Search

Notices
Regional Regional Airlines

Cujo665 what happened?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 11-25-2015 | 11:23 AM
  #31  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 3,041
Likes: 0
From: GV Captain
Default

Cujo and Tim Martins are in a meeting right now.

Good Luck!
Old 11-25-2015 | 11:27 AM
  #32  
Banned
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 8,350
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by HobGoblin
That's not how it works. If the union gets him his job back, it will be at same seniority with back pay. If not then he will never be able to work for any AAG company.
If he gets his job back it may not necessarily be with back pay. It all depends on how the arbitrator sees the situation.
Old 11-25-2015 | 11:28 AM
  #33  
iFlyRC's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 1,198
Likes: 0
Default

Y'all drink the Kool-aid, they aren't going to flow you if there is no one to replace you.
This is a problem every regional is going to have. I have a better chance getting on elsewhere with PIC time, then you do with a fraction of total time, most of it sic. You just keep waiting for that flow, maybe you'll get lucky.
Old 11-25-2015 | 11:43 AM
  #34  
Banned
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 8,350
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Skyvector
I shouldn't even respond...but here goes:

The upgrade times and flow are for NEW HIRES...PEOPLE HIRED TODAY. Not for people already on property.

Current Reserve time is based on what has happened at Envoy in THE PAST....specifically the past 2 years. 2013/2014. In any case, it is only in ORD that FOs are still on Reserve after 4 years.

Otherwise, many people bid Reserve ON PURPOSE for increased QOL and better schedules. Now why would people do that if Reserve was so horrible?

I know math is hard, but you are trying to reverse rationalize this any way you can. Anyone hired at Envoy from this year forward will NOT experience the same stagnation that people hired in the past have. Throw all the X numbers around you want. But there is no point...you guys want to argue about crap which has already been decided by American Airlines management and you think you know more than they do. I'm done. Enjoy your 5 flows/month over at PSA. Hope you can hold out for 20+ years.
But again, if Envoy has 2100+pilots (last figure I heard), thats's about 1050-1100 F/O's. If they upgrade 205-250 (depending on who you listen to) next year, that means 850-900 would have to upgrade (or leave) over the following 18 months (Jan. 2017-mid 2018) for a new-hire of today to make captain in 2.5 years. Sure, there will be some outside attrition moving things along a little, but the 18-month post 2016 upgrade schedule would have to be well over double and almost triple 2016's and more importantly Envoy would have to reel in an equal number of new-hires from 2017 thru mid 2018 (no attrition impact there) and that just looks to be way too optimistic. Remember, the flow is linked to that part of the equation and additionally, it requires AA to replace every retiring pilot with no contraction.

I just don't see these numbers and claims adding up despite how desperately some want them to.
Old 11-25-2015 | 12:02 PM
  #35  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 699
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by eaglefly

I just don't see these numbers and claims adding up despite how desperately some want them to.
And, don't forget that we are already a couple months in to that 2.5 year prediction. So it really isn't 30 months anymore, but probably in the range of 27-28 months. That is a lot of movement in the next 27 months.
Old 11-25-2015 | 01:54 PM
  #36  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 675
Likes: 20
Default

They only have to average 34 upgrades a month for the next 27 months if the 2.5/5 is going to come true. Shouldn't be an issue with all the vacancies they consistently put out..
Old 11-25-2015 | 02:29 PM
  #37  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 3,494
Likes: 297
From: 737 FO
Default

Do you have any idea the logistics of 34 upgrades a month for 27 months? Has anyone considered the unlikely ability to keep enough check airmen around for this kind of movement? Anyone choosing an airline based on loose projections and fuzzy math in this day and age deserves what they get. While I think things will improve dramatically, the numbers you guys are touting are pure fantasy.
Old 11-25-2015 | 02:53 PM
  #38  
Banned
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 8,350
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by word302
Do you have any idea the logistics of 34 upgrades a month for 27 months? Has anyone considered the unlikely ability to keep enough check airmen around for this kind of movement? Anyone choosing an airline based on loose projections and fuzzy math in this day and age deserves what they get. While I think things will improve dramatically, the numbers you guys are touting are pure fantasy.
Unless Envoy puts that many in new-hire classes on a monthly average each and every month, it shrinks. If Envoy shrinks, how do they even HAVE a need for 34 upgrades a month as they will be incrimentally smaller every succeeding month requiring less captains ?

If the numbers don't add up, how valid is the information and if the information is in question, how questionable is the credibility of the source claiming that information ?

Caveat Emptor.
Old 11-25-2015 | 03:19 PM
  #39  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 439
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by FirstClass
I sense a lot of anger and tone in your post and I would encourage you to use words that help and not hurt.

If I understand you correctly, you are saying a new hire that is hired today will upgrade in 2.5 years? I'll accept that if you can tell me how many more years the FO's on reserve in ORD for the last 4+ years will have to wait to be Captain? Will they be upgrading in 2016?
I'll chime in here. His words were meant to help, hence him explaining the rationalization behind 2.5/6 that certain dense people can't understand. To recap for the millionth time, it's a PROJECTION. Choose to believe it if you like to or not but the math adds up (I would give or take a couple months obviously, my crystal ball is broken.)

That being said, I cannot tell you how many more years until a 4 year RSV FO sees a CA position. Again, it's a projection. By running quick numbers from my end, I would say a year to a year and a half.

So...did those words help and not hurt, my sensitive little PSA friend? Why don't you focus your anger at PDT where they're advertising a 3 to 5 year flow to AA. I'm sorry, but those numbers (especially 3 years) are laughable if looking at a flow of 3/month.
Old 11-25-2015 | 04:24 PM
  #40  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 238
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by sublime259
I'll chime in here. His words were meant to help, hence him explaining the rationalization behind 2.5/6 that certain dense people can't understand. To recap for the millionth time, it's a PROJECTION. Choose to believe it if you like to or not but the math adds up (I would give or take a couple months obviously, my crystal ball is broken.)

That being said, I cannot tell you how many more years until a 4 year RSV FO sees a CA position. Again, it's a projection. By running quick numbers from my end, I would say a year to a year and a half.

So...did those words help and not hurt, my sensitive little PSA friend? Why don't you focus your anger at PDT where they're advertising a 3 to 5 year flow to AA. I'm sorry, but those numbers (especially 3 years) are laughable if looking at a flow of 3/month.
PDT flowing in 3 years is no more laughable than Envoy's 2.5/6. After all, it's a projection, right?

For the 2.5/6 to work, 34 upgrades per month, every month, for the next year and beyond are the numbers needed to make it happen at Envoy. Unfortunately, that's laughable.
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
CPSFO
Your Photos and Videos
3
10-26-2011 10:10 PM
Spin
Hangar Talk
6
03-16-2011 04:24 PM
got2fly
Money Talk
6
02-21-2011 03:15 PM
pattupilot
Flight Schools and Training
10
01-24-2011 05:29 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices