Economic Impacts of Iran War
#1414
#1416
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Prime Minister/Moderator

Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 45,098
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
I know my profit sharing is toast for 2026.
But here's the quiet part out load: My stock investments returned over $100K in six weeks
Somebody somewhere thinks this isn't going to be a long-term catastrophe. WSJ is also reporting that the US blockade of IR (and hunting down their ghost tankers) has really put the squeeze on them. They actually did get a great deal of revenue from selling oil to PRC. Now the question is can the fragmented regime retain control with a collapsing economy? A major lever of control for them has always been the IRGC's deep integration into the economy. Also does the regime even want to drag the economy through the mud? Or would they prefer a way out? They've always been pretty hard-line negotiators because US leaders have pretty always caved... I mean why not? Maybe we find out what their *real* negotiating positions are? We have never fully blockaded them, and we have always chickened out. Some national security types are saying that staying the course will produce the best long-term results for us.
But here's the quiet part out load: My stock investments returned over $100K in six weeks

Somebody somewhere thinks this isn't going to be a long-term catastrophe. WSJ is also reporting that the US blockade of IR (and hunting down their ghost tankers) has really put the squeeze on them. They actually did get a great deal of revenue from selling oil to PRC. Now the question is can the fragmented regime retain control with a collapsing economy? A major lever of control for them has always been the IRGC's deep integration into the economy. Also does the regime even want to drag the economy through the mud? Or would they prefer a way out? They've always been pretty hard-line negotiators because US leaders have pretty always caved... I mean why not? Maybe we find out what their *real* negotiating positions are? We have never fully blockaded them, and we have always chickened out. Some national security types are saying that staying the course will produce the best long-term results for us.
#1417
This market is frothier than a milkshake. Those paper gains will probably tank in a week or two when all the wild speculation switches to put options and shorts.
#1419
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Apr 2018
Posts: 3,598
Likes: 45
Haven't reached $5 gallon which is what it was on 10 Jun 2022. So if that's you metric for winning and losing, I'd say you are winning as of now.
https://en.macromicro.me/series/2300...gular-unleaded
https://en.macromicro.me/series/2300...gular-unleaded
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