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When Does AAG Declare Bankruptcy (Yet Again)?

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Envoy Airlines Regional Airline
View Poll Results: When does AA go bankrupt?
Q4, 2020
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When Does AAG Declare Bankruptcy (Yet Again)?

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Old 09-01-2020 | 07:58 PM
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Originally Posted by FullThrust
While true on a payscale basis, don't forget that more junior pilots typically have a family of dependents that AAG covers with health insurance (which isn't cheap). Senior pilots typically do not, with the exception of a spouse. Obviously there are exceptions to this but downplaying the cost savings of furloughing the junior pilots because "they are cheap" is a not as true of a statement as one might initially think.
You think the captain that is on wife three and has kids in their sixth year of college (typically up to age 26) still on his medical don’t count?
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Old 09-01-2020 | 09:14 PM
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Originally Posted by pitchattitude
You think the captain that is on wife three and has kids in their sixth year of college (typically up to age 26) still on his medical don’t count?
Of course they count. But the population of those types gets less and less as individuals get older (read: more senior).
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Old 09-01-2020 | 09:18 PM
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Originally Posted by dera
This is so off the mark I dont even...
Older individuals being less likely to have kids on their health insurance is a hard concept to grasp? My comment was regarding mainline pilots because the post I quoted was regarding mainline furloughs. At the voy most pilots are closer 20 than they are to 65 so the demographic is different.
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Old 09-02-2020 | 12:12 AM
  #44  
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Originally Posted by FullThrust
Older individuals being less likely to have kids on their health insurance is a hard concept to grasp? My comment was regarding mainline pilots because the post I quoted was regarding mainline furloughs. At the voy most pilots are closer 20 than they are to 65 so the demographic is different.
Older, senior pilots are dramatically more expensive.

Besides much higher longevity pay, they have more vacation and get sick more often.
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Old 09-02-2020 | 03:29 AM
  #45  
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Originally Posted by Varsity
Older, senior pilots are dramatically more expensive.

Besides much higher longevity pay, they have more vacation and get sick more often.
AND it needs to be pointed out that the cost of the dependents he's mentioning don't come anywhere close to matching the pay disparity between a recently hired narrowbody FO and a senior widebody captain... or even a senior widebody FO. It's not just the pay scale, it's the seat too.
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Old 09-02-2020 | 05:33 AM
  #46  
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Originally Posted by FullThrust
Older individuals being less likely to have kids on their health insurance is a hard concept to grasp? My comment was regarding mainline pilots because the post I quoted was regarding mainline furloughs. At the voy most pilots are closer 20 than they are to 65 so the demographic is different.
Yeah this is not accurate at all. Lets just assume the difference in cost was something crazy like $3000 a month more for a pilot with dependents (FYI it isn't). So that's a difference of $30000 a year, a lot of money but when you compare it to salaries is just a drop in the bucket for the mainline folks.

I mean a senior wide body captain is making upwards of $300,000 a year and a junior FO just starting out is making $93,000-$135,000 their first and second year. So again, a difference of like $170,000-$200,000 a year. That small difference in health care costs is nothing compared to getting rid of the senior captain in terms of cost savings. When you add in retirement, 16% a year AA pitches in, that far exceeds the cost of the healthcare alone, close to $50,000 a year for that senior captain.

Anyway, all that to say senior pilots are far more valuable to dump than a junior one.
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Old 09-02-2020 | 05:58 AM
  #47  
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Originally Posted by Cyio
Yeah this is not accurate at all. Lets just assume the difference in cost was something crazy like $3000 a month more for a pilot with dependents (FYI it isn't). So that's a difference of $30000 a year, a lot of money but when you compare it to salaries is just a drop in the bucket for the mainline folks.

I mean a senior wide body captain is making upwards of $300,000 a year and a junior FO just starting out is making $93,000-$135,000 their first and second year. So again, a difference of like $170,000-$200,000 a year. That small difference in health care costs is nothing compared to getting rid of the senior captain in terms of cost savings. When you add in retirement, 16% a year AA pitches in, that far exceeds the cost of the healthcare alone, close to $50,000 a year for that senior captain.

Anyway, all that to say senior pilots are far more valuable to dump than a junior one.

Also, since AA is self insured, the health costs of a 60yo couple is probably still statistically higher than a family of 4 with parents in their 40’s.
I’m not going to pretend to have numbers to back that up. It’s just a guess.
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Old 09-02-2020 | 06:16 AM
  #48  
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Originally Posted by Cyio
Yeah this is not accurate at all. Lets just assume the difference in cost was something crazy like $3000 a month more for a pilot with dependents (FYI it isn't). So that's a difference of $30000 a year, a lot of money but when you compare it to salaries is just a drop in the bucket for the mainline folks.

I mean a senior wide body captain is making upwards of $300,000 a year and a junior FO just starting out is making $93,000-$135,000 their first and second year. So again, a difference of like $170,000-$200,000 a year. That small difference in health care costs is nothing compared to getting rid of the senior captain in terms of cost savings. When you add in retirement, 16% a year AA pitches in, that far exceeds the cost of the healthcare alone, close to $50,000 a year for that senior captain.

Anyway, all that to say senior pilots are far more valuable to dump than a junior one.
You are aware that AA self insures right?
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Old 09-02-2020 | 06:19 AM
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Originally Posted by THKooj
You are aware that AA self insures right?
So what, you still have to pay for it, they are just saving a little markup from the middle-man.
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Old 09-02-2020 | 06:20 AM
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Originally Posted by But seriously
Also, since AA is self insured, the health costs of a 60yo couple is probably still statistically higher than a family of 4 with parents in their 40’s.
I’m not going to pretend to have numbers to back that up. It’s just a guess.
Not really, that family of 4 eats up a lot of deductible and then causes the insurance portion to kick in much earlier than that couple in their 60s.
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