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Old 06-01-2025 | 07:54 AM
  #71  
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Originally Posted by REF 5
You said the key word. "Market development." Buying a bunch of widebodies and putting in gold plated toilets with half the airplane having mini condo's is not going to get SWA anywhere. The sucking sound of money going out the door would be staggering. Their have been many airlines like Midwest, who IMO had the best domestic product ever in scheduled service, went out of business and countless other companies that had incredible hard products but couldn't generate enough revenues to cover the cost's. To be fair, none of the airlines had a customer base as big as SWA and the network to go with it. It's a good foundation to start from. The most profitable segment of US travel right now is long haul international. No airline is making money domestically in all four quarters. Yields are strong in that segment. DAL, UAL and AAL will not sit by and let SWA slowly eat away at it's most profitable segment. They will fight SWA all the way and the have the experience and infrastructure to do it. Market development is key. They already figured out how to kill SWA the LCC domestically. Don't think for one second they'll try to do it on the international front.
So what exactly does this do for us? To my understanding it's not a true codeshare... yet, and I don't think you can even book these itineraries through SWA.com...? Is it trying to capture the reverse side of the market? That is, people booking through China Airlines and Iceland Air sites?
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Old 06-01-2025 | 08:15 AM
  #72  
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Originally Posted by PackFan1
So what exactly does this do for us? To my understanding it's not a true codeshare... yet, and I don't think you can even book these itineraries through SWA.com...? Is it trying to capture the reverse side of the market? That is, people booking through China Airlines and Iceland Air sites?
Eventually they will be booked on Southwest dot com as well. They said next year for Iceland Air. I imagine China as well.
I always thought the China 777 or 350 sitting at ONT was a weird choice. They have to find enough OE traffic to make that work.
If it bring us extra traffic from high yield stations like ONT, great. I highly doubt this one will ever exceed any PDEW limits, but if it does, even better.
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Old 06-01-2025 | 08:28 AM
  #73  
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Originally Posted by e6bpilot
Eventually they will be booked on Southwest dot com as well. They said next year for Iceland Air. I imagine China as well.
I always thought the China 777 or 350 sitting at ONT was a weird choice. They have to find enough OE traffic to make that work.
If it bring us extra traffic from high yield stations like ONT, great. I highly doubt this one will ever exceed any PDEW limits, but if it does, even better.
Precisely. More feed for them and more feed to us from them. Then hopefully the PDEW limits get exceeded if you’re smellin’ what I’m cooking.
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Old 06-01-2025 | 08:33 AM
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Originally Posted by e6bpilot
Eventually they will be booked on Southwest dot com as well. They said next year for Iceland Air. I imagine China as well.
I always thought the China 777 or 350 sitting at ONT was a weird choice. They have to find enough OE traffic to make that work.
If it bring us extra traffic from high yield stations like ONT, great. I highly doubt this one will ever exceed any PDEW limits, but if it does, even better.
Do you think we’ll eventually get to a codeshare with these? Or is this just testing the waters
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Old 06-01-2025 | 09:14 AM
  #75  
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Originally Posted by PackFan1
Do you think we’ll eventually get to a codeshare with these? Or is this just testing the waters
At some point these will turn into Code Shares. Until SWA turns on assign seating/ELR, their is no benefit for any of these partnerships to expand until then. They are definitely testing the waters for sure with no risk. Perfect scenario. There is another 48 or so on the list. Never thought I would be reading section 1 closely.
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Old 06-01-2025 | 09:18 AM
  #76  
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Originally Posted by PackFan1
Do you think we’ll eventually get to a codeshare with these? Or is this just testing the waters
That's the big question. I wish I knew. Right now these partnerships seem very tenuous, and this pilot group has seen partnerships like these fall apart in the past (Volaris) without ever realizing any real benefit. Without codeshare, it doesn't feel like it's completely solid. I imagine there are about 100 things that have to happen prior to something like that taking place, though, and we don't see any of it.
If this does end up working out, I am sure they would love to start heading in that direction. Watterson is a big fan of expanding the brand through partnerships. SWA is a big ship with a tiny rudder, though.
Like Ref mentioned, you can't just buy a bunch of 787s and start selling flights to markets where you have zero customers. This is definitely a precursor to any expansion in that arena. Time will tell if it works out.
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Old 06-01-2025 | 10:19 AM
  #77  
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Originally Posted by WHACKMASTER
Precisely. More feed for them and more feed to us from them. Then hopefully the PDEW limits get exceeded if you’re smellin’ what I’m cooking.
Based on the current schedule, China Airlines total seats per day to United States is average of 1625 (some flights are not daily, so I averaged). Can't show my work to post here but ChatGPT will give you the info pretty easily.

Far International Pacific Region PDEW limit is 875 per day. So we're never going to exceed that with just an interline agreement with CI. Hopefully we can grab some of Delta Air Lines traffic and start expanding our customer base.

The Atlantic region is much more interesting. PDEW limit is 375. Based on a graphic I'm looking at on SWAPA and the definition of Atlantic region in the contract, the Atlantic region includes the Middle East. So one more European partner and one ME3 partner (which we will need if we are going to met customers where they are at per BJ) and we'd have a good shot at exceeding that PDEW limitation, plus we have aircraft that can service some of the Atlantic region destinations.
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Old 06-01-2025 | 10:23 AM
  #78  
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Originally Posted by e6bpilot
Like Zap said, I highly doubt this is indicative of anything other than having the ability to do something later. If you look at the vector the company has been on since 2013, they will eventually start serving destinations north and south of what they are doing now as well as have the ability to take over flying east and west that is part of codeshare/partnerships that exceeds pilot CBA limits.
In other words...nothing to see here. For now.
JetBlue is doing London, Paris, Madrid with a 321. We can easily do it in the Max from BWI. Would need something bigger to go much further east or a NE jumping spot.
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Old 06-01-2025 | 10:37 AM
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Originally Posted by flyguy81
JetBlue is doing London, Paris, Madrid with a 321. We can easily do it in the Max from BWI. Would need something bigger to go much further east or a NE jumping spot.
JetBlue is getting killed on those flights. They have pared them way back. All of the city pairs they chose are super competitive and it's a lot easier to spread the costs of operating those cities to a lot of seats.
I wouldn't be surprised if they quietly walked away from most of that flying with the united agreement.
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Old 06-01-2025 | 11:52 AM
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Originally Posted by Proximity
Based on the current schedule, China Airlines total seats per day to United States is average of 1625 (some flights are not daily, so I averaged). Can't show my work to post here but ChatGPT will give you the info pretty easily.

Far International Pacific Region PDEW limit is 875 per day. So we're never going to exceed that with just an interline agreement with CI. Hopefully we can grab some of Delta Air Lines traffic and start expanding our customer base.

The Atlantic region is much more interesting. PDEW limit is 375. Based on a graphic I'm looking at on SWAPA and the definition of Atlantic region in the contract, the Atlantic region includes the Middle East. So one more European partner and one ME3 partner (which we will need if we are going to met customers where they are at per BJ) and we'd have a good shot at exceeding that PDEW limitation, plus we have aircraft that can service some of the Atlantic region destinations.
is PDEW a measure of passengers who originate or continue on SWA metal or of total passengers flying in a particular market?
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