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Bozo the pilot 06-28-2018 01:58 PM


Originally Posted by BeatNavy (Post 2624003)
The codeshares themselves aren’t that profitable, but the pax getting into our network become profitable when they connect on us. Using the ALK example, if we throw a bunch of people into codeshares on the west coast and make money off them when they board a connecting JetBlue plane, the company makes money. Great. A JetBlue pilot flies that pax at some point. Great. What’s not great is now the company has less reason to try to expand organically in those markets. They are already getting connections from those markets on a HZ/SKW/ALK plane.

How do you imagine we will lose flying without codeshares I’m speaking about? We don’t currently have those codeshares. The codeshares we have are on routes/equipment we don’t/can’t feasibly fly. BOS-ACK? Don’t care about that piston flying. Intl connections we can’t fly ourselves? Don’t care, until we have the capability to fly it ourselves. FLL-JAX I believe is what N8 used as a silver example...but I can’t seem to find any FLL-JAX direct flights on silver, so I dunno if that’s via a 2 leg silver flight. Regardless, if silver connects our pax elsewhere that we don’t fly...that’s fine.

What I do care about is codeshares we don’t have yet, eg Alaska. Alaska connecting all our pax to intra-cali and other west coast flying we just can’t seem to get right. The good part about it is it could add more pax to our network. The bad part: that limits our need to grow in there on our own. My whole point is codeshares are fine for places we can’t fly ourselves. But for places we can fly ourselves, we should do it ourselves. And we should put limits on existing codeshares for places which we become capable of flying (HNL, or wherever). But this TA leaves domestic codeshares wide open. I just see ALK/Moxy codeshares growing faster than our own organic growth under those agreements. If we had solid growth I wouldn’t be as concerned. But clearly our west coast strategy is failing, our block hour growth is anemic, and the provisions and protections in codesharing are pretty slim.

If the company “wouldn’t codeshare out that much flying” as you state, why wouldn’t they let us limit it in the TA or allow more strict codeshare controls? Clearly they want it for a reason. If they didn’t want to expand our codeshares, they would have allowed us to codify what we have now and just codeshare on routes we can’t feasibly fly, domestically and internationally. And to your point about more specifics adding up to be thousands of pages long, this language I want could exist in the same space that exists now, with different wording.

When has a company not tried to limit everything a pilot group has asked for? Why would they let us eliminate it completely? We state our desire, they state their limits. Negotiations.
My point about the length of a 100% restrictive contract is that its not possible. We negotiate to a point where we feel we get enough restriction or at least some restriction and then we move on to the other parts of Scope like FFD/M&A etc. Could we have stipulated more of a growth number? Sure. As well we could have gotten pay higher/benefits and profit sharing. I am okay with the section including the Codesharing language.
I see why you want elimination of codeshares just like SWA, but do you want their work rules. At some point you have to accept the give and take of the process.
In respect BN.

expectholding 06-28-2018 09:33 PM


Originally Posted by BeatNavy (Post 2624003)
How do you imagine we will lose flying without codeshares I’m speaking about? We don’t currently have those codeshares. The codeshares we have are on routes/equipment we don’t/can’t feasibly fly. BOS-ACK? Don’t care about that piston flying. Intl connections we can’t fly ourselves? Don’t care, until we have the capability to fly it ourselves. FLL-JAX I believe is what N8 used as a silver example...but I can’t seem to find any FLL-JAX direct flights on silver, so I dunno if that’s via a 2 leg silver flight. Regardless, if silver connects our pax elsewhere that we don’t fly...that’s fine.

Silver Airways Begins Flights From Fort Lauderdale to Jacksonville | New Times Broward-Palm Beach

It appears they did it, and now they dont, and we do...im guessing because we could make money on it.

And are you saying you "dont care about that piston flying" when its now jet flying that we do?? How do you make sense?

Bluedriver 06-28-2018 09:41 PM


Originally Posted by GuppyPuppy (Post 2623908)
So, what is to stop someone from starting an airline with E2s or C-Series that sells their own tickets and codeshares with JB? Maybe competing with JB initially at a loss, JB management exits the route because yields are down, then code shares with that same airline that drove them out of the market?

This is how we will keep growing...with metal from another carrier. And all JB has to do is net +1 pilot/year?

Very concerning.

Yes, I watched the video. Yes, I've read the scope. Seems to me this threatens JB...or maybe I'm just too stupid to get this through my head.

GP

Oh, I think you are referring to MOXY!!!

Bluedriver 06-28-2018 10:10 PM


Originally Posted by Bozo the pilot (Post 2624016)
When has a company not tried to limit everything a pilot group has asked for? Why would they let us eliminate it completely? We state our desire, they state their limits. Negotiations.
My point about the length of a 100% restrictive contract is that its not possible. We negotiate to a point where we feel we get enough restriction or at least some restriction and then we move on to the other parts of Scope like FFD/M&A etc. Could we have stipulated more of a growth number? Sure. As well we could have gotten pay higher/benefits and profit sharing. I am okay with the section including the Codesharing language.
I see why you want elimination of codeshares just like SWA, but do you want their work rules. At some point you have to accept the give and take of the process.
In respect BN.

Navy had a great explanation. The FAQ is down playing the issue. The codeshare would be intra-cali and intra-west. We CAN'T fly those routes because there are NO more gates available at the premium airports, which would be at one end of each leg we would codeshare on. To fly the routes we would codeshare on, we would instead have to build a robust intra-cali/west route network. We can't (no gates) and we haven't and we won't (cost to develop is way more than JB is willing to RISK and INVEST). Buy VA was the strategy to begin a West coast network, it failed. You won't like the new strategy nearly as much.

I can virtually guarantee our JB NC opening position was NO domestic codeshare, like SW. The company would have refused. Our fallback position was highly likely to be very limited domestic codeshare. The company again refused.

We ended up with almost unrestricted domestic codeshare because the company demanded it.

In this contract the company didn't really give up ANYTHING it held completely sacred, except MAYBE 5hr ADG. We went into this virtually demanding better healthcare and improvements to the unilateral profit sharing plan they crammed down our throats. We failed.

We got RJ scope (because the company had no intention of capacity purchase agreements, still glad we got it in writing) and we DIDN'T achieve strong limits on domestic codesharing because the company refused (we may very well learn why soon enough).

Bluedriver 06-28-2018 10:19 PM


Originally Posted by Bozo the pilot (Post 2623975)
Exactly- Now after a TA, theyll find the loophole that makes them less money, just to **** us off?
No, theyll continue to operate to make cash, while we will have more protection, pay and QOL.

For most of JBs existence, the airline planned to eventually build it's own West coast network or buy Virgin America.

They now realize they can't do either.

Plan C is most likely Alaska codeshare, Moxy codeshare to smaller airports out West and more JetSuiteX out West..

Bluedriver 06-28-2018 10:25 PM


Originally Posted by BeatNavy (Post 2624003)
The codeshares themselves aren’t that profitable, but the pax getting into our network become profitable when they connect on us. Using the ALK example, if we throw a bunch of people into codeshares on the west coast and make money off them when they board a connecting JetBlue plane, the company makes money. Great. A JetBlue pilot flies that pax at some point. Great. What’s not great is now the company has less reason to try to expand organically in those markets. They are already getting connections from those markets on a HZ/SKW/ALK plane.

How do you imagine we will lose flying without codeshares I’m speaking about? We don’t currently have those codeshares. The codeshares we have are on routes/equipment we don’t/can’t feasibly fly. BOS-ACK? Don’t care about that piston flying. Intl connections we can’t fly ourselves? Don’t care, until we have the capability to fly it ourselves. FLL-JAX I believe is what N8 used as a silver example...but I can’t seem to find any FLL-JAX direct flights on silver, so I dunno if that’s via a 2 leg silver flight. Regardless, if silver connects our pax elsewhere that we don’t fly...that’s fine.

What I do care about is codeshares we don’t have yet, eg Alaska. Alaska connecting all our pax to intra-cali and other west coast flying we just can’t seem to get right. The good part about it is it could add more pax to our network. The bad part: that limits our need to grow in there on our own. My whole point is codeshares are fine for places we can’t fly ourselves. But for places we can fly ourselves, we should do it ourselves. And we should put limits on existing codeshares for places which we become capable of flying (HNL, or wherever). But this TA leaves domestic codeshares wide open. I just see ALK/Moxy codeshares growing faster than our own organic growth under those agreements. If we had solid growth I wouldn’t be as concerned. But clearly our west coast strategy is failing, our block hour growth is anemic, and the provisions and protections in codesharing are pretty slim.

If the company “wouldn’t codeshare out that much flying” as you state, why wouldn’t they let us limit it in the TA or allow more strict codeshare controls? Clearly they want it for a reason. If they didn’t want to expand our codeshares, they would have allowed us to codify what we have now and just codeshare on routes we can’t feasibly fly, domestically and internationally. And to your point about more specifics adding up to be thousands of pages long, this language I want could exist in the same space that exists now, with different wording.

Another great post.

Your first paragraph is the big explanation. This is how/why Delta-Alaska and AA-Alaska maintained large domestic codeshares for so many years in SEA.

The argument that JB won't domestic codeshare because it only makes pennies on the dollar is wrong, proven by history. Delta and Alaska are two of the highest margin airlines in the world, and only reduced their codeshare because AK refused to end it's codeshare with AA.

I have to ask you guys, did Alaska and Delta not want the "whole dollar"?

You are not seeing all the moving parts.

rvr1800 06-29-2018 03:46 AM

You guys worried about the codeshare thing realize there has been nothing stopping jetBlue from doing this for its entire existence right?

BeatNavy 06-29-2018 04:08 AM


Originally Posted by expectholding (Post 2624291)
Silver Airways Begins Flights From Fort Lauderdale to Jacksonville | New Times Broward-Palm Beach

It appears they did it, and now they dont, and we do...im guessing because we could make money on it.

And are you saying you "dont care about that piston flying" when its now jet flying that we do?? How do you make sense?

How do i make sense? Cape air flies piston twins. We codeshare with cape. Cape flies small planes on small short routes not exactly suited for jets, therefore by codesharing with them we aren’t losing anything. Same argument as the widebody side...we don’t have equipment suited for those routes. Silver flies turboprops. They are the FLL-JAX codeshare example used in the section 1 video. I’m guessing you haven’t watched it. Everyone else seems to understand what I’m saying.

BeatNavy 06-29-2018 04:15 AM


Originally Posted by rvr1800 (Post 2624343)
You guys worried about the codeshare thing realize there has been nothing stopping jetBlue from doing this for its entire existence right?

You realize we tried to buy an airline to grow our west coast presence after our entire existence we were told “organic growth” only? We’ve always been a growth airline and grown organically...until we don’t. We have failed at growing in the west coast, especially recently. Buying virgin—fail. Organic growth in/out of LGB—fail. They are obviously getting creative now. Just because we can do it and have been able to doesn’t mean we won’t...hence the company’s desire to keep the option open with few restrictions.

Bluedriver 06-29-2018 04:27 AM


Originally Posted by rvr1800 (Post 2624343)
You guys worried about the codeshare thing realize there has been nothing stopping jetBlue from doing this for its entire existence right?

Holy cow, I just explained that two posts ago:

"For most of JBs existence, the airline planned to eventually build it's own West coast network or buy Virgin America.

They now realize they can't do either.

Plan C is most likely Alaska codeshare, Moxy codeshare to smaller airports out West and more JetSuiteX out West.."


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