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Only 180 pilots expected to flow next year!

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Old 06-26-2019 | 11:21 AM
  #21  
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Originally Posted by mketch11
American is consolidating their fleet so 1000 retirements does not equal 1000 new hires. If it did American would be scrambling to increase their training already.
True. It's called furloughing from the top. The more they push flying to regional pilots, the more they can retire and not replace.
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Old 06-26-2019 | 11:38 AM
  #22  
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Originally Posted by Cicada
True. It's called furloughing from the top. The more they push flying to regional pilots, the more they can retire and not replace.
Yep..enjoy those shiny 175s and all the.new routes. You are paying for them with your mainline jobs.
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Old 06-26-2019 | 12:01 PM
  #23  
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Originally Posted by wiz5422
Yep..enjoy those shiny 175s and all the.new routes. You are paying for them with your mainline jobs.
This is exactly right.
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Old 06-26-2019 | 01:55 PM
  #24  
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I would refuse the e175 if I were you guys. Refuse to go to training for it. Everyone bid the e145 the next bid.
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Old 06-26-2019 | 05:38 PM
  #25  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
I think you are looking at the wrong end of the flow. You are looking at what having a flow saves AAG at the wholly owned level. They are looking at the big picture.

Let me digress just a little. Start with a question: Why do the major airlines fall all over themselves to hire some old retiring military O-6 who went through one year of UPT 22 years ago, then flew some non-transport category aircraft for a few thousand hours and has been flying a desk for ten of the last twelve years?

OK, I’ll concede the person is slow training risk and is gonna be motivated, but seriously, an old Warthog driver? How much bombing and strafing does AAG anticipate doing. No, the secret there is old and retiring.

A retired 0-6 is going to be pushing 50, meaning AAG is going to have that dude for 15 years. That’s going to give the guy three years, 20% of his career, at the top of the payscales. And the guys not going to push aggressively for pay, or medical care either, because he’s got retired Colonel pay and Tricare for life.

Now take the guy who gets on at the regional at age 26 and flows to AA 6 years later. That dude is going to be at the top of the payscale for 20 of his 32 years, roughly 60%. He’s going to have a young family too, using a fair amount of medical care.

Per flying year butt in seat time - the old codger is cheaper at the major end of the flight hour career. Relative to the savings of keeping that person at the low end of the payscale, Training a few extra people and giving them a type rating is pretty cheap.

And it’s sort of the same with flow. Every year that AAG can slow flow by hiring non AAG wholly owned pilots outside of the flow is that much less on average they will be paying pilots that do flow.


You gotta look at both ends of the flow to understand the motivation. Follow the $s.
I've gotta bump this. That be some sound reasoning there, son.
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Old 06-26-2019 | 07:06 PM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by Ihavenoidea
Forgive my ignorance but I just don’t understand how the flow could be slowing in a time where AA is nearing 1,000 mandatory retirements per year and taking aircraft deliveries? I get that there will be displacements from the S80 which would slow the flow for a month or two but how else would they cover all of the retiring pilots and fleet expansion? Additionally, non-mil OTS hires make up less than 10% of the annual NH classes which makes things even more confusing. Does this mean I need to join the military to work at AA?
Are you that guy I met last time I was at the training hotel that thought he was going to get "175 CA pay" because he was upgrading to the 175? Because he said the same thing.
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Old 06-26-2019 | 07:56 PM
  #27  
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From the Boeing projections, the US pilot hiring to the majors is projected to be 4,000 pilots per year from the regionals, in the next couple of years as retirements ramp up.

That is after subtracting out military and other civilian pilot hires.

There are 20,000 RJ pilots.

20,000 divided by 4,000 = 5 years on average. At that point, how valuable is a guaranteed 8+ year flow? Something has got to give.
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Old 06-26-2019 | 08:13 PM
  #28  
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Originally Posted by highfarfast
Well, if that's the case, we shouldn't have to negotiate anything away for them to increase the flow.

Let's see how that works out.
Bingo.....
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Old 07-03-2019 | 09:09 AM
  #29  
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Originally Posted by buddies8
I would refuse the e175 if I were you guys. Refuse to go to training for it. Everyone bid the e145 the next bid.
I thought you worked at Envoy. Forgot to switch screen names? It's tough to keep the story straight sometimes, isn't it?
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Old 07-03-2019 | 11:59 AM
  #30  
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Nope just pointing to a fact. Dont preference and only place displacement bid. 145 has more bases and it flows through out the system from one base to another. The e175 just plays yoyo.
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