Don't think we have a tool to project seniority to the number unless you're an active pilot here, but it's safe to say you'd be ~2500 by the time you retire.

You can take the age by fleet chart and add it all up, but that would take wayyyy too long. You're right, someone in their early 40s hired today is looking at around 2500 at age 65.

What about age 27?

What would 2500 be holding?

Currently, very junior WB reserve CA on the 78/77 with the current number of WBs on property in LGA/PHL and decent seniority NB CA in most of the system.

Our current retirement projections for someone getting hired here at 40+ is still much better than DAL. At least in regards to hiring for retirements and not growth. Not sure about UAL but I heard from a buddy at DAL that someone hired now in the early 40s wouldn't break 3500-4000 at DAL which is nuts.

It's all a crap shoot and no one knows what any of the airlines will look like fleet wise etc when we are all near retirement. I did what everyone before me told me to do... take the first phone call and then stay at the airline that has a domicile where you plan to live. AA was that one for me. I've been happy. Obviously, if we get more WBs which we will because Boeing owes us more and when a next gen airplane like the Boeing NMA comes or the 321XLR with some fun translant flying, I'm sure WB CA might go more junior.

For what it’s worth, I started at AA at the end of March 2022 and just turned 40 earlier this month. It shows me around 1800 at age 65.

yep. I posted these numbers in a DL thread,

someone hired today at DL will be roughly (based on the first day of the year)

10 years (2032) -9100
15 years (2037) -7200
20 years (2042) -5600
25 years (2047) -3500
30 years (2052) -1450
35 years (2057) -430
40 years (2062) -20

youngest pilot at DL retires in 2063

Sub 250. Most likely sub 2500 the last 10-12 yrs all thing being equal