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Old 09-14-2023, 06:13 PM
  #4261  
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Originally Posted by AlternateLaw View Post
Unfortunately between our upcoming Q3 results, which now don’t look promising, and some indications of a possible cooling economy we might be seeing the start.
Don't we still have quite a few airplanes being delivered in the near future? I get a cooling, but a freeze? With all time high attrition, and deliveries, I don't know how we can stop.
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Old 09-14-2023, 06:52 PM
  #4262  
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Originally Posted by FlyingR6 View Post
Don't we still have quite a few airplanes being delivered in the near future? I get a cooling, but a freeze? With all time high attrition, and deliveries, I don't know how we can stop.
Yeah you know. I seem to remember they said similar things prior to Covid. Legacies have to hire because the retirement numbers were staring them in the face.

Next thing you know hiring completely stopped, hiring pools were flushed, early outs were on the table, warn notices/furloughs were imminent, and there was going to be hugely expensive training events because everyone was going to be moving seats. And then a year and a half later the pilot shortage finally happened.

Who knows. Anyone who says they know, or anything is guaranteed in an order book is lying.

Don’t believe anything until you’re in the seat and past “V1, Rotate”
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Old 09-14-2023, 07:23 PM
  #4263  
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They say it’s an ill wind that blows no good. A lot of regionals are CA limited with big backups in their FO hiring. Which means that the second tier majors (AS, B6, NK, and F9) are getting a shot at some of the better pilot candidates who have not yet done much if any 121 flying. Makes it a lot easier on recruiting if not on training people or the line CAs that will be doing a lot of unpaid OE training.
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Old 09-14-2023, 07:56 PM
  #4264  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
You have limited time and leverage in contract negotiations. How much of either would you spend on a ONE TIME $7 item in a 35 year career? Not all battles are worth fighting, even if you are in the right. Spend the effort on something that’s actually worth it. Something that won’t make a neutral arbiter think you are a cheap entitled fool.
Oh my sweet Satan, people like you.
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Old 09-15-2023, 02:50 AM
  #4265  
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Originally Posted by FlyingR6 View Post
Don't we still have quite a few airplanes being delivered in the near future? I get a cooling, but a freeze? With all time high attrition, and deliveries, I don't know how we can stop.
I bet it’s a training backlog. Only thing that makes sense. Which is great because it means they can’t out hire attrition which I’ve been saying all along.
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Old 09-15-2023, 10:16 PM
  #4266  
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Originally Posted by JoeFever1 View Post
I bet it’s a training backlog. Only thing that makes sense. Which is great because it means they can’t out hire attrition which I’ve been saying all along.
That was somewhat believable until the disappearance of the recruiting social media
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Old 09-16-2023, 04:55 AM
  #4267  
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Originally Posted by Bronteroc View Post
That was somewhat believable until the disappearance of the recruiting social media
I was told from a sim guy that they are going to start doing 80 a month and 30-40 upgrades.... He was wondering how it will get done though.
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Old 09-16-2023, 09:57 AM
  #4268  
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Originally Posted by spooldup View Post
I was told from a sim guy that they are going to start doing 80 a month and 30-40 upgrades.... He was wondering how it will get done though.
Not anymore!

I think Biffle is freaking out about the economy and load factors. I think they are going to reduce block hours going forward
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Old 09-16-2023, 10:09 AM
  #4269  
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Originally Posted by Aero1900 View Post
Not anymore!

I think Biffle is freaking out about the economy and load factors. I think they are going to reduce block hours going forward
ULCC doesn't work. We're now UULCC

Haven't they said for years that we will do better in a down economy?
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Old 09-16-2023, 07:59 PM
  #4270  
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Originally Posted by DumboDrop View Post
ULCC doesn't work. We're now UULCC

Haven't they said for years that we will do better in a down economy?
haha yes, we are now doubling down on costs. Not sure what and m we've been doing for the past 10 years?

To your second point, I think that there is a good track record of low cost airlines doing well in down economies..We really haven't seen a down economy yet. Covid was different. We might start to see a real slow down in the near future. Then we will see what's what. All the airlines are now adjusting down their forecast profits.
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