TSA Numbers
01-04-2021, 06:59 AM
#1851
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 1,281
Originally Posted by bradthepilot
Lol. That's not me; I don't claim to be any kind of analyst. I'm just a second career guy who's used the tech skills gained in career 1.0 to get access to much more granular data from the TSA to supplement some income. I can share a little bit publicly (and do so weekly for my pilot group) but the rest is under NDA. The TSA has made a good chunk of the data public since then; it's on their web site in the form of PDF files. You just need to download it all and extract the numerical data so it can be put into some kind of useful form.
For example, here's the TSA screening recovery (in percentages vs 2019) by state :
For example, here's the TSA screening recovery (in percentages vs 2019) by state :
01-04-2021, 07:41 AM
#1852
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 303
Originally Posted by TransWorld
Of course there will be a pullback compared to the holidays. Last year, and every year reflects that. The more important question is how will the numbers look like relative to the same weeks a year ago?
We go through the same thing every dip after a holiday and every historically slower season/month since this started.
Multiple people will do this over the next 2 months:
Reply to a 580k number from a Tuesday with a sky is falling comment.
Then someone will point out the fact that using yoy% rather than raw data is the best way to look at things right now.
01-04-2021, 07:44 AM
#1853
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 1,281
Originally Posted by Soxfan1
this^
We go through the same thing every dip after a holiday and every historically slower season/month since this started.
Multiple people will do this over the next 2 months:
Reply to a 580k number from a Tuesday with a sky is falling comment.
Then someone will point out the fact that using yoy% rather than raw data is the best way to look at things right now.
We go through the same thing every dip after a holiday and every historically slower season/month since this started.
Multiple people will do this over the next 2 months:
Reply to a 580k number from a Tuesday with a sky is falling comment.
Then someone will point out the fact that using yoy% rather than raw data is the best way to look at things right now.
01-04-2021, 09:22 AM
#1854
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2017
Position: CRJ9 CA
Posts: 4,083
Originally Posted by bradthepilot
Lol. That's not me; I don't claim to be any kind of analyst. I'm just a second career guy who's used the tech skills gained in career 1.0 to get access to much more granular data from the TSA to supplement some income. I can share a little bit publicly (and do so weekly for my pilot group) but the rest is under NDA. The TSA has made a good chunk of the data public since then; it's on their web site in the form of PDF files. You just need to download it all and extract the numerical data so it can be put into some kind of useful form.
For example, here's the TSA screening recovery (in percentages vs 2019) by state :
For example, here's the TSA screening recovery (in percentages vs 2019) by state :
01-04-2021, 01:34 PM
#1855
Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,293
Originally Posted by pangolin
Virgin Islands I get. Wyoming?
Might also be related oil production, but I don't know how much or what kind they do up there with demand depressed.
01-05-2021, 05:28 AM
#1859
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2020
Posts: 419
Final Totals for 12/18 thru 1/4/21, ie Friday before Christmas thru Monday after
Thru 1/4/2021 - 18.8MM v 42.4MM, YOY 44%
2 wk average 45% YOY - new high (45.4 today v 44.6 yest)
1 wk average 48% YOY - new high
week average highs - Labor Day 37%, TG 41%, Xmas 48% - good trend - I know trends don't put profits on the bottom line - but better than a down trend
Thru 1/4/2021 - 18.8MM v 42.4MM, YOY 44%
2 wk average 45% YOY - new high (45.4 today v 44.6 yest)
1 wk average 48% YOY - new high
week average highs - Labor Day 37%, TG 41%, Xmas 48% - good trend - I know trends don't put profits on the bottom line - but better than a down trend
01-05-2021, 07:44 AM
#1860
Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,293
Originally Posted by spirited
Final Totals for 12/18 thru 1/4/21, ie Friday before Christmas thru Monday after
Thru 1/4/2021 - 18.8MM v 42.4MM, YOY 44%
2 wk average 45% YOY - new high (45.4 today v 44.6 yest)
1 wk average 48% YOY - new high
week average highs - Labor Day 37%, TG 41%, Xmas 48% - good trend - I know trends don't put profits on the bottom line - but better than a down trend
Thru 1/4/2021 - 18.8MM v 42.4MM, YOY 44%
2 wk average 45% YOY - new high (45.4 today v 44.6 yest)
1 wk average 48% YOY - new high
week average highs - Labor Day 37%, TG 41%, Xmas 48% - good trend - I know trends don't put profits on the bottom line - but better than a down trend
But not exactly apples to apples from last year, obviously more domestic/less international for 2020.
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