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Old 06-08-2020, 05:25 PM
  #111  
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Originally Posted by Rayjay View Post
Looks like demand is slowly coming back. Hopefully Delta doesn’t screw this up. Flights have been full. Based on my machine of knowledge and quick napkin math, we should hit 500k by June 20th. If we hit 70% of last years numbers by September I think we’ll be okay.
I actually mostly agree with you here. I think Southwest is winning the frequency game in many markets (and are also blocking middle seats), but there has been a fair amount added to our schedule for the last part of June and that’s good to see.

I would not be surprised to see us hit 500k in the next 7 days, but I will be surprised if we get to 70% of total 2019 numbers this year due to the international slump. Maybe we’ll get to 70-80% of domestic flying (non-international connection domestic flying). I suspect that would probably result in a 10-20% furlough, absent another significant compounding factor. If we did somehow get to 70% of total 2019 numbers, I think we all might somehow scrape by.
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Old 06-08-2020, 06:51 PM
  #112  
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Originally Posted by pad39a View Post
I actually mostly agree with you here. I think Southwest is winning the frequency game in many markets (and are also blocking middle seats), but there has been a fair amount added to our schedule for the last part of June and that’s good to see.

I would not be surprised to see us hit 500k in the next 7 days, but I will be surprised if we get to 70% of total 2019 numbers this year due to the international slump. Maybe we’ll get to 70-80% of domestic flying (non-international connection domestic flying). I suspect that would probably result in a 10-20% furlough, absent another significant compounding factor. If we did somehow get to 70% of total 2019 numbers, I think we all might somehow scrape by.
Yeah. I see a influx of OT hitting today. I just hope Delta isn’t late to the game. SWA is definitely winning currently.
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Old 06-08-2020, 06:57 PM
  #113  
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Delta is trying to win the customer by optics; blocks middle seats, reduced capacity, wearing a mask.

Other airlines, LCCs, are not doing this. Give it a few more weeks and people will sit in the middle seat for a $50 fare to Vegas.
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Old 06-08-2020, 07:19 PM
  #114  
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Originally Posted by Rayjay View Post
Delta is trying to win the customer by optics; blocks middle seats, reduced capacity, wearing a mask.

Other airlines, LCCs, are not doing this. Give it a few more weeks and people will sit in the middle seat for a $50 fare to Vegas.
Exactly. Big Daddy is going to get caught with their pants around their ankles with a decimated network and 60% load cap BS. If you're purchasing a ticket you know and accept the risk. Nobody is being won over with these 'optics' IMO. Just losing money and going to get absolutely gassed by the competition if they really plan to block the middle seat and load cap at 60% until the end of Sept. Even the most loyal of customers will jump ship if it takes them 32hrs or gets flat out denied trying to book an itinerary.
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Old 06-08-2020, 07:23 PM
  #115  
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Originally Posted by JonGoodsell764 View Post
Exactly. Big Daddy is going to get caught with their pants around their ankles with a decimated network and 60% load cap BS. If you're purchasing a ticket you know and accept the risk. Nobody is being won over with these 'optics' IMO. Just losing money and going to get absolutely gassed by the competition if they really plan to block the middle seat and load cap at 60% until the end of Sept. Even the most loyal of customers will jump ship if it takes them 32hrs or gets flat out denied trying to book an itinerary.
Yeah. And the route structure is forcing away a lot of business. 4-6 hour sits for customers in ATL? They’ll just fly Southwest or AA. Don’t want to be forced to wear a mask? They’ll fly Spirit or any airline that doesn’t require it. I haven’t heard anyone say they’ll go out of their way to fly Delta due to the covid “protections”.

The people who won’t fly due to Covid wont change their mind because of a 60% capacity or a blocked middle seat. You had the one off blogger who tried to make a big fuss about a packed AA plane but that quickly died down.
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Old 06-08-2020, 07:46 PM
  #116  
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Originally Posted by Rayjay View Post

Other airlines, LCCs, are not doing this. Give it a few more weeks and people will sit in the middle seat for a $50 fare to Vegas.
It’s s been that way for awhile, Allegiant is back up to 85% of their flights. Spirit will be 550 flights in July from 700-750 (pre covid), and they are not blocking middle seats since the demands are there.
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Old 06-09-2020, 05:47 PM
  #117  
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I find it utterly amazing and stupid that DL is cutting service to these stations. Ed boy is too worried about social injustices.

Here are the 11 affected stations:



Aspen, CO (ASE)

Bangor, ME (BGR)

Erie, PA (ERI)

Flint, MI (FNT)

Fort Smith, AR (FSM)

Lincoln, NE (LNK)

New Bern/Morehead/Beaufort, NC (EWN)

Peoria, IL (PIA)

Santa Barbara, CA (SBA)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, PA (AVP)

Williston, ND (XWA)
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Old 06-09-2020, 08:30 PM
  #118  
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Originally Posted by Rayjay View Post
I find it utterly amazing and stupid that DL is cutting service to these stations. Ed boy is too worried about social injustices.

Here are the 11 affected stations:



Aspen, CO (ASE)

Bangor, ME (BGR)

Erie, PA (ERI)

Flint, MI (FNT)

Fort Smith, AR (FSM)

Lincoln, NE (LNK)

New Bern/Morehead/Beaufort, NC (EWN)

Peoria, IL (PIA)

Santa Barbara, CA (SBA)

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, PA (AVP)

Williston, ND (XWA)
Finally - we agree on something.
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Old 06-09-2020, 08:52 PM
  #119  
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Originally Posted by Meow1215 View Post
Finally - we agree on something.
lol same
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Old 06-10-2020, 07:07 AM
  #120  
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Delta seems to think they know something that the other airlines don't know. I guess we'll see what happens.
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