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METO Guido 04-16-2026 03:46 PM


Originally Posted by ThumbsUp (Post 4024303)
What general was that again? Still don’t see one.

and what difference does it even make? Mullahs, bad men. No other way around it. No nukes for you!


Turbosina 04-16-2026 03:52 PM


Originally Posted by ShyGuy (Post 4024300)
Hilarious. Bet you get your news from podcasts.



If there are furloughs, please volunteer.

Excargodog strikes me as someone who last set a parking brake a long time ago.

METO Guido 04-16-2026 04:05 PM


Originally Posted by Turbosina (Post 4024306)
Excargodog strikes me as someone who last set a parking brake a long time ago.

what’s a parking brake?

Excargodog 04-16-2026 04:36 PM


Originally Posted by ShyGuy (Post 4024300)
Hilarious. Bet you get your news from podcasts.

You guess wrong.


Originally Posted by Turbosina (Post 4024306)
Excargodog strikes me as someone who last set a parking brake a long time ago.

Nope, Been awhile since I was in a SCIF but I’ve set a few parking brakes recently.

Lowslung 04-17-2026 05:41 AM


Originally Posted by ThumbsUp (Post 4024299)
The Supreme leadership of Iran that controls the IRGC exists on only one part of the spectrum. Radical Islamic terrorists.

Also, what General said something about the book of revelations?

SecDef has been spewing all sorts of religious justification for this war. Yesterday he literally quoted a fake biblical passage from Pulp Fiction in front of a high ranking military audience. “Ezekiel 25:17”. 😂

APCbot 04-17-2026 06:22 AM

So the straight is open, and oil is dropping....

Am I furloughed yet?

Excargodog 04-17-2026 06:27 AM

alt=""https://i.postimg.cc/T2pcZ9Qb/IMG-8011.jpg

alt=""https://i.postimg.cc/g0LYC1Xd/IMG-8012.jpg

ThumbsUp 04-17-2026 07:00 AM


Originally Posted by Lowslung (Post 4024422)
SecDef has been spewing all sorts of religious justification for this war. Yesterday he literally quoted a fake biblical passage from Pulp Fiction in front of a high ranking military audience. “Ezekiel 25:17”. 😂

I hadn’t thought of it, but it is pretty fitting.

Turbosina 04-17-2026 07:45 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4024435)

😅😅😅 Do you even look at what you post? Your time window is for the past 5 days.

Call me when jet fuel isn't 80% higher than it was before the start of all this. And when tanker traffic on the Gulf actually starts to move again. And when the price of an actual, delivered barrel of oil resumes its usual correlation with the quoted price of a barrel on the open market (currently the two are very far apart from each other).

AAdvocate 04-17-2026 08:05 AM


Originally Posted by Turbosina (Post 4024469)
😅😅😅 Do you even look at what you post? Your time window is for the past 5 days.

Call me when jet fuel isn't 80% higher than it was before the start of all this. And when tanker traffic on the Gulf actually starts to move again. And when the price of an actual, delivered barrel of oil resumes its usual correlation with the quoted price of a barrel on the open market (currently the two are very far apart from each other).

Ignores data when it is inconvenient to your narrative.

Turbosina 04-17-2026 08:46 AM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4024483)
Ignores data when it is inconvenient to your narrative.

I or you or anyone can pull data to prove any narrative, depending on the data we choose and the date range of that data. A 5 day time window is completely meaningless and you know it.

Excargodog 04-17-2026 09:04 AM


Originally Posted by Turbosina (Post 4024496)
I or you or anyone can pull data to prove any narrative, depending on the data we choose and the date range of that data. A 5 day time window is completely meaningless and you know it.

Seriously? Are you trying to convince me that a drop in oil price of over $10 a barrel in ONE DAY is not GOOD NEWS? On an airline pilot forum?

just how much of a drop in oil prices would it take for you to believe it is good news?

Excargodog 04-17-2026 09:05 AM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4024483)
Ignores data when it is inconvenient to your narrative.

Yes he does.

AAdvocate 04-17-2026 09:11 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4024508)
Yes he does.

As does the party he supports. Both sides do it but one side does it way more then the other, his side. What is a woman amirite?

Moonbeam 04-17-2026 09:11 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4024508)
Yes he does.


I am still waiting on the data on why we actually went to war.

Excargodog 04-17-2026 09:14 AM


Originally Posted by Turbosina (Post 4024496)
I or you or anyone can pull data to prove any narrative, depending on the data we choose and the date range of that data. A 5 day time window is completely meaningless and you know it.

So you are saying this new high doesn’t REALLY affect my 401k?

alt=""https://i.ibb.co/cKY3zFj7/93-F73-B79...E4-F88-D61.jpg

I beg to differ.

AAdvocate 04-17-2026 09:19 AM


Originally Posted by Moonbeam (Post 4024512)
I am still waiting on the data on why we actually went to war.

It doesn't matter with you guys anymore as you ignore fact and spin statements. No matter what it said you will spin it as a folly even-though by all metrics it is shaping up to be a monumental success that will stabilize the middle east for decades to come.

Still waiting for that $150 a barrel that y'all promised by the end of March, wake me up when that happens

Excargodog 04-17-2026 09:30 AM


Originally Posted by Moonbeam (Post 4024512)
I am still waiting on the data on why we actually went to war.

The Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor so Congress declared war on them. Then Germany and Italy - the other two members of the Axis - declared war on us in keeping with their mutual defense pact with Japan. Then Congress declared war on them.

Pretty much everything since then (1942) have been “police actions” since Congress has reneged on their duty to be the ones declaring war ever since and delegated it to the Executive branch for all practical purposes.

So perhaps your question ought to be addressed to Congress who is constitutionally obligated to be the war declarers.

word302 04-17-2026 09:40 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4024518)
The Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor so Congress declared war on them. Then Germany and Italy - the other two members of the Axis - declared war on us in keeping with their mutual defense pact with Japan. Then Congress declared war on them.

Pretty much everything since then (1942) have been “police actions” since Congress has reneged on their duty to be the ones declaring war ever since and delegated it to the Executive branch for all practical purposes.

So perhaps your question ought to be addressed to Congress who is constitutionally obligated to be the war declarers.

So you're upset that congress isn't getting us into more wars?

Lowslung 04-17-2026 10:25 AM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4024515)
It doesn't matter with you guys anymore as you ignore fact and spin statements. No matter what it said you will spin it as a folly even-though by all metrics it is shaping up to be a monumental success that will stabilize the middle east for decades to come.

Still waiting for that $150 a barrel that y'all promised by the end of March, wake me up when that happens

Please explain “monumental success”. What exactly is it you think we have accomplished with this war? Genuinely curious.

AAdvocate 04-17-2026 10:31 AM


Originally Posted by Lowslung (Post 4024541)
Please explain “monumental success”. What exactly is it you think we have accomplished with this war? Genuinely curious.

You sound mad bro. Never seen so many people root against the United States of America just so they can say they were right. Huge success with minimal loss (I think the casualty count still hasn't exceeded what we suffered in a single day during one of the worst blundered military operations in history, the Afghan withdrawal). Why that angers people like you will be something that will be studied for decades to come. What a strange time we live in.

Lowslung 04-17-2026 10:48 AM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4024544)
You sound mad bro. Never seen so many people root against the United States of America just so they can say they were right. Huge success with minimal loss (I think the casualty count still hasn't exceeded what we suffered in a single day during one of the worst blundered military operations in history, the Afghan withdrawal). Why that angers people like you will be something that will be studied for decades to come. What a strange time we live in.

Not mad at all “bro”. Not sure how you got that from my post but by all means, continue to paint with whatever broad brush helps you sleep at night. I think it’s a reasonable question to ask what exactly we have accomplished with this foray. Apparently you don’t really have any answers and have therefore chosen to fall back on your tried and true straw man arguments. Noted.

Name User 04-17-2026 10:54 AM


Originally Posted by Moonbeam (Post 4024512)
I am still waiting on the data on why we actually went to war.

special military operation

FIFY

METO Guido 04-17-2026 10:55 AM


Originally Posted by Lowslung (Post 4024541)
Please explain “monumental success”. What exactly is it you think we have accomplished with this war? Genuinely curious.

Accomplished what? Indeed. Cavalier question given the conflict scale and complexity. Far too soon for any projections or finalized assessment. Knock on effects are sure to follow. Severity unknown.

word302 04-17-2026 11:49 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4024513)
So you are saying this new high doesn’t REALLY affect my 401k?

alt=""https://i.ibb.co/cKY3zFj7/93-F73-B79...E4-F88-D61.jpg

I beg to differ.

The stock market rebound is great. The fact that you think the oil futures pricing is what anyone is paying right now or for at least the next few months is hilarious.

Excargodog 04-17-2026 12:00 PM


April 17, 2026, 6:41 AM PDT / Updated April 17, 2026, 9:24 AM PDT
By Steve KopackThe price of oil plunged sharply and two U.S. stock indexes hit all-time highs Friday after Iran’s foreign minister said the Strait of Hormuz was open for commercial vessels.
“In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire, on the coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organisation of the Islamic Rep. of Iran,” Abbas Araghchi wrote in a post on X.

U.S. crude oil plunged 12% to around $83 per barrel, while international Brent crude also slid more than 10% to around $89 per barrel.

Heating oil futures, which are a proxy for jet fuel, plummeted 11%. Wholesale RBOB gas futures also fell 6%.
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/mar...war-rcna332321



rickair7777 04-17-2026 12:08 PM


Originally Posted by furloughfuntime (Post 4024284)
There is also a political spectrum within Iran; they have their own version of liberals, moderates, and conservatives within their context. Speaking of them as a political monolith ignores the extent to which US actions have given strength to their most fiery fundamentalists at the expense of their more reasonable moderates. Pulling out of the JCPOA undermined the "moderates" over there and has lent credence to their most hard line leaders; if the US won't even uphold it's own end of the bargain, why bargain at all? We have contributed to that "monster" significantly by our own bad-faith actions.

Sure. But due to the very deep (and very deliberate) integration of IRGC into all aspects of government and economy, it's hard for moderates/liberals to gain any real traction.

I don't think that waiting for the moderates to take over was ever a viable strategy (we were actually kind of waiting and hoping back in the day when I was involved, but nothing has really changed over the years).

For the same reason I think that shooting for or talking about regime change in this conflict is a fool's errand.


Originally Posted by furloughfuntime (Post 4024284)
As far as the religious difference between IR and NK, I don't think that point has much salience. The NK leader is viewed as divine as well, and just because Islam has it's own eschatology doesn't make it any different from Christianity.

It is very different and very salient. The entire DPRK system revolves around the boss, including the divinity aspect.

In IR, the system revolves around a doctrine that is somewhat open to interpretation, and the leaders are consider stewards of the cause. They are not prophets or divine, and thus need to keep the fanatics happy with their diligence and stewardship. The IRGC et al is a monster that the regime created and now needs to keep fed.


Originally Posted by furloughfuntime (Post 4024284)
Christianity is equally concerned with bringing about the apocalypse as Islam is from a theological perspective.

Not that I've ever see. If there are fringe sects (probably safe to assume), they are not running the military or government. Religion was never really present in my decades of military service (well maybe at the USAFA, heard that was a thing at one point).


Originally Posted by furloughfuntime (Post 4024284)
Are the generals who purportedly referred to the book of Revelations and the Sec of War constantly referencing scripture in press conferences really that much different than the IRGC spewing their version of fire and brimstone?

Yes. They are not advocating for apocalypse or genocide. Of course I'd rather they not even go there but I suspect they're just playing to part of the base. Again I didn't vote for any of this.

word302 04-17-2026 12:15 PM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4024589)

Again, what do you think oil is trading for TODAY? When do you think it will actually be selling for $90/BBL? When do you think it will be back to what we were paying before this whole debacle started?

Turbosina 04-17-2026 12:44 PM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4024589)

Cherrypicking data from *individual days* to make a point.... Shirley you can't be serious.






SampsonSimpson 04-17-2026 12:50 PM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4024544)
You sound mad bro. Never seen so many people root against the United States of America just so they can say they were right. Huge success with minimal loss (I think the casualty count still hasn't exceeded what we suffered in a single day during one of the worst blundered military operations in history, the Afghan withdrawal). Why that angers people like you will be something that will be studied for decades to come. What a strange time we live in.

Huge success? You know what happens next? Iran and Pakistan become very good friends.

Thats all we have accomplished.

It doesn’t mean I’m unpatriotic…I just know how this ends.

You are attracted to strong personalities and hate liberals , I get that. What you need is someone strong to follow. Kind of like the song Opiate.

JamesNoBrakes 04-17-2026 01:45 PM


Originally Posted by Lowslung (Post 4024541)
Please explain “monumental success”. What exactly is it you think we have accomplished with this war? Genuinely curious.

Security for Israel in the Middle East Holy War caused by post WWI GB Imperialism.

PineappleXpres 04-17-2026 01:56 PM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4024544)
You sound mad bro. Never seen so many people root against the United States of America just so they can say they were right. Huge success with minimal loss (I think the casualty count still hasn't exceeded what we suffered in a single day during one of the worst blundered military operations in history, the Afghan withdrawal). Why that angers people like you will be something that will be studied for decades to come. What a strange time we live in.

Insert George W. With mission accomplished.

I’ve lived long enough to know this isn’t over and the reasons for doing all this is extremely questionable. It’s a victory for mankind that there is no fighting so yes we celebrate anything of that sort. And we at the airlines celebrate the reduced prospect of fuel shortages. I’ll celebrate the B.S. artist if you need me to for the gratitude of having peace, again

AAdvocate 04-17-2026 02:02 PM


Originally Posted by PineappleXpres (Post 4024645)
Insert George W. With mission accomplished.

I’ve lived long enough to know this isn’t over and the reasons for doing all this is extremely questionable. It’s a victory for mankind that there is no fighting so yes we celebrate anything of that sort. And we at the airlines celebrate the reduced prospect of fuel shortages. I’ll celebrate the B.S. artist if you need me to for the gratitude of having peace, again

George Bush never claimed the war was "mission accomplished". The sign was never supposed to be there and wasn't coordinated by his people. The sign was put up by the ship to commemorate their latest deployment which was the longest ever deployment by a nuclear powered Aircraft Carrier in history.

Let me know when it gets to $150 a barrel by the end of March or whatever.

METO Guido 04-17-2026 02:14 PM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4024648)
George Bush never claimed the war was "mission accomplished". The sign was never supposed to be there and wasn't coordinated by his people. The sign was put up by the ship to commemorate their latest deployment which was the longest ever deployment by a nuclear powered Aircraft Carrier in history..

Still paying interest on that nut. Trillion or so. Half dozen in service flat tops will only get us so far.


jerryleber 04-17-2026 02:25 PM


Originally Posted by METO Guido (Post 4024654)
Trillion or so.

Try two or three and another trillion for this one. After a while the trillions really start to add up.

Excargodog 04-17-2026 03:41 PM


Originally Posted by Turbosina (Post 4024612)
Cherrypicking data from *individual days* to make a point.... Shirley you can't be serious.

So what’s happening TODAY isn’t important? And when I posted a five year chart - showing that oil prices in a prior administration actually peaked ABOVE - and were sustained far longer than - the prices hit during this administration - even uncorrected for inflation which would have looked even worse) people b!tched about that too…

alt=""https://i.ibb.co/tTVhv9pH/409-D1390-...03-FAB9-FB.jpg
I am becoming convinced that a distressing number of people - like you - just don’t like facts, unless, of course, they reinforce your prejudices. But facts aren’t like that. This is the data. Denying reality does not change reality.

DisMyGamerTag 04-17-2026 04:46 PM

So... is everyone happy now that it looks to be over?

Looks like an enormous win.

:)

rickair7777 04-17-2026 08:18 PM


Originally Posted by SampsonSimpson (Post 4024616)
Huge success? You know what happens next? Iran and Pakistan become very good friends.

I don't know how this ends. But I would not be surprised at all if they end up as good friends. Since they already are, and always have been good friends (with a few minor disagreements along the way).

OpieTaylor 04-17-2026 08:37 PM


Originally Posted by DisMyGamerTag (Post 4024709)
So... is everyone happy now that it looks to be over?

Looks like an enormous win.

:)

If Israel can be happy with Iran joining the world economy, and selling unsanctioned oil its a big win.

The Sunnis joined the world economy decades ago and got wealthy and made peace with Israel.

Hopefully the Shias can.

If Venezuela oil and Iran oil can can increase production over the next two years Trump will have the leverage to sanction the snot out of Russia oil and put pressure on them to withdraw from Ukraine.

SampsonSimpson 04-18-2026 02:49 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 4024775)
I don't know how this ends. But I would not be surprised at all if they end up as good friends. Since they already are, and always have been good friends (with a few minor disagreements along the way).

Exactly, the problem is Pakistan already has nukes….

This war is a complete waste of time.


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