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Old 11-06-2016 | 04:17 AM
  #201  
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Thanks so much for the information, I know it's about impossible to predict what direction any company is heading in.
well it looks like I'll have to get used to commuting.
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Old 11-06-2016 | 05:27 AM
  #202  
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Originally Posted by EEECBUC
Not sure about who owns L-ASA/XJT jets, that might be part of the equation as well. Perhaps someone with that knowledge can chime in here. But as you can see, SKYW can slowly wind down L-ASA/XJT as they continue to ramp up manning and airframes until they reach a favorable cross over point. It is at that cross over that I believe SKYW will begin to aggressively shutter L-ASA/XJT. This is just my opinion.
On the L-XJT side, they are owned by the United Continental Holding group. They were purchased by Continental when CO owned L-XJT.

FlightDirector,
From the L-XJT side and partly applies to the L-ASA side.

There is not a company anywhere in the world that can train 1000 pilots overnight. That is the amount for just 100 airplanes. Our planes are being moved to a company that is 40% owned by United. They are still ramping up the hiring at C5 (commutair) and they are running classes of ~25 a month. (2-3 planes). If the XJT management came out and stated they were closing down the airline, they would have no one left to fly the remaing planes they are stuck with. If management did not say anything at all, then pilots would know that they are closing down the place. The XJT management is very cautious in what they tell the pilots and they give the little carrot every once in a while, making it look good. (CPA extensions that don't happen) An example of that is we were told UA extended the CPA at the first part of 2016 and we would not park any planes. There is a list on the L-xjt forum that will show you how many have been parked this year Parked Aircraft - Page 77

XJT is a good company with a good contract. It used to be a great company with a great contract, but we are still operating under a contract that has concessionary rates (even with the 1.50 raise) that was put in place in 2004.


One last point about the recruiters. They have been saying for years that the upgrade time will drop to a couple of years in a very short amount of time. Go to the facebook page and go back a couple of years if you don't believe me. The dates they use do not even add up. Shorter upgrade times will never happen. They are at 10 years now. The best they could do is upgrade 80 people and get it down to 7.5 years. I think we upgraded 15 this year.

Also, if XJT was serious about hiring pilots, there would be a bonus like the other carriers. $60,000 is more than I make at XJT and I was hired in 2007.
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Old 11-06-2016 | 05:43 AM
  #203  
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Originally Posted by N1234
This is really simple…

INC is just optimizing their profitability.

XJT hasn’t been profitable for a long time and still isn’t based on the last INC earnings call. So They try to discontinue unprofitable flying. This is no different from the SkyWest side where all the UA 700 go away mostly because they are just not very profitable.

Once those aircraft EMB145 or CRJ 700 come of contract it is really about managing the tail risk of the lease financing - a place where many of the CRJ 200 already are. Ideally, they match any contract extension against the residual lease timeline which tends to be 2-3 years. And that is exactly what you see. After that it is all gravy if they get extended – or INC returns the plane, adjusts the work force via attrition and goes home happy.

So they are going for shorter term opportunities that also happen to be priced at a premium. Again, no difference between XJT and SKYW. A lot of the 50 seater flying at SKYW is short-term as well. I don't think UA is thrilled about this approach but that’s why they are propping up C5. Presumably they are willing and able to operate at lower price than INC wants to do either under XJT or SKYW. Note that a lot of the "new" SKYW flying is not with UA but AA....

Personally, I believe the 50 seaters will be here for a lot longer than everyone wants to make us believe. So these 2-3 deals will continue to roll barring any major economic downturn.

As for new dual class cabin flying, it simply comes down to unit cost. Pilot productivity is higher at SKYW than XJT and as a result unit cost are a lower (PBS vs. hard line with vacation touching and I am sure a host of other things). So the 175 stuff goes there – very basic economics really.
Express Jet could be profitable again if Skywest wanted them to be. You make it sound like It's the fault of Express Jet for not being profitable.
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Old 11-06-2016 | 06:29 AM
  #204  
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I definitely see your point.
I was pretty set on XJT when I first started looking at the regionals, I toured their offices in Atlanta and they really put on a good show. I don't have anything concrete tying me to Atlanta, I'm mainly just hoping to stay here because I have a really good network. I'm the backup pilot for a couple of small part 91 flight departments in the area that I could continue to fly for to supplement my income. I'm also an IA with a great reputation in the area allowing me to cherry pick annuals and other profitable maintenance work which really helps. I might be trying to hard to juggle everything right off. The other option is to cut bait and go with the regional that will have me off reserve as quickly as possible and offers the best upgrade times regardless of having to move or commute.

I'm not looking to retire at XJT by any means, like most everyone else I'm looking for a stepping stone to the majors. With what I've seen in regards to mandatory retirements and (as of right now) a growing demand for pilots I think hiring at the majors is really going to ramp up starting mid 2017. I figure with my current times and experience I'll be a strong contender for the majors with about 2 years at a regional. Any thoughts on weather I could ride out XJT and start applying at everything with a wide body after 12 to 14 months on the line?
With how volatile the industry is I find it's really hard to formulate a good plan.
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Old 11-06-2016 | 08:05 AM
  #205  
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Originally Posted by FlightDirector
I definitely see your point.
I was pretty set on XJT when I first started looking at the regionals, I toured their offices in Atlanta and they really put on a good show. I don't have anything concrete tying me to Atlanta, I'm mainly just hoping to stay here because I have a really good network. I'm the backup pilot for a couple of small part 91 flight departments in the area that I could continue to fly for to supplement my income. I'm also an IA with a great reputation in the area allowing me to cherry pick annuals and other profitable maintenance work which really helps. I might be trying to hard to juggle everything right off. The other option is to cut bait and go with the regional that will have me off reserve as quickly as possible and offers the best upgrade times regardless of having to move or commute.

I'm not looking to retire at XJT by any means, like most everyone else I'm looking for a stepping stone to the majors. With what I've seen in regards to mandatory retirements and (as of right now) a growing demand for pilots I think hiring at the majors is really going to ramp up starting mid 2017. I figure with my current times and experience I'll be a strong contender for the majors with about 2 years at a regional. Any thoughts on weather I could ride out XJT and start applying at everything with a wide body after 12 to 14 months on the line?
With how volatile the industry is I find it's really hard to formulate a good plan.
If you work for a regional, you will not be able to work on the side doing any flight stuff.

There are several questions that you need to ask yourself before moving forward.

1. Do I want to get to a major, and if so, which one.
2. Is it better to commute than to go to an airline near my home.
3. Is it better to be on reserve at home or off reserve somewhere else.
4. If I commute, where do I want to be based and how fast to be based there.


things to think about from above questions.
1. if you want a major, look for a flow or CPP type program for the airline that you want or for your second and third choices.
2. if the regional is not that good, going out of business, continuous reserve time, no flow or cpp, then you will be better off commuting.
3. On rsv, you will only get min guarantee at most places. Can you live on 75 hours at $37 an hour for years? getting a line will increase your pay and QOL.
4. look for the number of flights that will get you from your home airport (atl) to the companies bases. also look to see which base is jr and how long you will be there before getting a base that you can fly to easily.

Last item will be the bonus money if it applies. get the details behind the money (ie. mesa requires you to sign away your life) or how much of it you will get with the stipulations.

If you have any questions about XJT or C5 (commutair), feel free to ask me. I was at L-XJT for 9 years before giving up as an FO and unable to upgrade making less money for the last couple of years. I am at C5 now and I am getting ready to upgrade.
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Old 11-06-2016 | 08:07 AM
  #206  
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Originally Posted by gojo
Express Jet could be profitable again if Skywest wanted them to be. You make it sound like It's the fault of Express Jet for not being profitable.
It's all SkyWest, just with an ExpressJet name on some of the planes. None of it is controlled by ExpressJet.
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Old 11-06-2016 | 08:28 AM
  #207  
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Originally Posted by No Lies
It's all SkyWest, just with an ExpressJet name on some of the planes. None of it is controlled by ExpressJet.
Do you see any chance that skywest would base out of Atlanta and bring on XJT pilots or is it more likely they will just furlough the XJT guys and move their own pilots into ATL when the time comes?
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Old 11-06-2016 | 08:31 AM
  #208  
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If this 2018 extension update is true then why did they just file a 10Q with the SEC a few days ago stating 2017 is the expiration date for 145's. That's the big question. They can't get in trouble for lying to us. There aren't any federal fines with that.
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Old 11-06-2016 | 08:32 AM
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Originally Posted by gojo
Express Jet could be profitable again if Skywest wanted them to be. You make it sound like It's the fault of Express Jet for not being profitable.
Do you think INC enjoys losing money? They have been negotiating the contracts to improve the revenue side and they have been working hard to improve cost incl. what many at XJET considered a concessionary contract.

The end result is still revenue < cost and I don't think it is for lack of trying.

You can argue who's fault it is but I don't think anyone would want to shut it down if they had a choice.

As for giving XJET more profitable 2 cabin class flying .... What do you'd I with your money? Take it to a bank that delivers 5% interest or one that gives you 1% interest?
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Old 11-06-2016 | 09:02 AM
  #210  
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Originally Posted by FlightDirector
I'm now at the point of deciding which regional to go with. I'm a short drive from Atlanta so ExpressJet is very attractive from a commuting standpoint. Talking to the recruiter it sounds like getting an Atlanta domicile within 6 months is reasonably probability. This makes XJT very attractive from a standpoint of QOL but everything I read on this and some other forums is predicting doom and gloom for XJT.

Granted I'll admit I've really only been closely looking at the airlines for the last 6 months so I'm still trying to get a feel for this segment of aviation.

What I see in most predictions is SkyWest slowly shutting XJT down by the end of 2017. I realize this is all speculation and a guessing game but XJT seems to be putting a lot of effort into recruiting, surely they have a more optimistic outlook on the future of the company. From what I see I think the majors are going to be really ramping up their hiring starting in 2017. Anychance some of the senior guys at XJT will be moving on and decreasing the upgrade times? If Skywest really does close down XJT surely they'll put a domicile in ATL. Is there anychance XJT pilots will have any sort of priority hiring for SkyWest? Surely they won't just cut that many trained pilots when they also seem to be looking for staff as well.

I've been flying corporate for a number of years and the airlines are looking pretty attractive from the standpoint of benefits and salary. I'm taking a financial hit going to the regionals now but even a second year first officer at most of the major airlines is making as much as the director / chief pilot of most small flight departments.

It's a damn tough decision that I'm hoping will pay off in the end.

Any thoughts and input is appreciated.

Stay away from xjt. Don't listen to the recruiters lies either. I recently left and it was the smartest move I did. There is no future at xjt. I was on reserve the entire time I was there. Each month the reserve got longer and longer. The possibilities of holding a line became slimmer and slimmer. Scheduling manipulates the trips. They hide the ones in open time so reserve guys won't be able to pick them up. I've tracked trips and seen them do it. There were multiple trips I was wanting to pick up and when I called to pick them up, scheduling told me they were already picked up by someone else. Not true. I later saw a reserve guy schedule and it had been awarded to him.

XJT is the defnintion of stagnant. Don't waste years of your life at a place like this. Even though you have the chance of driving, commuting to a different domicile will be worth it in the long run. OO is taking everything and will continue to take everything. The matter of staffing is always the excuse at xjt. Every email you receive from company is the same story about how they working hard to recruiter pilots.

I feel bad for them. They DO work hard but it's nearly impossible to convince someone to come here and spend 2 plus years on reserve. That is not even mentioning the upgrade time of 10 years. Once you upgrade, if you ever do, you'll end up back on reserve for an additional 6 plus years. It's happening right now!

Look at another place that's relatively stable and can provide career progression. You don't want to be at the bottom of the seniority list till you retire. That's what is happening at XJT.
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