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Spirit of NKS, Part II

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Old 12-26-2015 | 01:08 PM
  #2291  
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Anybody know what happened in LGA this morning?

http://m.nydailynews.com/new-york/pa...icle-1.2477372
Old 12-26-2015 | 01:23 PM
  #2292  
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New guy here at Spirit. Just curious what this trip averaging thing is? Sounds like something I'm going to learn to hate.


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Old 12-26-2015 | 04:42 PM
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Originally Posted by by the numbers
A lot of talk about upgrades, here are some figures.



There's two ways to look at the upgrade, both with their own faults.

First, based on upgrade classes.
There are 1350 pilots, with the most junior CA award for Feb. being around seniority 760. That leaves around 600 pilots waiting to upgrade. Upgrade classes are currently 14/month. 600 / 14 is about 42-43 months to upgrade.

This assumes that the class sizes don't change either up or down and more senior FOs who bypassed now take the upgrade.

The second way
Look at the % seniority which pilots are taking the upgrade. Currently it is around 56% on the seniority list. If that trend continues, there will need to be about 2400 pilots on property before the most junior FO (#1350) upgrades. With net growth around 30 pilots/month that will be around 35-36 months.

This assumes attrition doesn't increase and the % relative upgrade seniority doesn't change. It also doesn't include those who have bypassed upgrade.

In short, if current hiring and upgrade classes continue, it will be a 3 to 4 year upgrade vs. 2 years and 9 months it is currently.
Third way to get an estimate: amount of captains per Airplane.
I believe we have 79 airplanes. For 1350 pilots. That's about 17 pilots per plane. Or 8.5 captains per plane.
If there are 594 fo's waiting to upgrade, number 594 needs 70 aircraft on property to upgrade. From 79 that's 149 airplanes.
Old 12-26-2015 | 05:12 PM
  #2294  
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Originally Posted by by the numbers
A lot of talk about upgrades, here are some figures.



There's two ways to look at the upgrade, both with their own faults.

First, based on upgrade classes.
There are 1350 pilots, with the most junior CA award for Feb. being around seniority 760. That leaves around 600 pilots waiting to upgrade. Upgrade classes are currently 14/month. 600 / 14 is about 42-43 months to upgrade.

This assumes that the class sizes don't change either up or down and more senior FOs who bypassed now take the upgrade.

The second way
Look at the % seniority which pilots are taking the upgrade. Currently it is around 56% on the seniority list. If that trend continues, there will need to be about 2400 pilots on property before the most junior FO (#1350) upgrades. With net growth around 30 pilots/month that will be around 35-36 months.

This assumes attrition doesn't increase and the % relative upgrade seniority doesn't change. It also doesn't include those who have bypassed upgrade.

In short, if current hiring and upgrade classes continue, it will be a 3 to 4 year upgrade vs. 2 years and 9 months it is currently.
Back to 6 planned CUG for next month. I would say the average CUG size going forward will be closer to 8-10 month. keep in mind we are only scheduled to net 8 airplanes in 2018 and 6 in 2020 so late next year things will slow down a bit.
Old 12-26-2015 | 05:15 PM
  #2295  
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Originally Posted by cynicalaviator
Third way to get an estimate: amount of captains per Airplane.
I believe we have 79 airplanes. For 1350 pilots. That's about 17 pilots per plane. Or 8.5 captains per plane.
If there are 594 fo's waiting to upgrade, number 594 needs 70 aircraft on property to upgrade. From 79 that's 149 airplanes.
That's some pretty impressive cyphering. Care to take a stab at A320 cruise speed in furlongs / fortnight? How about parsecs / jiffy?
Old 12-26-2015 | 07:44 PM
  #2296  
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Originally Posted by TrojanCMH
New guy here at Spirit. Just curious what this trip averaging thing is? Sounds like something I'm going to learn to hate.


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A good example that someone showed me was:
Let's say you have a 2 day where you fly;
Day 1: 7 hours
Day 2: 1 hour

This two day is paid at 9 hours.
Highest of;
A- Block hours (8)
B- Duty periods (4.5x2=9)

You should be paid
Day 1: 7hrs
Day 2: 4.5hrs
Total: 11.5 Hours
Old 12-26-2015 | 07:58 PM
  #2297  
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Originally Posted by Plane Ramrod
Most politically AWESOME post ever.
I see what you did there!
Old 12-27-2015 | 07:42 AM
  #2298  
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Originally Posted by TrojanCMH
New guy here at Spirit. Just curious what this trip averaging thing is? Sounds like something I'm going to learn to hate.


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Way back in the stone ages (pre 2003), we were paid 4 hours per calendar day or what we flew if over 4 hours per calendar day.

The then owner, Dr. Jacob Schorr who inherited the CBA from the founder, didn't like paying a pilot 8 hours for a red eye turn from ACY. In CBA 2003, he demanded that he be allowed to pay for a duty day vs a calendar day. The NC attempted to build a system that was equivalent to CBA1999 for multi duty period pairings, but which didn't pay twice for single duty period. Ever since, the CBA has allowed the company to pay "the greater of" flight time, trip rip, or min per duty period (including an additional duty period for any RON longer than 22 hours).

Over the years, the company has learned how to build pairings that minimize the amount of credit for a pairing. If you study each pairing, you'll see that the pairings pay the least of each parameter.

Some will argue that we get block or better, which is basically true FOR THE PAIRING. What they don't realize is that the the "gotcha" is in the way the pairing is constructed. If you fly 18.5 during a 18 scheduled four day, you do get the 18.5, BUT under the old way, you'd likely have credited 22. Only when compared to a true calendar day guarantee do you realize how much the average costs us.

There used to be a Spirit pilot who posted here who had a great technical explanation of just how the pairings have evolved to where they are now, maybe he will jump in.

I'll say this, if you like four day pairings with one three leg day, one one leg day, one 21 hour sit and another long day, you'll love trip averaging.
Old 12-27-2015 | 07:57 AM
  #2299  
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Originally Posted by skybolt
Way back in the stone ages (pre 2003), we were paid 4 hours per calendar day or what we flew if over 4 hours per calendar day.

The then owner, Dr. Jacob Schorr who inherited the CBA from the founder, didn't like paying a pilot 8 hours for a red eye turn from ACY. In CBA 2003, he demanded that he be allowed to pay for a duty day vs a calendar day. The NC attempted to build a system that was equivalent to CBA1999 for multi duty period pairings, but which didn't pay twice for single duty period. Ever since, the CBA has allowed the company to pay "the greater of" flight time, trip rip, or min per duty period (including an additional duty period for any RON longer than 22 hours).

Over the years, the company has learned how to build pairings that minimize the amount of credit for a pairing. If you study each pairing, you'll see that the pairings pay the least of each parameter.

Some will argue that we get block or better, which is basically true FOR THE PAIRING. What they don't realize is that the the "gotcha" is in the way the pairing is constructed. If you fly 18.5 during a 18 scheduled four day, you do get the 18.5, BUT under the old way, you'd likely have credited 22. Only when compared to a true calendar day guarantee do you realize how much the average costs us.

There used to be a Spirit pilot who posted here who had a great technical explanation of just how the pairings have evolved to where they are now, maybe he will jump in.

I'll say this, if you like four day pairings with one three leg day, one one leg day, one 21 hour sit and another long day, you'll love trip averaging.
Nice explanation. Something to make sure we work on.
Old 12-27-2015 | 10:58 AM
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http://fortune.com/2015/12/07/worst-airline-customer-service/

"Getting better all the time!"

Now, where's our GOD------ contract
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