Scott Says Pilot Shortage Looming

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Quote: Thinking as a union member- dues paying pilot for over 30 years.... Deregulation delayed and stunted many a career.
And it created many more.

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13 out of 17 US Airlines that were operational in 1978 were gone by 1986.
Pretty sure you're rolling mergers and acquisitions into that, because the only airlines I can think of off the top of my head that totally disappeared over that timeframe were Frontier and Braniff.

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I would say the DRA was very negative towards the profession of career professional airline pilots. Wages stagnated: bad. Wages went backwards; bad. Work rules reduced/eliminated: bad. Retirements stolen: bad. Airlines bankrupt: bad.
The growth of jobs in the low cost/discount sector is noted. However, the effect to the career professional pilot, of which I am one, was bad. One of the stated purposes and goals of deregulation was to take away power from pilot unions and give the economic advantage to managements. I would say that as an ALPA pilot....That is one goal I can never accept as a goal of my government. I pay taxes and union dues. Anyone wants to pick my pocket and I am paying their salary, I got a big problem with that. As far as I am concerned, Jimmy Carter, picked the airline pilots pockets with false promises to the public for cheaper air fare. Carter couldn't "mandate" any sort of pricing.
How did the Deregulation Act pick anyone's pocket? It opened the industry up to market forces. As you noted, there were a lot of negatives that went along with that, but it also enabled the creation of a lot of good jobs. Circling back to the OP, we're hopefully seeing upward pressure on pilot wages to attract qualified applicants to the profession. Unfortunately, it's too late for either one of us, but we both had good runs.
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Eastern.....
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Quote: Eastern.....
'89 strike... '91 ceased operations. Pan Am also went out of business, so both were arguably casualties of deregulation after '86. I'm not saying it was pretty. The 80s were no doubt a blood bath in the aftermath of deregulation. I'm merely agreeing with the poster who stated many of those railing against it wouldn't have pilot jobs if the market expansion hadn't occurred. Yes, those who had jobs would have better jobs if the airlines were still regulated by the CAB. Does anyone really think that would have survived the last four decades?
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Quote: 3255182]Really? Such examples also fail to look at overall global economics. Right or wrong, that is a more significant player than the last name of the sitting POTUS.

But believe what you do. We had energy independence under Trump. Why have I ferried 10k of fuel to land just below MLW at DEN twice on this trip I completed today.

Economic trends which are not owned by one POTUS but likely the prior are what they are. That said, we had energy independence under Trump. I lived thru the OPEC embargo years. Destroyed the economy country wide. Covid obviously added a whole new variable to the normal equation. Shut the economies of states and the world……

Hopefully NEVER again.

Go tilt at your wind turbine and explain how that works in ice/snow………. Or whatever you’re trying to say.

Personally I can’t believe we are going down the track you are. My F150 has a 36 gallon gas tank. I can go 750 plus miles on one tank. F150 lightening can go 300 with a tailwind on a good day. That’s not loaded…….

Maybe 100 with a trailer for a lightening. We ain’t there. Also takes 24 hours to recharge….. Useful on a 1200 mile trip with trailer????

Best contract is what we can get when planes are full and people are flying……that takes economic growth not folks getting payouts from the government.

Pray for a competent POTUS and not one that whispers to us like he’s my grandfather. He’s gone IMO and that scares me……

This country is going to hit a wall regarding tolerance for “woke” etc. I for one fear that time. Hello Rome 2021
That electric F-150 goes 300 miles on the energy equivalent of 2 gallons of gas.

How far did a 1970’s for pick up go on a full tank of gas? About…. 300 miles. And we won’t need 40+ years to get there with electric trucks/vehicles. The battery technology is evolving by the day.

It doesn’t take 24 hours to recharge,unless you’re doing it from a 110 outlet. I commute exactly 269 miles to work in my Tesla, and it takes me 25 minutes of charging to make the round trip. You don’t need to “fill er up” you give it just enough charge to get where you’re going, then get a full charge when you’re there.

Quote: 3254805[/color]]This. Back to it.....this is a fun topic. Guessing the order is 100-150 Max (to go with the 100 orders we already have), 100 Airbus NEOs (we already have an order for 45 321 XLRs), 50 787s, 25 777x. The GE 777 fix is a year away, and when they return you have a 20-25 year old airframe that has sat a year. Maybe Boeing threw them a bone to get orders of the 777X going.

I doubt SK will bring in a NSNB at this time as we still have a lot of parked Buses. Might be thinking long term: international market share, retiring older NBs.
Boeing just got pecker slapped again, don’t expect the 777x to be along for a long time.

https://www.foxbusiness.com/industri...e-mid-2023-faa
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Quote: And it created many more.

Pretty sure you're rolling mergers and acquisitions into that, because the only airlines I can think of off the top of my head that totally disappeared over that timeframe were Frontier and Braniff.

How did the Deregulation Act pick anyone's pocket? It opened the industry up to market forces.
Check the list. It's a big one.

If you favor what Frank Lorenzo did, then I guess you aren't a union pilot.

The decade of excess in the 80's was producing commerce no matter what.

Deregulation and the unscrupulous and unchecked union busters who destroyed the post WWII gains of pilot unions, unionized pilot labor, and pilot contracts STARTED THE RACE TO THE BOTTOM. FACT!

Producing crappy paying pilot jobs is a bad thing. (in the mind of most professional union pilots).

Proponents of deregulation are generally in favor of lower paying pilot wages and the degradation of the career and the profession.

Question: Would you rather be flying a plane for 50 bucks and hour or 350 bucks an hour?

If you're a pilot, then you should know the answer to that question.

It really didn't open it up to market forces. If that were true, then the advantage would not have been squarely on the side of management. Pilots lost with managements, they lost with bankruptcy courts, they lost with mergers, seniority lists, forced arbitrations. The deck was stacked against pilots. If management has a totally unfair advantage over labor, then market forces really cannot be fairly equalized or offset.

Carter and Kennedy assumed market forces would force more competition and lower fares. They didn't see that management had such an advantage over labor. Ironic isn't it. For a party to "favor labor" as it does. It most assuredly picked the pockets of Eastern pilots, Braniff, Frontier, CAL, UAL, El Al, Air Florida, Pan Am, Republic, TWA, and Word.

It was never (NEVER) a stated goal of the Carter Administration to create policy or law that was intended to DESTROY or bankrupt airlines. It was their naivety and poor understanding of the advantages that management had over labor that led to so many pilots LOSING their careers. Their homes, their livelihoods. Kahn, nor Kennedy predicted this. If they had told law makers that their policy would result in airline bankruptcies, they would not have had the votes to pass it. Their naivety was in part due to the fact that neither Kennedy, Kahn, nor Carter had a good understanding of interstate commerce.
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Quote: Government employees do not have the right to strike against the government. It's the law. Reagan warned them. He tried to put them on the right path.
We've been trying to "take it back" ever since Jimmy Carter put a gun to our heads and actually pulled the trigger. Every contractual "take back" was the result of years of negotiating "incrementally."

Clueless Joe, Dumb old man Joe, Goofy Joe. Joe don't know. Whatever you want to call him, he's been in government for 40 years. Where was he in 1978 when his good buddy Jimmy Carter killed the airline profession? Joe doesn't care about airline pilots. He wants to kill us with his onerous tax policy. We may get a 10% pay raise, but we'll get a 25% increase in taxes. Ridin with Bidin is just dumb. Go back and learn about his pappy, Jimmy Carter. No difference. Wait for Putin to come and pick Joe's pocket. Iran, NK, Russia, China. They all love a democrat in office. Why? Weakness abroad. Weak foreign policy.

it's all about socialism and high taxes. Ridin with dummie Bidin....Ok, you can do that by yourself. Jimmy Carter a democrat killed this profession. Why do we need to take it back for the last 40 years? Why? Because democrats put their nose where it doesn't belong. They don't understand commerce. NAFTA...Lets talk about that. Come on, cat got your tongue?
I'm no fan of deregulation, but wasn't the government airline regulatory framework "big government"? And, correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't Carter take the government OUT of the business of picking the winners and the losers? How can you be on both sides of this argument?

Merle
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Quote: I'm no fan of deregulation, but wasn't the government airline regulatory framework "big government"? And, correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't Carter take the government OUT of the business of picking the winners and the losers? How can you be on both sides of this argument?

Merle
I am definitely NOT on both sides of deregulation. I am on the side of the professional dues paying union member pilot.
1. Carter's legislation was called "Deregulation." It didn't actually do that. That was a bait and switch. it removed regulation in some areas only.

2. Carter did not predict the cannabalistic and cut-throat nature that management teams would take in playing pilots against pilots and in devaluing the profession. Carter sought only to increase competition as a way to force competitotrs to lower fares.

3. The post deregulation era created strife in the ranks of labor. Traditionally, labor, and orgaqnized labor would be on the side of the democrat. However, Carter's legislation squarely took aim at organized labor. Thousands of dues paying pilot jobs were cut. Strikes ensued, which resulted in something called "SCABBING."

4. Deregulation created scabbing in the industry.

5. Deregulation started the race to the bottom

6. Deregulation empowered the likes of Frank Lorenzo and made him larger than life.

Interesting words from a liberal paper: Now a days, History says Carter's deregulation is bad.

https://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-e...208-story.html

The words "remove regulations" does have the same meaning as Airline Deregulation Act.

Look at NAFTA. Look at how it was marketed. The North American Free Trade Agreement is anything but free trade. Another bad idea from a bad democrat.
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Quote: Another bad idea from a bad democrat.
Point of order - the NAFTA was negotiated almost in its entirety during the administration of Bush the Elder (it might actually have been Reagan’s idea for all I know). Clinton just got to take the “credit” for getting it ratified. How do I know? A friend of mine at the time while I was living in DC worked at the USTR, and he was pretty upset to see credit going where it was not due.
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Quote: Point of order - the NAFTA was negotiated almost in its entirety during the administration of Bush the Elder (it might actually have been Reagan’s idea for all I know). Clinton just got to take the “credit” for getting it ratified. How do I know? A friend of mine at the time while I was living in DC worked at the USTR, and he was pretty upset to see credit going where it was not due.
another point re NAFTA. One of the primary motivators for NAFTA was to save the US automotive industry from Japanese competition by allowing lower cost sourcing from near shore locations in Mexico and Canada.
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All excellent points on the pilots shortage.
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