Why not just look at the seniority list; it’s arranged by DOH. Just count the number of people who have the same DOH; that’s your class size. New list in eight days.

What are the details on PHL? Big/Small, Jr/Sr, plans to get more flying?

Small
Newer
More on the junior end but not yet steady state
Growing but who knows how much

I’ve got a chart that shows that for every class since the beginning of 2014. I’ll publish an updated version with the monthly data I usually publish on BSL.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

PSA still has to take 19 CRJ's from Envoy right?

I think 16ish now. Our final count will be 150 airframes.

Thanks again for all the data...

Just a little warning about chasing bases:

There is now a considerable (and hidden) time delay built in to what drives this graph. Bid effective dates are practically 4 months out. [The award that came out at the beginning of October is effective Feb. 1, 2019!]

This means that anyone senior assigned an upgrade to ORF, for example, would be there before that date. Upgrade does not require 4 months. So by the time a junior captain is actually changed to ORF, they could have a bunch of other senior-assigned captains ahead of them. And just 5 additional pilots in a base with only 20-something lines is a big difference!

Additionally, other senior pilots (for example, with more than 2 years here) could have bid for ORF already with bid effective dates of Nov 1, Dec 1, or Jan 1. This would obviously drive up the R1 award time considerably as well.

Both factors combined make R1 seniority predictions all the more difficult when choosing a base...

The award data is all available

There is certainly a lag from bid to base, but who is moving into and out of Norfolk for the next several months is knowable information

Which is why many who are waiting to bid back to certain senior bases are giving it an extra month or two before submitting their bid just to be sure.

Is there a new chart showing time to hold a line?