C130driver

I think you'll be fine man, some pilots hate one of the coolest jobs so much so that they just dream this crap up and wish it would replace their jobs. 5 years/10 years? Give me a break, we still fly 1940s technology in the military and 70s technology in the majors. We still fly the 737.

hilltopflyer

And some airlines are only 737.

Bigapplepilot

Ray Kurzweil has said computers will reach human intelligence in 2029 and the Singularity in 2047? What skill will you develop that is automation proof? The issue isn't just affecting pilots, but all of humanity.

Lemons

I'll be retired by then so it won't be my problem

jcountry

Singularity?

Seriously?

You should read Terminal Man (1972). Scientists were predicting the 'singularity' was imminent back then.

Futurists are worse than politicians. At least politicians get into that line of work because they realize they are wholly unqualified for anything else. Futurists never figure that out.

"Singularity" is a joke amongst anyone who understands technology.

Bigapplepilot

You are correct lol. Algorithms and Artificial Intelligence will advance just enough before they start to desrupt Humanity. Then they will simply stop.

And yes. People like Ray Kurzweil, Elon Musk, etc don't understand technology lol.

CBreezy

SWING and a miss. Try again.

Bigapplepilot

Good intellectual comeback. Maybe Bill Gates can clear this up for you.


https://www.cnet.com/news/bill-gates...elligence-too/

NeverHome

This to me, is very interesting. Consider this,

In a simple traffic management scenario you can write a differential equation to handle the flow and change in flow. It would be fairly complex, but solvable. Now take this mangement scenario and add many city blocks in north and west directions. That equation would quickly become "unsolvable", even with numerical approaches.

Now consider what we want AI to do? Is it any suprise that our daily actions and decisions can be brought into the world of diff eq? So what? Can a computer solve an unsolvable equation? No. It would need the programming in advance. Just like my scenario earlier, some equations cannot be solved. Either the math hasnt been fully understood or the problem really has become unsolvable... ever.

My pount is this: computers may reach the point of doing marvelous things, but you will need engineers to design and prgram them. They run on "math". So what can we honestly expect from a machine that cannot have a full requirement of programming, to drive our cars and fly our airplanes, and manage the traffic flow of either?

Answer: nothing good.

Just a thought of course, but then its been a few years sense ive looked at this stuff

jcountry

No.

They really don't. (AI is a very specific type of technology-and is purely theoretical at this point-or any point in the reasonably near future.)


We may have something to worry about in several hundred years, but not anytime soon.

Here is a much better authority on the subject than anyone you mention:

https://techcrunch.com/2017/07/19/th...mobilenavtrend

Seriously.

Do some (non sci-fi) reading on the subject. We are dealing now with very rudimentary machine learning. That is not true AI. True AI is far, far in the future-and will require a revolution in the way any AI is currently conceived.