Recent base assignments
02-28-2018 | 05:44 AM
#121
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 190
Likes: 0
From: 737
My classmates and I were booked at our hotel for 55 consecutive nights, and I had a few off in the middle while other took and passed their type-rating verbal exams. Thankfully, I had that out of the way at a prior job. Started early February and finished April 1, 2017.
The last "deployment" is one most everyone enjoys is captain upgrade. It's only a few weeks and results in a 40% pay increase.
02-28-2018 | 09:30 AM
#122
Line Holder
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,755
Likes: 6
I'm looking forward to upgrade too! That said, I don't see it happening anytime too soon. I think it's running about ten years right now. At this moment I'm just happy to be on second year pay!
02-28-2018 | 09:57 AM
#123
Gets Weekend Reserve
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,259
Likes: 240
From: B737CA
Some things to keep in mind:
- Your current company-wide seniority in percentage and the rate of change.
- Bottom captain upgrades which are currently going at 60-61% company-wide seniority.
- Current and forecast hiring.
- Number of retirements.
People upgrading now have indeed waited about 10 years. I truly don’t think that’ll be the case for the people hired in this current wave unless they choose not to upgrade or the economy takes a sharp turn south.
02-28-2018 | 02:49 PM
#124
Furloughed Again?!
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 4,948
Likes: 109
From: Boeing 737
I love myseniority.com but I DO wish that you had the ability to show “fast growth until (date) then 1%” or something like that.
Because the predictions on there really aren’t accurate during this period of significant hiring. Nor will the significant hiring last forever. At some point they will reach the number of pilots they want on the list and go back to hiring to cover attrition.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Because the predictions on there really aren’t accurate during this period of significant hiring. Nor will the significant hiring last forever. At some point they will reach the number of pilots they want on the list and go back to hiring to cover attrition.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
02-28-2018 | 05:36 PM
#125
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 7,573
Likes: 283
From: DOWNGRADE COMPLETE: Thanks Gary. Thanks SWAPA.
I love myseniority.com but I DO wish that you had the ability to show “fast growth until (date) then 1%” or something like that.
Because the predictions on there really aren’t accurate during this period of significant hiring. Nor will the significant hiring last forever. At some point they will reach the number of pilots they want on the list and go back to hiring to cover attrition.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Because the predictions on there really aren’t accurate during this period of significant hiring. Nor will the significant hiring last forever. At some point they will reach the number of pilots they want on the list and go back to hiring to cover attrition.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
02-28-2018 | 05:41 PM
#126
Furloughed Again?!
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 4,948
Likes: 109
From: Boeing 737
No, absolutely. I know he has been doing it out of the kindness of his heart (just like the guy who made the CrewWeb app) and doesn’t charge for it. Not complaining about the product. The minute we stop hiring it will be significantly more accurate.
Just whining that without knowing how many pilots the company wants when the music stops, it’s really not possible to make upgrade estimates.
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02-28-2018 | 07:54 PM
#127
Line Holder
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 250
Likes: 10
I think if one looked at how many pilots were on property in 1993 and 2018 and divide that by 25 yrs, you would get a good average of yearly growth. That time frame has seen a few up and down cycles, as well as growth spurts.
02-28-2018 | 11:00 PM
#128
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 270
Likes: 0
From: 737 FO
03-01-2018 | 02:30 AM
#129
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 588
Likes: 0
No, absolutely. I know he has been doing it out of the kindness of his heart (just like the guy who made the CrewWeb app) and doesn’t charge for it. Not complaining about the product. The minute we stop hiring it will be significantly more accurate.
Just whining that without knowing how many pilots the company wants when the music stops, it’s really not possible to make upgrade estimates.
Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
Just whining that without knowing how many pilots the company wants when the music stops, it’s really not possible to make upgrade estimates.
Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
03-01-2018 | 04:50 AM
#130
Gets Weekend Reserve
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,259
Likes: 240
From: B737CA
With 60% being the magic number...
900 new hires per year + scheduled pilot retirements though 2021 = 2014 hires reaching 60% in the first half of 2021.
I think 2015-2016 hires will reach 60% in the first half of 2022 as Age 65 retirements accelerate in 2021 onward.
This is also not taking into account any early-outs.
There's my napkin math. The question is... being a commuter Zap, would you take the first available upgrade?
900 new hires per year + scheduled pilot retirements though 2021 = 2014 hires reaching 60% in the first half of 2021.
I think 2015-2016 hires will reach 60% in the first half of 2022 as Age 65 retirements accelerate in 2021 onward.
This is also not taking into account any early-outs.
There's my napkin math. The question is... being a commuter Zap, would you take the first available upgrade?
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