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Old 10-01-2022, 07:05 AM
  #61  
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Originally Posted by Trip7 View Post
I admit I was off on the prices this summer. Lots of factors in play, including Biden bleeding off the SPR to buy mid-term votes. Just give it alittlw while longer, Oil prices are going well north of $100 for the foreseeable future

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And another thread ruined by politics...
nice job

The SPR has no real impact on supply.

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Old 10-01-2022, 07:06 AM
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Originally Posted by gloopy View Post
Airlines should just refuse to pay current prices and only pay 2019 prices for as long as they want to. That seems to work.
I see what you did there…
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Old 10-01-2022, 07:18 AM
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Ahhhh I love seeing the predictions come out on forums. And then when you swing and miss, you double down on another bear prediction! You guys would do great on CNBC!!!
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Old 10-01-2022, 07:37 AM
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Originally Posted by notEnuf View Post
And another thread ruined by politics...
nice job

The SPR has no real impact on supply.
Why is he bleeding the SPR dry?
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Old 10-01-2022, 12:47 PM
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Originally Posted by Trip7 View Post
Interestingly enough, jet fuel has not fallen nearly as much as Oil prices

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The crack spread is still way too large. It will continue to moderate downward and we all know that Delta -and to a lesser extend the other majors- all pay much better than retail and significantly better than the spread would indicate.

If they include the dollar amount in the Q3 results, I would expect to see a very reasonable number for average jet fuel cost.
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Old 10-01-2022, 02:46 PM
  #66  
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Originally Posted by Red Forman View Post
Why is he bleeding the SPR dry?
it can literally be for any reason and has been. Price control has never been an effective result.
https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/fi...0Exchanges.pdf
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Old 10-03-2022, 03:42 AM
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Originally Posted by notEnuf View Post
it can literally be for any reason and has been. Price control has never been an effective result.
https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/fi...0Exchanges.pdf
If it isn’t an effective price control, that’s probably why he is doing it.
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Old 12-07-2022, 05:42 PM
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Brent is in the mid $70s today, wow!

That would be like $59/bbl in 2015 dollars.

I’m guessing Q4 is really looking up on the balance sheet, gotta lock in* mediocre pay raises before we realize how big that pie really is!

*OBTW, mediocre rates are “agreed to in principle” however we likely won’t see them on a pay check for 2+ more quarters.
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Old 12-07-2022, 06:22 PM
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You’re going to know Q4 results in mid Jan before the TA is even finalized soooo….
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Old 12-07-2022, 09:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Waggy122 View Post
You’re going to know Q4 results in mid Jan before the TA is even finalized soooo….

For the membership vote, yes. However, the Co. and negotiator have convinced the NC and 53% of the MEC that this was the last and best offer and we need to make it a TA.

It will be a consolation prize to get 10% PS with fuel at post pandemic lows and PRASM +35% compared to 2019. All while we don’t get any retro for half of 2023.

It’s a catch 22 for the line pilot because our NC couldn’t hold the line on retro. Vote no and future PWA is a big question mark. Vote yes and we let the company get months of 2023 at 2019 pay rates.

Smooth move Ex Lax.
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