that site has too much info/analysis, it’s nuts

pilots always finds something to complain about….

it’s pretty close but I’m not sure where it’s pulling data from. Must be on effective dates. Shows I can’t hold a status I’m going to, so it’s a little off but overall very close.

I saw what you describe, I believe the main data outside the “preliminary award analysis” is based off the previous final award data - and will likely be updated to the final award here soon.

it shows the most junior person in my bid status is senior to me. Weird. Unless it is using real time/relative seniority numbers.

That is a neat website, I notice that it defaults to 3% growth but is that realistic?

Go to Jetnet - Fleet and look at the delivery schedule. Until those are deferred or they announce schedule reductions it's realistic.

on a 16,000 pilot list that means we’d end the year at 16,480. I guess that conservatively means hiring 1200-1300 ish this year after retirements?

I’d say that since COVID on average the list has been expanding at least that much annually. Hopefully we stay on track.

It's closer to a 15,000 (active) pilot list so 3% is 450 per year. Ergo hiring 1200 with 750 retirements.

Assuming those 750 retirements are all “active” pilots.