150,000 Americans Dead
09-15-2020, 04:40 AM
#532
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2008
Posts: 1,530
Originally Posted by Mesabah
The model was built off cell phone traffic, and the spike of cases in August in South Dakota. The problem is that North Dakota had the same spike(actually a higher one), starting well before Sturgis. On top of that, the simulated linear model is laughable.
They don't care however, the article generated the headlines, and that's all they wanted to do.
They don't care however, the article generated the headlines, and that's all they wanted to do.
09-15-2020, 07:08 AM
#533
Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,293
Originally Posted by Purpleanga
You don’t know that.
Seat backs, the fact that you're not facing or normally talking to other pax, the very robust cabin ventilation and filtration, plus the post-covid hygiene measures taken by airlines (and pax) go a very long way towards minimizing risk.
Apparently the way you get covid is by talking right in someone's face, preferably in a loud place where you have to project your voice, and even better if you're drunk and uninhibited. If you avoid that, odds are catching it drop off pretty fast.
09-15-2020, 11:29 AM
#535
Perennial Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 11,503
Originally Posted by Mesabah
A covid transmission on an aircraft is a ridiculously rare event, less than 1 in 40,000 minimum.
Not so for COVID 19’s big brother SARS:
https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa031349
And while COVID appears to have less risk, it’s clearly a whole lot more than 1 in 40,000.
https://www.foxnews.com/travel/asymp...ghts-cdc-study
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/11/20-3353-f1
09-15-2020, 02:36 PM
#536
Gets Everyday Off
Joined APC: Aug 2016
Position: Relaxed
Posts: 6,948
Originally Posted by Mesabah
A covid transmission on an aircraft is a ridiculously rare event, less than 1 in 40,000 minimum.
Results:
91% probability I will get COVID-19.
47% probability I will die from COVID-19.
Just about fell off my chair...laughing. There are crazy bad models out there.
09-15-2020, 04:22 PM
#537
Banned
Joined APC: Sep 2020
Posts: 1
200,000 Americans Dead
Congratulations America! We did it!
A mere 50 days since we crossed the 150,000 deaths mark, we really put American grit on display as we powered through the 200,000 dead milestone. It takes a lot of super-spreader events to hit the 1,000 deaths per day average, and we didn't slow down for a minute. Motorcycle rallies making sure we had new massive outbreaks in the Upper Midwest. Political rallies that deny the existence of the outbreak. And even your local schools are doing their part to pretend there's no problem at all.
But wait, there's more! As the folks in Winterfell say, "Winter is coming!" Cold weather forces people inside and the prevalence of seasonal flu will be the 1 + 2 punch that will take us to the next level.
Can you say 400,000 dead by New Years' Day? Yes we can! Make America Dead Again!
A mere 50 days since we crossed the 150,000 deaths mark, we really put American grit on display as we powered through the 200,000 dead milestone. It takes a lot of super-spreader events to hit the 1,000 deaths per day average, and we didn't slow down for a minute. Motorcycle rallies making sure we had new massive outbreaks in the Upper Midwest. Political rallies that deny the existence of the outbreak. And even your local schools are doing their part to pretend there's no problem at all.
But wait, there's more! As the folks in Winterfell say, "Winter is coming!" Cold weather forces people inside and the prevalence of seasonal flu will be the 1 + 2 punch that will take us to the next level.
Can you say 400,000 dead by New Years' Day? Yes we can! Make America Dead Again!
09-15-2020, 05:27 PM
#539
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2017
Posts: 107
Originally Posted by 200000Dead
Congratulations America! We did it!
A mere 50 days since we crossed the 150,000 deaths mark, we really put American grit on display as we powered through the 200,000 dead milestone. It takes a lot of super-spreader events to hit the 1,000 deaths per day average, and we didn't slow down for a minute. Motorcycle rallies making sure we had new massive outbreaks in the Upper Midwest. Political rallies that deny the existence of the outbreak. And even your local schools are doing their part to pretend there's no problem at all.
But wait, there's more! As the folks in Winterfell say, "Winter is coming!" Cold weather forces people inside and the prevalence of seasonal flu will be the 1 + 2 punch that will take us to the next level.
Can you say 400,000 dead by New Years' Day? Yes we can! Make America Dead Again!
A mere 50 days since we crossed the 150,000 deaths mark, we really put American grit on display as we powered through the 200,000 dead milestone. It takes a lot of super-spreader events to hit the 1,000 deaths per day average, and we didn't slow down for a minute. Motorcycle rallies making sure we had new massive outbreaks in the Upper Midwest. Political rallies that deny the existence of the outbreak. And even your local schools are doing their part to pretend there's no problem at all.
But wait, there's more! As the folks in Winterfell say, "Winter is coming!" Cold weather forces people inside and the prevalence of seasonal flu will be the 1 + 2 punch that will take us to the next level.
Can you say 400,000 dead by New Years' Day? Yes we can! Make America Dead Again!
09-15-2020, 05:37 PM
#540
That/It/Thang
Joined APC: Aug 2020
Posts: 2,848
Originally Posted by 200000Dead
Congratulations America! We did it!
A mere 50 days since we crossed the 150,000 deaths mark, we really put American grit on display as we powered through the 200,000 dead milestone. It takes a lot of super-spreader events to hit the 1,000 deaths per day average, and we didn't slow down for a minute. Motorcycle rallies making sure we had new massive outbreaks in the Upper Midwest. Political rallies that deny the existence of the outbreak. And even your local schools are doing their part to pretend there's no problem at all.
But wait, there's more! As the folks in Winterfell say, "Winter is coming!" Cold weather forces people inside and the prevalence of seasonal flu will be the 1 + 2 punch that will take us to the next level.
Can you say 400,000 dead by New Years' Day? Yes we can! Make America Dead Again!
A mere 50 days since we crossed the 150,000 deaths mark, we really put American grit on display as we powered through the 200,000 dead milestone. It takes a lot of super-spreader events to hit the 1,000 deaths per day average, and we didn't slow down for a minute. Motorcycle rallies making sure we had new massive outbreaks in the Upper Midwest. Political rallies that deny the existence of the outbreak. And even your local schools are doing their part to pretend there's no problem at all.
But wait, there's more! As the folks in Winterfell say, "Winter is coming!" Cold weather forces people inside and the prevalence of seasonal flu will be the 1 + 2 punch that will take us to the next level.
Can you say 400,000 dead by New Years' Day? Yes we can! Make America Dead Again!
We are like pandas in this country, too stupid to screw to save our species. Wear a mask, keep the procedures in place, know we will have knuckleheads who want to buck science, and lets hope we can get to the new year with "only" 300,000 total deaths.
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