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Old 02-27-2015, 09:19 PM
  #111  
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Originally Posted by SkyHigh View Post
Six figures past middle age is very nice and no one would complain however to receive it so late in the game is not as advantageous as earning an average wage with less debt starting younger in life. The government is only going to take it in taxes anyway.
You whine about too little money for pilots, then whine that it's too much and that the government takes it in taxes. There is no pleasing you.

You've long been on about not living like a king. Your words. In this thread you've used unrealistic, wild salary numbers as the bare minimum for living (despite the fact that the majority of citizens today make a third of your figures), and now you say it's best to earn an "average" wage.

This is among many reasons why you have no credibility.

Originally Posted by SkyHigh View Post
To what end does it profit one to spend a small fortune on training and education plus a decade or more beyond college to finally secure a position at a legacy airline that most likely starts at around half a mailman's wage? Airline pilots used to be very wealthy. They were richer than surgeons and orthodontists. They owned the biggest ranches in town, paid for several families at once, and owned fancy airplanes. They were able to accomplish those things largely because they did not have as much school debt and were hired by a well paying legacy while still in their mid 20's.
This is the illusion that you said blinded you for so long? This is the image you have of "living like a king?"

Airline pilots at a legacy start at half of a mailman's wage, you say? Let's see.

Postal Pay Scales | 2015 Postal Pay Scales | Executive and Administrative (EAS) Pay.

Mailman Starts at 23,000.

United Airlines | AirlinePilotCentral.com

UAL First Officer starts at 55,000.

You stated that the postal worker makes twice as much as the airline pilot, but in fact the airline pilot makes twice what the postal worker makes. Do you do this to be contrary, because you love a lie, or are you simply this ignorant of the truth?

You have no credibility.

The second year, the postal worker makes 24,000.

Second year UAL F/O pay, starts at 82,000...a little more than three times the postal worker.

To what end does it profit to seek a career in flight training? If one doesn't choose to quit as you did, then it's financially lucrative, offers some enviable schedule, travel benefits, a rewarding career, and for most of us who fly because it's what we chose to do and what we enjoy doing, the career is its own reward over and above the excellent living that we are able to enjoy.

How's that living like a king working out for you?

You claim to have put 20 years into your aviation career and you've been gone from the industry for a while. 25 year captain wages at UAL are 214,000. How's that shake out against your own living at the moment? Are you making that? If not, then it seems incongruous that you'd tell others not to pursue aviation. Your own status is beneath what one could be making if they stuck with aviation. This is your opportunity cost, or in other words, the price of quitting.

You quit, didn't you?
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Old 02-28-2015, 08:12 AM
  #112  
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Lets see, how many 40/yo legacy FOs are there in the room? If you are one of the very few, you did OK. Everyone else is dealing with cognitive desonance.
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Old 02-28-2015, 10:07 AM
  #113  
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Default opportunity cost

Opportunity cost is a REAL problem in this career. I ran some numbers to show the point.

1. Assume a typical interest rate of 7% on IRA contributions.
2. Assume another person, not a pilot, enters the regional workforce at age 25 after graduating college and works their whole life making regular IRA contributions ($4k a year). That's worker A.
3. Assume a new regional airline pilot enters the airline work force at age 25, but makes crap money at their regional the first 5 years of their career and waits until age 30 to start retirement planning. That's worker B. He or she delays making contributions to their IRA account because they are broke the first 5 years. We all know that's a realistic scenario, if not worse.
4. Worker C really has a hard time at the regionals and works for say Great Lakes, or any of several other bottom feeders and does not start making any IRA contributions until they are age 35. That's worker C.

Here's the difference in lifetime earnings.

Worker A retires with $1.2M in their IRA.
Worker B who started at age 30, makes $.86M.
Worker C who starts at age 35 makes only $600,000.

Between workers A and C there is a half million dollar opportunity cost from when they started making contributions to their IRA accounts.

The argument can be made that a successful pilot starts late in the retirement game but goes on to a higher salary in middle age, then makes larger IRA contributions when the money starts rolling in flying for a major. I assumed they can make twice the contributions per year ($12k) and ran the numbers (see PILOT below). You can draw your own conclusion about how much of an argument that really is.

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Old 02-28-2015, 10:49 AM
  #114  
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Correction: the pilot makes "twice" the contributions per year, so it should be ($8k) not ($12k).
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Old 03-02-2015, 04:30 AM
  #115  
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hmmm...someone took the Suze Orman course

Originally Posted by Cubdriver View Post
Opportunity cost is a REAL problem in this career. I ran some numbers to show the point.

1. Assume a typical interest rate of 7% on IRA contributions.
2. Assume another person, not a pilot, enters the regional workforce at age 25 after graduating college and works their whole life making regular IRA contributions ($4k a year). That's worker A.
3. Assume a new regional airline pilot enters the airline work force at age 25, but makes crap money at their regional the first 5 years of their career and waits until age 30 to start retirement planning. That's worker B. He or she delays making contributions to their IRA account because they are broke the first 5 years. We all know that's a realistic scenario, if not worse.
4. Worker C really has a hard time at the regionals and works for say Great Lakes, or any of several other bottom feeders and does not start making any IRA contributions until they are age 35. That's worker C.

Here's the difference in lifetime earnings.

Worker A retires with $1.2M in their IRA.
Worker B who started at age 30, makes $.86M.
Worker C who starts at age 35 makes only $600,000.

Between workers A and C there is a half million dollar opportunity cost from when they started making contributions to their IRA accounts.

The argument can be made that a successful pilot starts late in the retirement game but goes on to a higher salary in middle age, then makes larger IRA contributions when the money starts rolling in flying for a major. I assumed they can make twice the contributions per year ($12k) and ran the numbers (see PILOT below). You can draw your own conclusion about how much of an argument that really is.

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Old 03-02-2015, 07:35 AM
  #116  
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Originally Posted by Cubdriver View Post
Opportunity cost is a REAL problem in this career. I ran some numbers to show the point.

1. Assume a typical interest rate of 7% on IRA contributions.
2. Assume another person, not a pilot, enters the regional workforce at age 25 after graduating college and works their whole life making regular IRA contributions ($4k a year). That's worker A.
3. Assume a new regional airline pilot enters the airline work force at age 25, but makes crap money at their regional the first 5 years of their career and waits until age 30 to start retirement planning. That's worker B. He or she delays making contributions to their IRA account because they are broke the first 5 years. We all know that's a realistic scenario, if not worse.
4. Worker C really has a hard time at the regionals and works for say Great Lakes, or any of several other bottom feeders and does not start making any IRA contributions until they are age 35. That's worker C.

Here's the difference in lifetime earnings.

Worker A retires with $1.2M in their IRA.
Worker B who started at age 30, makes $.86M.
Worker C who starts at age 35 makes only $600,000.

Between workers A and C there is a half million dollar opportunity cost from when they started making contributions to their IRA accounts.

The argument can be made that a successful pilot starts late in the retirement game but goes on to a higher salary in middle age, then makes larger IRA contributions when the money starts rolling in flying for a major. I assumed they can make twice the contributions per year ($12k) and ran the numbers (see PILOT below). You can draw your own conclusion about how much of an argument that really is.

This is a great discussion of finances and I like the chart, but right now the pilot column is not likely to be as you've posted for people getting in.

In fact even in the 2007 timeframe, arguably one of the worst times to enter the regionals in recent memory, I know of people who started at one, made a lateral move after a year or two (furlough or by choice) and went to another where they upgraded in two years as things got better, and were a lineholding captain at age 27/28, thus making at least $70-80K and just under $100K at age 30.

Regardless of student debt, you can always find money to put into retirement savings if you're making that at that age.

That is the scenario from some people six years ago.

Today I think if someone plays their cards right you could have a very good chance of being captain at a fee-for-departure carrier two years after starting. So, if someone finished college at 22 and did three full years of CFIing or other usually-lower-paying-flying-jobs, they'd still upgrade at age 27 in this example.

Then, they may very well be putting away significantly more money than "Citizen A" and "Citizen B" in the chart above.

Wouldn't be out of the question for a pilot to hit age 30 with well over $100,000 in retirement savings.


Just food for thought.
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Old 03-02-2015, 09:14 AM
  #117  
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Originally Posted by Cubdriver View Post

Opportunity cost is a REAL problem in this career. I ran some numbers to show the point.

Run all the numbers you want. If you want to run more numbers, consider being a CPA, and run 'em all day long.


There's more to life and happiness than an IRA.






.
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Old 03-02-2015, 01:23 PM
  #118  
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Originally Posted by contrails View Post
This is a great discussion of finances and I like the chart, but right now the pilot column is not likely to be as you've posted for people getting in.

In fact even in the 2007 timeframe, arguably one of the worst times to enter the regionals in recent memory, I know of people who started at one, made a lateral move after a year or two (furlough or by choice) and went to another where they upgraded in two years as things got better, and were a lineholding captain at age 27/28, thus making at least $70-80K and just under $100K at age 30.

Regardless of student debt, you can always find money to put into retirement savings if you're making that at that age.

That is the scenario from some people six years ago.

Today I think if someone plays their cards right you could have a very good chance of being captain at a fee-for-departure carrier two years after starting. So, if someone finished college at 22 and did three full years of CFIing or other usually-lower-paying-flying-jobs, they'd still upgrade at age 27 in this example.

Then, they may very well be putting away significantly more money than "Citizen A" and "Citizen B" in the chart above.

Wouldn't be out of the question for a pilot to hit age 30 with well over $100,000 in retirement savings.


Just food for thought.
Well that's an ideal scenario and I also know a couple of guys who got hired at a regional, flew right seat for a short period, upgraded to left seat and were near 100k in around five years after starting. It happens quite a bit, but it also happens quite a bit that you get hired and delay after delay arrives (ie. SkyHigh) and you get your $100k a year income later than you thought. There is a point of diminishing returns on recouping the money in a late-blooming airline career. I think you could say based on that table I made, that if you have not made it big within 15 years you should probably set that as your stopping point in the attempt. That's why we tend to advise career changers who want to be airline pilots they had better bring a retirement nest egg with them, because the chances are small they'll get one at an airline (or any job) starting that late in the game.

Originally Posted by TonyC View Post
...There's more to life and happiness than an IRA...

.
There's more to life than being a pilot too. I just want those who decide they really want it to know what they are getting into. I get a strong feeling reading these boards for years that many did not have a clear idea, including me at times.
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Old 03-02-2015, 02:53 PM
  #119  
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Originally Posted by Cubdriver View Post

There's more to life than being a pilot too. I just want those who decide they really want it to know what they are getting into.

It seems to me that the goal of Skyhigh's threads is less to "inform" and more to "discourage." As I've said before, one should be wary of career advice from a quitter. No goal worth achieving is easy to achieve.



I wonder how many kids have grown up dreaming, "When I grow up, I want to have a large IRA!"






.
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Old 03-03-2015, 07:15 AM
  #120  
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Default Aviation is a worse prospect that most

Originally Posted by 2StgTurbine View Post
I am saying that it is silly that your are trying to convince people that aviation is inherently a bad industry. Lots of jobs were better in the 70s and 80s than they are now.
The argument that "everything stinks" is an old an ineffective one. It is true that plenty of old professions are going down the drain. Why I can not recall the last time I saw a job posting for a blacksmith. Careers fade while plenty of new ones take the stage with great benefits and opportunity. Find a good one that is on the upswing.

The city of Seattle is looking for police officers. Starting pay in training is $62,000 and only goes uphill from there. The railroad is hiring.

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