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Old 04-02-2015 | 03:57 PM
  #31  
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From: CRJ700/900, First Officer
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Originally Posted by jsled
Are there vacancies in that Category? If so, add the vacancies and do the math again as if you were the most junior of the vacancy awards...that should do it. It's like a worse case scenario.
Yes (70 to be exact, looking at DCA 756 FO). Earlier today it was showing 219 as the total number of pilots in the category, but tonight it's down to 165 or so, and my percentage is suddenly accurate. Clear as mud and obviously I'll have to check it daily.
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Old 04-03-2015 | 02:00 PM
  #32  
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From: guppy CA
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Originally Posted by Andy
If you look at the last vacancy bid, there was a lot of changes in the numbers throughout the snapshot period and the award was a bit different than what was advertised.

The first snapshot's out. So far (copy/paste, no names):
DCA 320 FO 3 AWARDS 48 UNFILLED
DCA 737 CA 15 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
DCA 737 FO 10 AWARDS 7 UNFILLED
DCA 756 CA 15 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
DCA 756 FO 21 AWARDS 57 UNFILLED
EWR 737 FO 4 AWARDS 49 UNFILLED
EWR 756 FO 11 AWARDS 34 UNFILLED
EWR 76T CA 10 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
IAH 320 FO 23 AWARDS 27 UNFILLED
LAX 737 FO 4 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
LAX 756 CA 12 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
LAX 756 FO 19 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
SFO 737 FO 24 AWARDS 29 UNFILLED

It is extremely likely that numbers will change before the final award.
I didn't post the second snapshot; here's FOs only for the third snapshot (All CA slots are and will be filled) for poolies:


DCA 320 FO 5 AWARDS 48 UNFILLED
DCA 737 FO 14 AWARDS 4 UNFILLED
DCA 756 FO 34 AWARDS 43 UNFILLED
EWR 737 FO 6 AWARDS 49 UNFILLED
EWR 756 FO 11 AWARDS 39 UNFILLED
IAH 320 FO 31 AWARDS 24 UNFILLED
LAX 737 FO 8 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
LAX 756 FO 18 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
SFO 737 FO 29 AWARDS 26 UNFILLED
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Old 04-03-2015 | 07:18 PM
  #33  
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Wow, napkin math says 250 unfilled seats. Bring on the retirements and new hires!
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Old 04-04-2015 | 05:31 AM
  #34  
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Originally Posted by Grumble
Wow, napkin math says 250 unfilled seats. Bring on the retirements and new hires!
They need unfilled to put the new hires somewhere.

Though I am curious why the bump up hiring for the rest of the year. We don't have that many retirements yet. Planned hiring is almost triple of that. Could they sctually be planning for growth? Or just getting ahead of the curve?

Dc
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Old 04-04-2015 | 05:43 AM
  #35  
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Originally Posted by C11DCA
They need unfilled to put the new hires somewhere.

Though I am curious why the bump up hiring for the rest of the year. We don't have that many retirements yet. Planned hiring is almost triple of that. Could they sctually be planning for growth? Or just getting ahead of the curve?

Dc
The word from the schoolhouse is they are getting ahead of the curve.
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Old 04-04-2015 | 06:15 AM
  #36  
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There are plans for 20 more airframes on property by year end. My understanding is (reference 14Q4 conference call) that they are planning to grow by same percentage as the economy. So roughly 2%. So just to grow that amount plus retirements plus the shift from small regional jets to larger ones and Taking the larger regional jets route and putting those onto mailine it comes out to ~900 per year by the follow cave man math:
~400 retirements
~300 for growth
~200 medical/mil/early outs
The Airbus fleet has been under utilized last few years because of mods (wifi,slim line, mx) so some of the growth is airframes utilization.

On a side note the airline doesn't really have to grow for us to see an uptick in hiring. "Upgauging" the airframes will push more flying onto property.

At any rate as a realrivitly jr pilot I hope for 2-3 years of this type of hiring.
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Old 04-06-2015 | 02:01 PM
  #37  
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From: guppy CA
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Originally Posted by Andy
I didn't post the second snapshot; here's FOs only for the third snapshot (All CA slots are and will be filled) for poolies:


DCA 320 FO 5 AWARDS 48 UNFILLED
DCA 737 FO 14 AWARDS 4 UNFILLED
DCA 756 FO 34 AWARDS 43 UNFILLED
EWR 737 FO 6 AWARDS 49 UNFILLED
EWR 756 FO 11 AWARDS 39 UNFILLED
IAH 320 FO 31 AWARDS 24 UNFILLED
LAX 737 FO 8 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
LAX 756 FO 18 AWARDS 0 UNFILLED
SFO 737 FO 29 AWARDS 26 UNFILLED
6 Apr snapshot. I'll just post the unfilled positions for poolies:

DCA 320 FO 6 AWARDS 51 UNFILLED
DCA 737 FO 14 AWARDS 3 UNFILLED
DCA 756 FO 50 AWARDS 27 UNFILLED
EWR 737 FO 6 AWARDS 55 UNFILLED
EWR 756 FO 12 AWARDS 48 UNFILLED
IAH 320 FO 37 AWARDS 18 UNFILLED
SFO 737 FO 34 AWARDS 25 UNFILLED
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Old 04-06-2015 | 09:52 PM
  #38  
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Originally Posted by 82spukram
There are plans for 20 more airframes on property by year end. My understanding is (reference 14Q4 conference call) that they are planning to grow by same percentage as the economy. So roughly 2%. So just to grow that amount plus retirements plus the shift from small regional jets to larger ones and Taking the larger regional jets route and putting those onto mailine it comes out to ~900 per year by the follow cave man math:
~400 retirements
~300 for growth
~200 medical/mil/early outs
The Airbus fleet has been under utilized last few years because of mods (wifi,slim line, mx) so some of the growth is airframes utilization.

On a side note the airline doesn't really have to grow for us to see an uptick in hiring. "Upgauging" the airframes will push more flying onto property.

At any rate as a realrivitly jr pilot I hope for 2-3 years of this type of hiring.
Only seat/mile growth, no advertised block hour growth. No additional pilots needed for this growth. Mil/medical/early outs? Also returning from mil/medical. Net probably low double digits.

400 retirements. Yep.

Not sure why so much hiring. Could they be planning actual block hour growth? Who knows. Hopefully.

No advertised block hour growth.
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Old 04-06-2015 | 11:16 PM
  #39  
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From: guppy CA
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Originally Posted by Probe
Only seat/mile growth, no advertised block hour growth. No additional pilots needed for this growth. Mil/medical/early outs? Also returning from mil/medical. Net probably low double digits.

400 retirements. Yep.

Not sure why so much hiring. Could they be planning actual block hour growth? Who knows. Hopefully.

No advertised block hour growth.
Net addition of 21 aircraft in 2015. Are you saying that we'll fly each aircraft less hours?
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Old 04-07-2015 | 05:25 AM
  #40  
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According to United press releases, yes. We will fly them less.

We are keeping all 763's a while longer, probably due to 117 crew issues flying across the Atlantic with lCAL 757's. They will just fly other aircraft with less daily utilization. That is the only reason we are growing airframes. We were planning on retiring most of them.

At least that is according to the company. The plan could change tomorrow morning, or afternoon, or evening, and then we could actually grow. Or not.

According to UAL press releases, we are only growing due to the increase in RJ size and slimline seats in Buses and Guppies.

Check back in 4-6 hours for the latest update.

Hopefully we WILL grow.
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