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Cyio 04-12-2026 05:57 AM


Originally Posted by BlueScholar (Post 4022453)
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...uz-2026-04-12/

Maybe the president and Secretary of State should have been negotiating instead of attending a UFC fight last night.

It turns out the solution to promote free transit of the SOH is to use the US Navy to stop all ships from using the SOH!

I would argue that the SOH is open from a political practicality; whether insurance agencies will allow it is another question. Give the mine situation. Once that clears up, I bet shipping flows.
The IR military and upper leadership are dead or missing.
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.
The $ moved back into a safe-haven resource and is now showing signs of destabilizing BRICS currencies, with India leading the charge to back away from that silly idea.
We will fully open the SOH, get the Uranium out, and make it happen sooner rather than later.
UN Sec Gen said the world is in a much safer place now that we carried out these strikes.
I won't go into the other geopolitical positives about this, as there are many, but I bet this ultimately speeds the end of the Ukraine war, and I guarantee it has slowed any ambition for a Taiwanese war.

vaksedtothemax 04-12-2026 06:11 AM


Originally Posted by BlueScholar (Post 4022453)
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...uz-2026-04-12/

Maybe the president and Secretary of State should have been negotiating instead of attending a UFC fight last night.

It turns out the solution to promote free transit of the SOH is to use the US Navy to stop all ships from using the SOH!

where are many oil tankers heading to at this very moment?

I’d guess you’re highly ticked off every time the President plays a round of golf also? How many vacation days did AutoPen take again?

vaksedtothemax 04-12-2026 06:13 AM


Originally Posted by Cyio (Post 4022455)
I would argue that the SOH is open from a political practicality; whether insurance agencies will allow it is another question. Give the mine situation. Once that clears up, I bet shipping flows.
The IR military and upper leadership are dead or missing.
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.
The $ moved back into a safe-haven resource and is now showing signs of destabilizing BRICS currencies, with India leading the charge to back away from that silly idea.
We will fully open the SOH, get the Uranium out, and make it happen sooner rather than later.
UN Sec Gen said the world is in a much safer place now that we carried out these strikes.
I won't go into the other geopolitical positives about this, as there are many, but I bet this ultimately speeds the end of the Ukraine war, and I guarantee it has slowed any ambition for a Taiwanese war.

Incoming “ but Trump said he was going to kill 90 million people” nonsense.

good post btw. The Trump haters won’t be able to comprehend it, but good post nonetheless

dsevo 04-12-2026 06:16 AM


Originally Posted by vaxedtothemax (Post 4022460)
Incoming “ but Trump said he was going to kill 90 million people” nonsense.

good post btw. The Trump haters won’t be able to comprehend it, but good post nonetheless

Yep, nailed it. These people root against their own country just so they can “see,
told ya so.”

Lowslung 04-12-2026 07:13 AM


Originally Posted by Cyio (Post 4022455)
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.

Apparently it needs to be said again: oil is a global commodity. This idea that Americans can somehow capitalize on shutting down 20% of the world’s supply is an isolationist fever dream. Sure, American oil companies might make some extra cash in the short term, but if high oil prices tank the global economy, as seems to be the path we are insisting on going down, they’ll suffer like everyone else. Oil isn’t just going to get expensive for our adversaries. It’s going to get expensive for everyone because that’s how the market works. Don’t kid yourself, this summer and beyond are going to be very difficult for our industry if things don’t take a turn very soon.

rickair7777 04-12-2026 07:14 AM


Originally Posted by BlueScholar (Post 4022453)
It turns out the solution to promote free transit of the SOH is to use the US Navy to stop all ships from using the SOH!

I'm surpised it took this long.

If IR is preventing our friends from using the strait, why would we allow them and their friends to use it? I think we allowed it to minimize escalation while negotiations were attempted.

Lowslung 04-12-2026 07:16 AM


Originally Posted by dsevo (Post 4022461)
Yep, nailed it. These people root against their own country just so they can “see,
told ya so.”

Strawman, but I guess it must make it easier for you to dismiss your fellow citizens if you force yourself to believe that.

No one here is rooting against the United States. Many of us are advocating for better decision making.

Extenda 04-12-2026 07:17 AM


Originally Posted by vaxedtothemax (Post 4022460)
Incoming “ but Trump said he was going to kill 90 million people” nonsense.

good post btw. The Trump haters won’t be able to comprehend it, but good post nonetheless

Since you’re so sure of yourself I’m curious as to how you see this whole thing ending. The peace talks apparently didn’t yield anything. Trump clearly wants them to open the strait. They aren’t going to. Shipping isn’t going to transit for fear of random mines and drones from anywhere along 300 miles of rocky and mountainous Iranian coastline.

So, where do you think we go from here? What’s the solution?

Merequetengue 04-12-2026 07:20 AM


Originally Posted by vaxedtothemax (Post 4022458)
where are many oil tankers heading to at this very moment?

I’d guess you’re highly ticked off every time the President plays a round of golf also? How many vacation days did AutoPen take again?

I don’t know, sorry i didn’t understand the explanation

https://x.com/factpostnews/status/20...tOrnMdFOUu0MqA

JamesNoBrakes 04-12-2026 07:41 AM


Originally Posted by Cyio (Post 4022455)
I would argue that the SOH is open from a political practicality; whether insurance agencies will allow it is another question. Give the mine situation. Once that clears up, I bet shipping flows.
The IR military and upper leadership are dead or missing.
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.
The $ moved back into a safe-haven resource and is now showing signs of destabilizing BRICS currencies, with India leading the charge to back away from that silly idea.
We will fully open the SOH, get the Uranium out, and make it happen sooner rather than later.
UN Sec Gen said the world is in a much safer place now that we carried out these strikes.
I won't go into the other geopolitical positives about this, as there are many, but I bet this ultimately speeds the end of the Ukraine war, and I guarantee it has slowed any ambition for a Taiwanese war.

And there's photo-op on an aircraft carrier with the "mission accomplished" banner.


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