Economic Impacts of Iran War
#1381
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
Perfectly justified to use nukes to save even one US life and one US dollar. But it also saved years and presumably north of 1 million Japanese lives too. Also... nobody at the time really understood the longer-term side-effects from the use of such weapons so you have to look at it in the context of just a very large Boom. Not sure it would have mattered if they had known, but you can't blame them for hypotheticals.
#1382
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From: 787 FO
#1383
Here’s a great video detailing the fallen of WW2. Worth the watch: The Fallen of WW2
Last edited by at6d; 04-30-2026 at 07:56 AM.
#1384
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From: 787 FO
I think the use of a nuke(s) against Japan to save 1m US lives in WWII was almost certainly justified, but that's not what he said. RTFP.
#1385
The true believers of the doomsday scenario should be buying a fleet of Priuses and motorcycles to flip and turn a tidy profit in a couple of months.
In the real world, Prius sales are absolutely tanking right now. (Loosing market share to the hybrid Camry and other hybrids)
I dunno.
In the real world, Prius sales are absolutely tanking right now. (Loosing market share to the hybrid Camry and other hybrids)
I dunno.
- Ultra Deepwater Drillships
- Gulf of America and West Africa Oil Producers (Shipping routes avoid conflict areas)
- US land based Oil and Gas Services businesses (especially the ones where you can write off depreciation against W2 income)
- GOA area Natural Gas Producers(LNG exports)
- Uranium producers
- Thermal Coal Miners
- US based Fertilizer and Chemicals Producers
- LR and MR product tankers(US
- Gold Miners (when bond market breaks)
#1386
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That's a highly inefficient way to play the Crisis. Much easier investments to make with far more asymmetric upside:
- Ultra Deepwater Drillships
- Gulf of America and West Africa Oil Producers (Shipping routes avoid conflict areas)
- US land based Oil and Gas Services businesses (especially the ones where you can write off depreciation against W2 income)
- GOA area Natural Gas Producers(LNG exports)
- Uranium producers
- Thermal Coal Miners
- US based Fertilizer and Chemicals Producers
- LR and MR product tankers(US
- Gold Miners (when bond market breaks)
Seems like Saudi and UAE have feasible infrastructure to expand pipeline routes.
#1387
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Prime Minister/Moderator

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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
In the context of 1945, after everything the US had been through and everything they were about to go through to get to unconditional surrender. Again, to them, it was just a big bomb, there was no quasi-religious anti-nuclear cult aspect at the time. Killed fewer people than fire-bombing in Tokyo.
Today it would be clearly illegal and non-proportional to use nukes in response to a much smaller conventional attack, in addition to whatever philosophical concerns you might have.
But worth pointing out that a mass-casualty event on the scale of 9/11 actually did cross the line, a nuclear response would have been legal, assuming you could identify and target the guilty party. Not that international "legal" even matters at that point, US policy is deliberately strategically ambiguous. You do not have to wait until somebody nukes you first.
#1388
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From: 787 FO
The context of 1945 was an estimate of a million US casualties by conventional means not "to save even one US life or one US dollar." Thus, my response. I am glad you now seem to agree it "would be clearly illegal and non-proportional" today.
#1389
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The thing about oil is just when you invest in long term projects prices tend to come crashing down. Lots of booms and busts along the way.
#1390
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
At the time, they probably would have used the bomb to prevent even very minimal further loss of life and treasure, perfectly understandable after all they had been through.
Nuking someone because their suicide bomber detonated a vest in a shopping mall would be non-proportional.
The scale of 9/11 was in the ballpark for justification, if somebody actually wanted to go there and you could identify a culprit to target. Most administrations would probably not.
Also I retract my comment about "legality". "Legal" is irrelevant wrt to nuclear weapons, if it gets to that point we're way beyond the nuances of what UN delegates might chatter about at a cocktail party, or what anybody else thinks.
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