Pilot Shortage: Real or Nah?
#31
As much as I'd like this to be true, classes at most the regionals are full and backlogged. It's financially justifiable nowadays to pursue it and I think there is enough desperation in the american system nowadays it drives people to take on huge risk, which the airline career is. Many of my coworkers are millennials. They are showing up in suffcient numbers but perhaps not as much as in prior generations. Still, filling the ranks is a drop in the bucket. I think 135 and the bottom barrel 121 are the only ones feeling the pinch. Will that change? Anyone's guess. The regional hiring mania of 2014-2018 has seemed to cool off.
#32
No pilot shortage, but lots of movement. Some good observations, and theories, but what anyone has failed to mention is the effect of the economy going forward. One big economic downturn and all those retirements will be matched by downsizing of the industry, and pilot hiring will slow.
#36
#37
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#39
This is why people are returning to the profession. Not all regionals have increased their pay appropriately, and they're still having trouble filling seats fast enough to replace what they lose each month. The Quality of life still hasn't improved and many bail their first year. Several still run bonus payments that leave them making less their second year than as a new hire, while the rest have finally changed the actual step pay rates.
#40
Most folks I know work to live.... not live to work.
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