Update: ExpressJet SkyWest
#31
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2007
Posts: 3,803
#33
Why don't you ask the Reverend? Isn't that what he advertised to you guys as the reason for launching an expensive venture envolving a new fleet type? Don't be naive, both LK and BB were counting on scope relieve from CAL, two years into the mix, the CRJ's are going away, and there's no scope relieve in sight.
You tell me, I'd be more than happy to list all the threads where RAH's guys quoted the Reverend as saying that the CAL 70 seaters were coming.
You tell me, I'd be more than happy to list all the threads where RAH's guys quoted the Reverend as saying that the CAL 70 seaters were coming.
Has CAL's contract become amendable yet? This would be the only way to get scope relief. If it has not, then there is no point in discussing this.
#34
Banned
Joined APC: May 2007
Posts: 698
Ok, first off, again, nobody was promised 70 seaters here at RAH for CAL. Does Bedford want it? Of course, that is his business plan, to get out the 50 seat market. He never promised us, the pilot group, that we are getting 170s for CAL flying.
Has CAL's contract become amendable yet? This would be the only way to get scope relief. If it has not, then there is no point in discussing this.
Has CAL's contract become amendable yet? This would be the only way to get scope relief. If it has not, then there is no point in discussing this.
#35
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2006
Position: DD->DH->RU/XE soon to be EV
Posts: 3,732
It's been beat to death in the multiple threads, but you DO know what could have happened to XJT, and WE the pilots of XJT, don't you? Would you consider that a good thing for you if you were in our position?
It's OK, you don't have to give me some lip service answer what you THINK you would do.
#36
Gets Weekends Off
Thread Starter
Joined APC: Oct 2006
Position: Left, Right, Left
Posts: 143
As for our 1st quarter earnings, there is a little more to it...
The $31 million loss was based of taking a $9 million loss on our Auction Rate Securities (ASRs) if we were to sell them. That is what a recent offer to buy them were at. However we did not sell them, so the actual loss was $22 million. If the company decides it needs the cash they will sell the ARSs for a loss, but they have already claimed it in the 1st quarter, so it won't reflect on any future quarters.
The loss of $22 million was with the last of our couple of training classes finishing up, we have had none since February. We had a load factor on Branded of 50% for the months of January and February. We had a pulldown on Branded from 200 flights/day to 160/flights a day starting April 1st, the start of the 2nd quarter. We also offered 150 COLA's(Company Offered Leaves of Absence), some of which some fairly senior Captains wanted and were given, starting April 1st, the start of the 2nd quarter.
So my question to those of you who think we burning cash is this: With all these cost saving measures that were taken April 1st, how is our loss going to be greater than $22 million in the 2nd quarter? Also, I would dare to say it will be greatly lower than that, unless something else hits us pretty hard. That said, I really want to see what our 2nd quarter numbers are before I jump to any conclusions. If we are still losing a lot at that point, then I will concede the point, but the company has already taken plenty of strategic moves to lower costs. That said, our April load factor for Branded was 62%, which is much better than it was in 2007, so our revenue stream will be way higher, and I doubt we would lose more money than in 2007. Wait and see what our Load Factor is for May and June and we shall see which way we are headed. We also are moving 11 more aircraft to our Charter division, which has very high margins, starting at the end of August. I think our management has a good plan and I hope we can succeed with it.
The $31 million loss was based of taking a $9 million loss on our Auction Rate Securities (ASRs) if we were to sell them. That is what a recent offer to buy them were at. However we did not sell them, so the actual loss was $22 million. If the company decides it needs the cash they will sell the ARSs for a loss, but they have already claimed it in the 1st quarter, so it won't reflect on any future quarters.
The loss of $22 million was with the last of our couple of training classes finishing up, we have had none since February. We had a load factor on Branded of 50% for the months of January and February. We had a pulldown on Branded from 200 flights/day to 160/flights a day starting April 1st, the start of the 2nd quarter. We also offered 150 COLA's(Company Offered Leaves of Absence), some of which some fairly senior Captains wanted and were given, starting April 1st, the start of the 2nd quarter.
So my question to those of you who think we burning cash is this: With all these cost saving measures that were taken April 1st, how is our loss going to be greater than $22 million in the 2nd quarter? Also, I would dare to say it will be greatly lower than that, unless something else hits us pretty hard. That said, I really want to see what our 2nd quarter numbers are before I jump to any conclusions. If we are still losing a lot at that point, then I will concede the point, but the company has already taken plenty of strategic moves to lower costs. That said, our April load factor for Branded was 62%, which is much better than it was in 2007, so our revenue stream will be way higher, and I doubt we would lose more money than in 2007. Wait and see what our Load Factor is for May and June and we shall see which way we are headed. We also are moving 11 more aircraft to our Charter division, which has very high margins, starting at the end of August. I think our management has a good plan and I hope we can succeed with it.
Unfortunately, too many Jetlinkers are over looking the issues at hand - Mother CAL.
The dish CAL is about to serve XJT could be a real party spoiler.
#37
It's not just my assessment. It's the assessment of those from Wall Street to CNN money to the large investment groups that own sizable amounts of the company. BOD isn't the end all. Once again the shareholders are. Take a look at what's happened with Yahoo!. If the stock dives enough, which it has, no one is safe.
Call your CEO and tell him that. He seems to agree and has stated many times over that he hasn't gotten along with CAL.
Wrong type of growth, hence why i disregarded it. Financially speaking shareholders could care less how much more of the product a company is offering if it offers no return on investment.
Not trying to be rude but that's an exact example of a mistake of his. Analyst disagree all over from the Boyd group to those in the finance sector.
Once again you're looking at "growth" from the physical/pilot standpoint. Investors, who own the company, could care less how many airframes or employees have. They want profit. They didn't want CAL to pull the 69 planes but they hated the idea of branded. Once again read letter on the link. XJT should have given the planes back, stayed profitable, AND restructured to negotiate a new deal with CAL. If they got any of the planes back then they could rehire. They gave up a sure thing.
There's nothing naive about it. There's a reason the CEO has to give a quarterly report. There's a reason he has to answer to the shareholders and that's because he works for them. He's just management and management only. Selected by the owners. Economics don't care who you are. It's like lightning and finds the easiest course. I know exactly what your management promised it would do. The same thing all managements promise. To make money. They haven't. They're hemorrhaging it and it's purely because of the decisions they've made. They went branded and shouldn't have. There's no argument that can be made against that as history has 20/20 vision. They took a gamble and it didn't pay off. Had they given the planes to CAL the company would have never posted a loss. They would have continued to gain value.
Yes people would have been let go but how is that different from now? The only difference is there's a little mud on the face, the investors are upset, CAL wants to work with XJT even less, and their cash is being depleted very quickly. If XJT had followed CALs "orders" they could be sitting where SKYW is currently, buying a regional for their contracts thus leading the way to new expansion. I'm not trying to upset you or anyone else but it's time a few people get real and understand that the "naive mentality of an investor" is the ONLY one that matters. They own the company and what they say goes. Any person in power, ie Ream, is only there by the vote of the investors and there's nothing that can keep them from pulling him out tomorrow(figure of speech I know it takes a little time). It's like establishing a government except with no employment guarantees.
There's a reason we always say things like "I just fly them" when we talk about companies. We aren't part of management and are basically just a number. We have no dog in the fights regardless which is why no one should take ill to anything be said. We're talking management level mistakes, not pilot, that are ruining the company financially. There's nothing personal here unless you are in fact Jim Ream.
Butting heads is a bit of myth
As far as growth by comparison, you clearly disregard the fact that we grew quicker than everyone (still have more airframes than most), and stopped at 274 frames as required by the CPA at the time (and the CBA between CAL and their pilots).
Ream himself has stated multiple time that maintaining the current fleet type makes the most financial sense
How about the famous "Nation" clause in CAL's CPA, how much growth do you expect us to do under such limiting circumstances.
Again, you bring a very naive, "I'm an investor" mentality to the equation, you haven't bother with the facts. Our management team has delivered on everything they told us they would do, which speaks volumes compared to the rest of the industry including the majors.
Yes people would have been let go but how is that different from now? The only difference is there's a little mud on the face, the investors are upset, CAL wants to work with XJT even less, and their cash is being depleted very quickly. If XJT had followed CALs "orders" they could be sitting where SKYW is currently, buying a regional for their contracts thus leading the way to new expansion. I'm not trying to upset you or anyone else but it's time a few people get real and understand that the "naive mentality of an investor" is the ONLY one that matters. They own the company and what they say goes. Any person in power, ie Ream, is only there by the vote of the investors and there's nothing that can keep them from pulling him out tomorrow(figure of speech I know it takes a little time). It's like establishing a government except with no employment guarantees.
There's a reason we always say things like "I just fly them" when we talk about companies. We aren't part of management and are basically just a number. We have no dog in the fights regardless which is why no one should take ill to anything be said. We're talking management level mistakes, not pilot, that are ruining the company financially. There's nothing personal here unless you are in fact Jim Ream.
Last edited by ToiletDuck; 05-31-2008 at 07:46 PM.
#39
no matter how you play it, I wouldn't want to be in the 70-seat market right now. Any market that was turning into a 70-seat market has shrunk back into a 50-seat market. Until you invent a 70-seat jet that burns the same gas as our 50-seat ERJ's we aren't going any where.
Last edited by ToiletDuck; 05-31-2008 at 08:12 PM.
#40
It's not just my assessment. It's the assessment of those from Wall Street to CNN money to the large investment groups that own sizable amounts of the company. BOD isn't the end all. Once again the shareholders are. Take a look at what's happened with Yahoo!. If the stock dives enough, which it has, no one is safe. Call your CEO and tell him that. He seems to agree and has stated many times over that he hasn't gotten along with CAL.
Wrong type of growth, hence why i disregarded it. Financially speaking shareholders could care less how much more of the product a company is offering if it offers no return on investment. Not trying to be rude but that's an exact example of a mistake of his. Analyst disagree all over from the Boyd group to those in the finance sector. Once again you're looking at "growth" from the physical/pilot standpoint. Investors, who own the company, could care less how many airframes or employees have. They want profit. They didn't want CAL to pull the 69 planes but they hated the idea of branded. Once again read letter on the link. XJT should have given the planes back, stayed profitable, AND restructured to negotiate a new deal with CAL. If they got any of the planes back then they could rehire. They gave up a sure thing.
There's nothing naive about it. There's a reason the CEO has to give a quarterly report. There's a reason he has to answer to the shareholders and that's because he works for them. He's just management and management only. Selected by the owners. Economics don't care who you are. It's like lightning and finds the easiest course. I know exactly what your management promised it would do. The same thing all managements promise. To make money. They haven't. They're hemorrhaging it and it's purely because of the decisions they've made. They went branded and shouldn't have. There's no argument that can be made against that as history has 20/20 vision. They took a gamble and it didn't pay off. Had they given the planes to CAL the company would have never posted a loss. They would have continued to gain value.
Yes people would have been let go but how is that different from now? The only difference is there's a little mud on the face, the investors are upset, CAL wants to work with XJT even less, and their cash is being depleted very quickly. If XJT had followed CALs "orders" they could be sitting where SKYW is currently, buying a regional for their contracts thus leading the way to new expansion. I'm not trying to upset you or anyone else but it's time a few people get real and understand that the "naive mentality of an investor" is the ONLY one that matters. They own the company and what they say goes. Any person in power, ie Ream, is only there by the vote of the investors and there's nothing that can't keep them from pulling him out tomorrow(figure of speech I know it takes a little time). It's like establishing a government except with no employment guarantees.
Wrong type of growth, hence why i disregarded it. Financially speaking shareholders could care less how much more of the product a company is offering if it offers no return on investment. Not trying to be rude but that's an exact example of a mistake of his. Analyst disagree all over from the Boyd group to those in the finance sector. Once again you're looking at "growth" from the physical/pilot standpoint. Investors, who own the company, could care less how many airframes or employees have. They want profit. They didn't want CAL to pull the 69 planes but they hated the idea of branded. Once again read letter on the link. XJT should have given the planes back, stayed profitable, AND restructured to negotiate a new deal with CAL. If they got any of the planes back then they could rehire. They gave up a sure thing.
There's nothing naive about it. There's a reason the CEO has to give a quarterly report. There's a reason he has to answer to the shareholders and that's because he works for them. He's just management and management only. Selected by the owners. Economics don't care who you are. It's like lightning and finds the easiest course. I know exactly what your management promised it would do. The same thing all managements promise. To make money. They haven't. They're hemorrhaging it and it's purely because of the decisions they've made. They went branded and shouldn't have. There's no argument that can be made against that as history has 20/20 vision. They took a gamble and it didn't pay off. Had they given the planes to CAL the company would have never posted a loss. They would have continued to gain value.
Yes people would have been let go but how is that different from now? The only difference is there's a little mud on the face, the investors are upset, CAL wants to work with XJT even less, and their cash is being depleted very quickly. If XJT had followed CALs "orders" they could be sitting where SKYW is currently, buying a regional for their contracts thus leading the way to new expansion. I'm not trying to upset you or anyone else but it's time a few people get real and understand that the "naive mentality of an investor" is the ONLY one that matters. They own the company and what they say goes. Any person in power, ie Ream, is only there by the vote of the investors and there's nothing that can't keep them from pulling him out tomorrow(figure of speech I know it takes a little time). It's like establishing a government except with no employment guarantees.
Second, the board just re-elected Ream for another round, no offence, but they know a little better than a 1 year f/o working for a company that has nothing to do with this.
Moving on, anytime you launch a new airline there are cost associated with it and everyone was on board with it, including the majority of the board. It's all business, keeping the aircraft was a business decision, driven by a company culture you're unfamiliar with because you work for RAH. (You could've worked here, but you blew the interview, sorry pal, but everyone should know why you have such bad blood for XJT).
Duck, you and your speculation, saying how CAL does and doesn't want to work with us, where do you get your official word from brother? Even better, post the source of it all. My friend all you've done is speculate, like the investment brokers in wall street when they panic, like the boyd group two months after the facts come out, like the hedge fund guys that are in it for the short term.
My friend you come on here as if you knew the inner workings of our company, you don't, all you know is what you read on the internet. Get educated and form your own opinion, instead of trying to feed us the day to day yahoo finance forums.
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