hour flown basis.

Gary Kelly was quoted today that he doesn't expect the industry to recover for 5 to 10 years. At that duration, unfortunately, it doesn't make sense not to furlough.

His quote on that 5-10 year timeline was in regards to business travel.

Downtime 07-29-2020 06:07 AM


Originally Posted by chrisreedrules (Post 3101006)
Recovery isn’t projected to begin until 8-12 months after a vaccine is available. Without a government lifeline this whole industry very well may collapse.


I would guess domestically it starts to bounce as soon as the vaccine is widely available. International will most likely take longer as a country will want a good chunk of their population vaccinated before relaxing restrictions.

Al Czervik 07-29-2020 07:13 AM

Will we have a vaccine when Trump is re elected or is it only if Biden wins?
-Asking for a friend.

Downtime 07-29-2020 07:15 AM


Originally Posted by Al Czervik (Post 3101108)
Will we have a vaccine when Trump is re elected or is it only if Biden wins?
-Asking for a friend.


Either way. This is not a conspiracy theory. The whole world didn’t destroy their economies to hurt Trump.

FetaCheese 07-29-2020 08:05 AM


Originally Posted by Downtime (Post 3101113)
Either way. This is not a conspiracy theory. The whole world didn’t destroy their economies to hurt Trump.

Yeah, exactly. And making this crises a political issue is what got us to this point in the first place. Had Trump and a certain news channel not spent months calling it a liberal hoax and actually took aggressive measures, we would be in a very different place right now. Look at just about any other country as an example. South Korea and Vietnam in particular, but also most of Europe.

As for Nostradamus Gary Kelly..who knows what his motivations are for saying what he says. But he doesn't know any more than the rest of us what will happen next week let alone 10 years from now. Most actual professionals in the area and anyone else with common sense agree that a vaccine will go miles towards making people feel comfortable with public places again. Including air travel.

I can't even begin to imagine what angle Kelly is playing, but be sure there is an angle.

Rockiepilot 07-29-2020 08:56 AM


Originally Posted by FetaCheese (Post 3101139)
Yeah, exactly. And making this crises a political issue is what got us to this point in the first place. Had Trump and a certain news channel not spent months calling it a liberal hoax and actually took aggressive measures, we would be in a very different place right now. Look at just about any other country as an example. South Korea and Vietnam in particular, but also most of Europe.

As for Nostradamus Gary Kelly..who knows what his motivations are for saying what he says. But he doesn't know any more than the rest of us what will happen next week let alone 10 years from now. Most actual professionals in the area and anyone else with common sense agree that a vaccine will go miles towards making people feel comfortable with public places again. Including air travel.

I can't even begin to imagine what angle Kelly is playing, but be sure there is an angle.

Nice attempt on that. Recall Nancy Pelosi and Governor Cuemo and Mayor Deblasio calling Trump a racist for the China ban? Then encouraging people to go out and celebrate the holiday at that time? So if you want to pass blame that is fine. However do it to all parties equally. This isn’t a one sided blame game as you above claim. Just to get facts straight.

Saabs 07-29-2020 08:58 AM


Originally Posted by FetaCheese (Post 3101139)
Yeah, exactly. And making this crises a political issue is what got us to this point in the first place. Had Trump and a certain news channel not spent months calling it a liberal hoax and actually took aggressive measures, we would be in a very different place right now. Look at just about any other country as an example. South Korea and Vietnam in particular, but also most of Europe.

As for Nostradamus Gary Kelly..who knows what his motivations are for saying what he says. But he doesn't know any more than the rest of us what will happen next week let alone 10 years from now. Most actual professionals in the area and anyone else with common sense agree that a vaccine will go miles towards making people feel comfortable with public places again. Including air travel.

I can't even begin to imagine what angle Kelly is playing, but be sure there is an angle.


I’d say the truth is somewhere in between that certain news channel and a CNN.

Gary Kelly isn’t as labor friendly as his predecessor that’s for sure.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

FullThrust 07-29-2020 09:20 AM


Originally Posted by Saabs (Post 3101168)
I’d say the truth is somewhere in between that certain news channel and a CNN.

Gary Kelly isn’t as labor friendly as his predecessor that’s for sure.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Yeah but CEOs of public companies don’t generally make such long term bearish comments just to screw over labor groups at the cost of their forward looking earnings guidance.

Downtime 07-29-2020 09:34 AM


Originally Posted by FetaCheese (Post 3101139)
Yeah, exactly. And making this crises a political issue is what got us to this point in the first place. Had Trump and a certain news channel not spent months calling it a liberal hoax and actually took aggressive measures, we would be in a very different place right now. Look at just about any other country as an example. South Korea and Vietnam in particular, but also most of Europe.

As for Nostradamus Gary Kelly..who knows what his motivations are for saying what he says. But he doesn't know any more than the rest of us what will happen next week let alone 10 years from now. Most actual professionals in the area and anyone else with common sense agree that a vaccine will go miles towards making people feel comfortable with public places again. Including air travel.

I can't even begin to imagine what angle Kelly is playing, but be sure there is an angle.

Well yeah a vaccine drives down cases and lowers hospitalizations people will feel more comfortable. More importantly businesses will feel more comfortable and travel restrictions should end making businesses in NY able to release their employees again.

FLYBOYMATTHEW 07-29-2020 09:51 AM

It seems to me Gary Kelly will benefit greatly from a quick turnaround on the tail end of this. Maybe he's trying to put the competition on it's heels to get a head start when that happens. Or maybe he realizes the economy is going to crumble after taking 2020 off.


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 02:41 AM.


Website Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands