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Old 12-29-2020, 03:50 PM
  #1821  
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Originally Posted by Burton78 View Post
Not that I disagree, but this assumes that by then, there are an abundance of places without over the top restrictions worth visiting.
That cuts two ways. Young people are at low risk for bad outcomes from COVID (see the epidemiology studies on the USS Theodore Roosevelt’s crew or the DOD numbers for active duty and dependent morbidity/mortality). So lacking much in the way of risk, how will you ever get the under 35 crowd to GET vaccinated if it doesn’t improve their situation?
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Old 12-29-2020, 03:52 PM
  #1822  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
That cuts two ways. Young people are at low risk for bad outcomes from COVID (see the epidemiology studies on the USS Theodore Roosevelt’s crew or the DOD numbers for active duty and dependent morbidity/mortality). So lacking much in the way of risk, how will you ever get the under 35 crowd to GET vaccinated if it doesn’t improve their situation?

I'm thinking you quoted the wrong person....
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Old 12-29-2020, 05:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
I think you underestimate the pent up demand. And while it may take far longer than most people think to even get 50% of the people immunized, there will be little to restrain those who ARE immunized from satisfying those pent up demands almost immediately.
I agree that there likely is pent up demand, the problem is where are these people going to go, even if they go somewhere what is there to do when they get there. These lockdowns are not ending anytime soon, certainly not by April.
I think we’ll be lucky to see 50% + consistently through next summer.
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Old 12-30-2020, 04:34 AM
  #1824  
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Numbers for 12/29/2020 (reported on 12/30/2020)
1,019,347 TSA passthrough
50.7% of same day 2019
+8% change past 7 days to previous 7 days
+3% change compared to same day previous week

Pretty good numbers for a Tuesday, yes, still holiday season travelers, but Tuesdays normally have a sizeable dip from weekend numbers and it was only 92k less than Monday, also the third time we've been >50%. I live in Orlando and the news is reporting Universal Studios hitting maximum <Covid> capacity within an hour after opening for the last week or so (Disney is doing well too, but they have a reservation system that's a different than Universal). I know much of the rest of the country is in lock down, but if Florida, Orlando especially, is any indicator, people want to get out and travel.
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Old 12-30-2020, 04:47 AM
  #1825  
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Originally Posted by flypilot View Post
Numbers for 12/29/2020 (reported on 12/30/2020)
1,019,347 TSA passthrough 50.7% of same day 2019
+8% change past 7 days to previous 7 days
+3% change compared to same day previous week
To average out the entire winter holiday season, I am tracking 12/18 thru 1/4/21, ie Friday before Christmas thru Monday after
as of today, 12/29 data, 12.4MM v 28.7MM, YOY 43%
2 wk averages -
27% - July 4th
35% - Labor Day
37% - Halloweed, just before 2nd wave media 'rona scare spike
39% - Thanksgiving
41% - winter travel season
I LOVE the trend
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Old 12-30-2020, 05:40 AM
  #1826  
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Originally Posted by spirited View Post
To average out the entire winter holiday season, I am tracking 12/18 thru 1/4/21, ie Friday before Christmas thru Monday after
as of today, 12/29 data, 12.4MM v 28.7MM, YOY 43%
2 wk averages -
27% - July 4th
35% - Labor Day
37% - Halloweed, just before 2nd wave media 'rona scare spike
39% - Thanksgiving
41% - winter travel season
I LOVE the trend
Halloweed? You stoners turn everything into a drug reference!

J/K. Great numbers. Thanks!
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Old 12-30-2020, 06:10 AM
  #1827  
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Originally Posted by Speed Select View Post
Halloweed? You stoners turn everything into a drug reference!

J/K. Great numbers. Thanks!
I am sure that’s a typo. He didn’t mean weed. It’s just that when you type with a phone it changes spelling to commonly typed words. He’s probably not really a stoner. .... oh wait. My bad.
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Old 12-31-2020, 04:51 AM
  #1828  
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Numbers for 12/30/2020 (reported on 12/31/2020)
1,163,696 TSA passthrough
54.6% of same day 2019
-0% change past 7 days to previous 7 days
-2% change compared to same day previous week
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Old 12-31-2020, 05:02 AM
  #1829  
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To average out the entire winter holiday season, I am tracking 12/18 thru 1/4/21, ie Friday before Christmas thru Monday after
as of today, 12/30 data, 13.5 v 30.8MM, YOY 44% improving slowly
(repost)
2 wk averages -
27% - July 4th
35% - Labor Day
37% - Halloween, just before 2nd wave media 'rona scare spike
39% - Thanksgiving
43% - winter travel season
I still LOVE the trend
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Old 12-31-2020, 05:06 AM
  #1830  
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Originally Posted by Speed Select View Post
Halloweed? You stoners turn everything into a drug reference!
Good Catch - I might get random'd and don't need that getting out.
MJ was one of the drug test ladies in PHL - honest - can't make this sh!t up
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