Yeah I think this bid will probably go very junior, and start trending up from here, albeit slowly. Junior captain is a miserable existence here…

The wildcard is scope.

If our flying keeps going to Horizon and SkyWest upgrade times will not improve.

As of today there has been no indication that we will not continue to lose our flying to regional airlines.


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Airbus CA will go junior, much more junior than Boeing. Those already displaced off Boeing don't have any incentive to bid back Airbus and go through another 2-3 month training cycle. And those who do bid Airbus must know they’ll be displaced in 12-18 months.

You guys really think this bid will actually happen? Southwest is already reporting bookings are falling off, yeah I know end of summer and all, but unfortunately with cases on the rise and the media frothing at the mouth over covid again, I don’t see Alaska following through with this bid.

very good point

I just hope I’m still a line holder next year. My seniority in base gets worse every month. By next year I’ll be back on reserve if the current trend continues.


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I'm just curious why they'd put out the bid in the first place if there's so much uncertainty about the future?

And they did so even in the midst of the Delta variant wild fire..

Reserve here is atrocious, but I’m more concerned about having a job here by next year . If things really go south again I can’t see airline bailouts coming again.

The delta variant is no joke. However, we're only months away from under age 12 vaccine approval. Also, the corporate arm twist campaign will help bring us closer to fully vaccinated nationwide. Of further consideration is Alaska's primary customer demographic: upper middle class PNW residents. Those people weren't hurt so much by the covid economy. These aren't spirit pax using their stimmy check to take the family to Orlando. This might shape up to be a great holiday travel season for alaska airlines.

They'll know the effects of the Delta variant far from when all this training begins. I expect them to cancel the bid if things keep going on current trajectory.