Regional airlines want to axe 1500 hour rule
#21
Line Holder
Joined APC: Sep 2018
Posts: 38
The main challenge with the 1500 hour rule is the Ponzi scheme it sets up. So you're a freshly minted CFI with ~300 hours and ~200 hours dual recieved. To get to 1500 hours you need to give 6 additional students 200 hours dual instruction. Those 6 students each need 6 students, who need 6 students, who need 6 students.....20 cadets in an airline pathway program need 120 cadets to teach as instructors, and those 120 need 720, those 720 need 4,320... ad infinitum...it gets pretty unmanageable really quickly. Before you know it, every man, woman and child in the US is a flight student.
Big flight schools have always solved this problem with non-CFI producing training programs for foreign airlines. Chinese, Korean, Indian, etc. But COVID and the geopolitical turmoil has all but killed that.
I don't think that they will do away with the 1500 hour rul. There will be a new FAA Part 14X standard that comes out for an MPL license. The Europeans have been doing it for decades. Japan does it. You train for ~250 hours in airline specific training, then you move on to type training, and then you have an MPL certificate that only coverts to an ATP after you get more than 1500 hours.
Big flight schools have always solved this problem with non-CFI producing training programs for foreign airlines. Chinese, Korean, Indian, etc. But COVID and the geopolitical turmoil has all but killed that.
I don't think that they will do away with the 1500 hour rul. There will be a new FAA Part 14X standard that comes out for an MPL license. The Europeans have been doing it for decades. Japan does it. You train for ~250 hours in airline specific training, then you move on to type training, and then you have an MPL certificate that only coverts to an ATP after you get more than 1500 hours.
#22
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2019
Posts: 377
The main challenge with the 1500 hour rule is the Ponzi scheme it sets up. So you're a freshly minted CFI with ~300 hours and ~200 hours dual recieved. To get to 1500 hours you need to give 6 additional students 200 hours dual instruction. Those 6 students each need 6 students, who need 6 students, who need 6 students.....20 cadets in an airline pathway program need 120 cadets to teach as instructors, and those 120 need 720, those 720 need 4,320... ad infinitum
#23
Line Holder
Joined APC: Sep 2018
Posts: 38
#24
I have no first hand knowledge of this but I have heard that in the US there have been MCAS failures with random trim activation. The US crews quickly recognized the situation as a trim runaway and dealt with that as a memory item, de-powering the system. I personally believe that experience played a part in these accidents. Again I have no first hand knowledge but it is my personal belief that experienced US crews are much more inclined to "turn off the magic" if the airplane is not doing what it is supposed to do. Foreign crews seem to be much more reliant on automation.
I don't know, there always seems to be at least a little PFM on the bus.
#25
I don't think that they will do away with the 1500 hour rul. There will be a new FAA Part 14X standard that comes out for an MPL license. The Europeans have been doing it for decades. Japan does it. You train for ~250 hours in airline specific training, then you move on to type training, and then you have an MPL certificate that only coverts to an ATP after you get more than 1500 hours.
Because by the time they realize they need to do something it will be too late for major regulatory changes or setting up a new training infrastructure. It's easy to just rent ASEL in the US.
#26
Overseas they do that because most other countries don't HAVE a GA infrastructure which pilots can grow up in. I think here in the US, the airlines will just fund time building... that doesn't require regulatory changes, or much capital investment and they can stop doing it as soon as they don't need it any more. Either ad-hoc time building or maybe an academy format.
Because by the time they realize they need to do something it will be too late for major regulatory changes or setting up a new training infrastructure. It's easy to just rent ASEL in the US.
Because by the time they realize they need to do something it will be too late for major regulatory changes or setting up a new training infrastructure. It's easy to just rent ASEL in the US.
#27
I think this is where it will go. Once a GA pilot gets over a certain number of hours, they interview, get golden handcuffs, and then an airline will pay for time build. The airline then hires them. If not, some sort of arrangement for partial reimbursement by the pilot will have to be made.
#28
Lives in Base
Joined APC: Mar 2011
Posts: 399
The Majors created the regionals as a way of lowering cost. Cheaper pilots, flight attendants, mechanics, ground crew. Gordon Bethune said it best in a post-colgan interview:
"They're all flying airplanes, but they're not flying the kind of airplanes you are with the same kind of standards that you're flying. So, you let that (regional) operate as an independant business because other people are in that business, but you can't afford to have a lot of excess cost and still win a contract, so it makes the management be cost effective."
Part of that "cost effective" was Rebecca Shaws income at Colgan during her first year, $16,000.
If you allow management to hire 250hr pilots again, wage rates will drop.
"They're all flying airplanes, but they're not flying the kind of airplanes you are with the same kind of standards that you're flying. So, you let that (regional) operate as an independant business because other people are in that business, but you can't afford to have a lot of excess cost and still win a contract, so it makes the management be cost effective."
Part of that "cost effective" was Rebecca Shaws income at Colgan during her first year, $16,000.
If you allow management to hire 250hr pilots again, wage rates will drop.
#29
The main challenge with the 1500 hour rule is the Ponzi scheme it sets up. So you're a freshly minted CFI with ~300 hours and ~200 hours dual recieved. To get to 1500 hours you need to give 6 additional students 200 hours dual instruction. Those 6 students each need 6 students, who need 6 students, who need 6 students.....20 cadets in an airline pathway program need 120 cadets to teach as instructors, and those 120 need 720, those 720 need 4,320... ad infinitum...it gets pretty unmanageable really quickly. Before you know it, every man, woman and child in the US is a flight student.
Big flight schools have always solved this problem with non-CFI producing training programs for foreign airlines. Chinese, Korean, Indian, etc. But COVID and the geopolitical turmoil has all but killed that.
I don't think that they will do away with the 1500 hour rul. There will be a new FAA Part 14X standard that comes out for an MPL license. The Europeans have been doing it for decades. Japan does it. You train for ~250 hours in airline specific training, then you move on to type training, and then you have an MPL certificate that only coverts to an ATP after you get more than 1500 hours.
Big flight schools have always solved this problem with non-CFI producing training programs for foreign airlines. Chinese, Korean, Indian, etc. But COVID and the geopolitical turmoil has all but killed that.
I don't think that they will do away with the 1500 hour rul. There will be a new FAA Part 14X standard that comes out for an MPL license. The Europeans have been doing it for decades. Japan does it. You train for ~250 hours in airline specific training, then you move on to type training, and then you have an MPL certificate that only coverts to an ATP after you get more than 1500 hours.
#30
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2016
Posts: 354
Not to mention that pay will be cut and the whipsaw/race to the bottom of the early 2000s will be back if the 1500hr rule went away. All of us civilian folk have had to work our way through the world of aviation and building flight time. This isn't some new thing and honestly if you're willing to work, getting to 1500hrs isn't that difficult, especially right now. There's countless charter, surveying and CFI jobs out there again that can provide priceless experience to a young pilot. Go fly some airplanes in real deal IFR and get some experience before jumping into an ERJ with auto-everything.
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