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Old Yesterday | 02:44 PM
  #171  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
CH11 doesn't make Jetblue a "more attractive merger target" any more than either of the two Spirit CH11 made it more attractive.

Most of Jetblue's $8.5B in debt is secured, which means its tied to the planes. If Jetblue wants to lower their debt, its going to have to give back a lot of planes. They don't just get to write it off and keep the assets. I can't imagine anyone right now that would want to take on all that debt. Jetblue has the highest debt compared to its market share and RPMs of any other airline.

If no one wanted Spirit and their $2B in debt then I can't imagine anyone wanting to take on Jetblue and its $8.5B in debt (and growing). No chance F9 can borrow enough money to buy B6. They are already have a high risk credit rating and Jetblue's credit rating is deep junk.
In Ch.11 secured lenders might well negotiate a reduced rate to facilitate a merger, if they don't really want to repo hundreds of planes and try to re-home them in potentially a down market (depends a lot on market conditions). Other obligations could be re-negotiated as well.

An acquisition by a stronger carrier is appealing to creditors, since it can improve what was an iffy long-term ROI to one that looks more reliable.

Ch.11 definitely puts creditors on notice that it's time to negotiate, and stock value would be low, that's appealing to potential buyers.
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Old Yesterday | 02:53 PM
  #172  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
CH11 doesn't make Jetblue a "more attractive merger target" any more than either of the two Spirit CH11 made it more attractive.

Most of Jetblue's $8.5B in debt is secured, which means its tied to the planes. If Jetblue wants to lower their debt, its going to have to give back a lot of planes. They don't just get to write it off and keep the assets. I can't imagine anyone right now that would want to take on all that debt. Jetblue has the highest debt compared to its market share and RPMs of any other airline.

If no one wanted Spirit and their $2B in debt then I can't imagine anyone wanting to take on Jetblue and its $8.5B in debt (and growing). No chance F9 can borrow enough money to buy B6. They are already have a high risk credit rating and Jetblue's credit rating is deep junk.

No administration is going to block any airline mergers for a while after what happened with Spirit, but until someone tries to buy Jetblue it doesn't matter.
I can’t understand your incessant need to keep posting here.
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Old Yesterday | 02:57 PM
  #173  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
CH11 doesn't make Jetblue a "more attractive merger target" any more than either of the two Spirit CH11 made it more attractive.

Most of Jetblue's $8.5B in debt is secured, which means its tied to the planes. If Jetblue wants to lower their debt, its going to have to give back a lot of planes. They don't just get to write it off and keep the assets. I can't imagine anyone right now that would want to take on all that debt. Jetblue has the highest debt compared to its market share and RPMs of any other airline.

If no one wanted Spirit and their $2B in debt then I can't imagine anyone wanting to take on Jetblue and its $8.5B in debt (and growing). No chance F9 can borrow enough money to buy B6. They are already have a high risk credit rating and Jetblue's credit rating is deep junk.

No administration is going to block any airline mergers for a while after what happened with Spirit, but until someone tries to buy Jetblue it doesn't matter.
You telling me someone doesn't want 10 billion dollars of spent 320s and 220s? Crazy I tell you.
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Old Yesterday | 03:35 PM
  #174  
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Originally Posted by BlueDrlver
You telling me someone doesn't want 10 billion dollars of spent 320s and 220s? Crazy I tell you.
Doesn't WN have something crazy like $40B in cash?

If so, they could just buy B6 outright. Either get the dual fleet thing finally or they could sell or lease the metal themselves and make money off their own competition.
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Old Yesterday | 04:10 PM
  #175  
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Originally Posted by Roy Biggins
I can’t understand your incessant need to keep posting here.
Its literally a place to discuss Jetblue. You just don't like my opinion. You can just skip my posts when you see my handle if you don't want to read what I have to say because its not what you believe.

Reading people throwing around cliches like "BK will make us more attractive for a merger" or "BK will wipe out most of our debt" is just nonsense. All this was thrown around in regards to Spirit, none of it was true, and people on that forum didn't like it when I explained why Spirit wasn't going to be acquired by anybody.

And yet here we are.
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Old Yesterday | 04:13 PM
  #176  
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Originally Posted by Beech Dude
Doesn't WN have something crazy like $40B in cash?

If so, they could just buy B6 outright. Either get the dual fleet thing finally or they could sell or lease the metal themselves and make money off their own competition.
Southwest has about $3B in cash. United has the most ($16B) but has already passed.
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Old Yesterday | 04:46 PM
  #177  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
Its literally a place to discuss Jetblue. You just don't like my opinion. You can just skip my posts when you see my handle if you don't want to read what I have to say because its not what you believe.

Reading people throwing around cliches like "BK will make us more attractive for a merger" or "BK will wipe out most of our debt" is just nonsense. All this was thrown around in regards to Spirit, none of it was true, and people on that forum didn't like it when I explained why Spirit wasn't going to be acquired by anybody.

And yet here we are.
I think hanging out on another airlines forum to talk **** is a weird hobby, but I agree with almost everything you're saying anyways. Plenty of pilots at JetBlue don't want to see the reality of what is coming.
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Old Yesterday | 05:03 PM
  #178  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
CH11 doesn't make Jetblue a "more attractive merger target" any more than either of the two Spirit CH11 made it more attractive.

Most of Jetblue's $8.5B in debt is secured, which means its tied to the planes. If Jetblue wants to lower their debt, its going to have to give back a lot of planes. They don't just get to write it off and keep the assets. I can't imagine anyone right now that would want to take on all that debt. Jetblue has the highest debt compared to its market share and RPMs of any other airline.

If no one wanted Spirit and their $2B in debt then I can't imagine anyone wanting to take on Jetblue and its $8.5B in debt (and growing). No chance F9 can borrow enough money to buy B6. They are already have a high risk credit rating and Jetblue's credit rating is deep junk.

No administration is going to block any airline mergers for a while after what happened with Spirit, but until someone tries to buy Jetblue it doesn't matter.

yes JetBlue and spirit are a real apples to apples comparison. How do you think we got all of that debt…..hmmmm maybe we have stuff?
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Old Yesterday | 05:39 PM
  #179  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
CH11 doesn't make Jetblue a "more attractive merger target" any more than either of the two Spirit CH11 made it more attractive.

Most of Jetblue's $8.5B in debt is secured, which means its tied to the planes. If Jetblue wants to lower their debt, its going to have to give back a lot of planes. They don't just get to write it off and keep the assets. I can't imagine anyone right now that would want to take on all that debt. Jetblue has the highest debt compared to its market share and RPMs of any other airline.

If no one wanted Spirit and their $2B in debt then I can't imagine anyone wanting to take on Jetblue and its $8.5B in debt (and growing). No chance F9 can borrow enough money to buy B6. They are already have a high risk credit rating and Jetblue's credit rating is deep junk.

No administration is going to block any airline mergers for a while after what happened with Spirit, but until someone tries to buy Jetblue it doesn't matter.
How long do you give JetBlue before we go chapter 7? Can I get a LOR from you so I can finally be a United pilot since they’ve already passed on wanting to merge with JetBlue. I guess I need to leave immediately since chapter 11 won’t do anything and no one wants us. Could you imagine if you put your intellect to good use instead of writing in forums? I’d say with your confidence, you should take out a second mortgage and short our stock. Fly for fun at that point.
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Old Yesterday | 05:40 PM
  #180  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
Southwest has about $3B in cash. United has the most ($16B) but has already passed.
Yes they have something billion in “shares”, that are basically cash equivalent, and it doesnt dilute the current shares. I forget the exact term for them.
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