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JetBlue headed for bankruptcy

Old 04-28-2026 | 12:50 PM
  #101  
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Originally Posted by MergingTargets
Is it just me or did we lose a ***pile of cash even without including the extra fuel cost?
Yes. Also jetforward is not working. Even at the previously guided fuel costs, we would’ve only improved by ~$6 million quarter over quarter. That’s taking the midpoint fuel cost and multiplying it by the 193 million gallons in fuel we used. So without the fuel cost spike, we would’ve only lost roughly $202 million (vs $208 in Q1 25)….

The saddest part is that’s not even the reality of the situation. It’s that we lost $111 million more this quarter than Q1 25.

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Old 04-28-2026 | 02:08 PM
  #102  
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Originally Posted by STIorSTD
Yes. Also jetforward is not working. Even at the previously guided fuel costs, we would’ve only improved by ~$6 million quarter over quarter. That’s taking the midpoint fuel cost and multiplying it by the 193 million gallons in fuel we used. So without the fuel cost spike, we would’ve only lost roughly $202 million (vs $208 in Q1 25)….

The saddest part is that’s not even the reality of the situation. It’s that we lost $111 million more this quarter than Q1 25.
~200 mil was my math, too. We’re not improving, even without all the external noise.
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Old 04-28-2026 | 02:23 PM
  #103  
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Originally Posted by holiday
At least the stock isn’t down 30% like usual. #winning
They will wait to drop it After hours on WED or Premarket THU for all the CSPP donors.
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Old 04-28-2026 | 11:09 PM
  #104  
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Why is the stock still up? Typically, it drops substantially post earnings.
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Old 04-29-2026 | 02:23 AM
  #105  
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Originally Posted by benzoate
Why is the stock still up? Typically, it drops substantially post earnings.
maybe because it looks like the govt deal for NK is at an impasse

my guess is NK going away will strengthen F9 & JB
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Old 04-29-2026 | 02:48 AM
  #106  
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Originally Posted by benzoate
Why is the stock still up? Typically, it drops substantially post earnings.
The revenue and CASM-ex guide that JBLU offered for 2Q was pretty strong.

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Old 04-29-2026 | 04:34 AM
  #107  
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Originally Posted by SmitteyB
The revenue and CASM-ex guide that JBLU offered for 2Q was pretty strong.
I noticed this too. Analysts are projecting (currently) a small loss of -0.03 to - 0.10 for Q2. The 2nd Q might just eek out a small profit like the surprise profit in Q2 a couple years ago, or break even. Q2 is usually the strongest though, with Q3 being ok but not as strong.
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Old 04-29-2026 | 04:57 AM
  #108  
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Originally Posted by SmitteyB
I have long said that Neeleman doesn’t have a viable business plan in any of his airlines that doesn’t include discount labor.
Every airline he has been involved in had the same business plan. Super cheap labor. When that labor becomes not so cheap he leaves or sells or merges.
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Old 04-29-2026 | 06:17 AM
  #109  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
Every airline he has been involved in had the same business plan. Super cheap labor. When that labor becomes not so cheap he leaves or sells or merges.
When you cater to vacation travel as he always does there is the smallest of profit margins. When labor costs are the same as everyone, that business model doesnt work. All his airlines are targeted at leisure travel.
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Old 04-29-2026 | 06:20 AM
  #110  
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I know this lacks the appropriate level of cynicism for an internet discussion, but projections actually look pretty good. RASM is growing twice as fast as CASM. Incremental EBIT next year is forecasted around $900M.
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