Originally Posted by Dunkin (Post 3779101)

AA is still planning on 1800+ new hires a year for many more years out IF the 321XLR and Max8s show up on time but nobody hired now will see the upward seniority movement like 2021/early 22 hires. Some of those pilots never sat reserve as FOs and now can already hold a line as LGA737 captains if they so choose.

Originally Posted by tallpilot (Post 3779186)

Sounds like AA is going down to 1300. Still historically large numbers but trending down from peak.

Originally Posted by ErnieG (Post 3779555)

1,300 is still very high... this hiring frenzy couldn't be sustainable for a very long time. The days of getting a phone call the same week of putting in your app are over. At least for now!

Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3779597)

I keep hearing the world is going to end. Been hearing that since the first time I stepped into a simulator about 1970.

Originally Posted by ErnieG (Post 3779608)

Oh absolutely, and people are about to stop flying as well, just drive instead. Plus all the green eco laws and restrictions, aviation is coming to an end!

Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3779597)

I keep hearing the world is going to end. Been hearing that since the first time I stepped into a simulator about 1970.

Originally Posted by highfarfast (Post 3779671)

You forgot age 67, AI, single pilot/no pilot ops, the next COVID, the war in Ukraine, the war in Gaza, and the upcoming war in Tawaine.

There's probably still a few doom and gloom scenarios that I'm not thinking of.

Originally Posted by ReluctantEskimo (Post 3778956)

I disagree. The hiring wave postponed. Nothing on paper has changed. The retirements are still happening for the next 5 years, and the scheduled deliveries are still plentiful. It is the delivery timetable that is the source of this slow down.

Airbus is deliveries are beyond capacity. And Boeing is reduced indefinitely until they figure out their issues. When/if production gets resolved, hiring will recommence. Maybe with the same intensity as 2022-23.