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Old 01-14-2024, 01:30 PM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by onetogo View Post
disagree, but that’s cool.

the FO side is super junior with about the entire bottom 3rd of the list holding a base transfer award for the spring. On NB, no one who wants BOS is waiting. There is the BOS contingent senior enough to commute to WB FO, or NB CA. Personal preference.

NE director essentially confirmed that Airbus base will come to BOS, to include XLR flying.

so Bus is slated to come to BOS?
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Old 01-14-2024, 03:14 PM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by ACEssXfer View Post
There are many many BOS locals that commute to the WB. There are also lots of CAs that cannot hold BOS. What exactly are you disagreeing with?
there being NB FO’s ‘waiting’ to come to BOS until more senior.
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Old 01-14-2024, 04:40 PM
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Originally Posted by onetogo View Post
there being NB FO’s ‘waiting’ to come to BOS until more senior.
The OP didn’t specify CA or FO and I didn’t mention FOs.

He referenced WB or 737. There are definitely locals flying both not in BOS. Lots of them.
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Old 01-14-2024, 05:07 PM
  #54  
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Originally Posted by ACEssXfer View Post
The OP didn’t specify CA or FO and I didn’t mention FOs.
Sorry, I thought he was asking specifically re the FO side.
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Old 01-14-2024, 06:14 PM
  #55  
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Originally Posted by En Garde View Post
so Bus is slated to come to BOS?
Nope. Same as 73 PHX and PHL. Not anytime soon. Just rumor mill.
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Old 01-14-2024, 06:40 PM
  #56  
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BOS has done this several times since 1987 - locked down tight, guys start pouring in...and then it locks down again. In 5, 10, 15, 20 years the same names are still there. Guys that don't make the upgrade cutoff end up commuting to NYC for the upgrade. FO decades ago was looking into BOS "things are moving fast there!" I told him it was fools gold.

Figure out the percentage of guys retiring out of the various bases in the next couple of years. Count the total of sub x thousand seniority numbers (10,000?). That's the new blood. Is there more new blood in the base then Captains that are going to retire in the next x years? How many new Captains that have more than x (10, 15, 20?) years to retirement? That might give you some inisight into the upgrade vs stagnation possibilities. Run imaginary 3XP's in 3, 5, 10 years after subtracting the future retirements. What does that show?

It's hard to predict the future but looking at data might be able to give you some insight.
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Old 01-14-2024, 08:19 PM
  #57  
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Originally Posted by Sliceback View Post
BOS has done this several times since 1987 - locked down tight, guys start pouring in...and then it locks down again. In 5, 10, 15, 20 years the same names are still there. Guys that don't make the upgrade cutoff end up commuting to NYC for the upgrade. FO decades ago was looking into BOS "things are moving fast there!" I told him it was fools gold.

Figure out the percentage of guys retiring out of the various bases in the next couple of years. Count the total of sub x thousand seniority numbers (10,000?). That's the new blood. Is there more new blood in the base then Captains that are going to retire in the next x years? How many new Captains that have more than x (10, 15, 20?) years to retirement? That might give you some inisight into the upgrade vs stagnation possibilities. Run imaginary 3XP's in 3, 5, 10 years after subtracting the future retirements. What does that show?

It's hard to predict the future but looking at data might be able to give you some insight.
thanks..not on property yet so trying to gauge it best I can.

but from what your saying, probably staying a small stagnant base?
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Old 01-15-2024, 02:30 AM
  #58  
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Originally Posted by En Garde View Post
thanks..not on property yet so trying to gauge it best I can.

but from what your saying, probably staying a small stagnant base?
Yes. He's on point. BOS movement is erratic and slow.
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Old 01-15-2024, 03:26 AM
  #59  
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Originally Posted by Beech Dude View Post
Nope. Same as 73 PHX and PHL. Not anytime soon. Just rumor mill.
It's not really rumor mill. The VP of flight ops from NY just talked about it in an email. He said XLR flying will be done in BOS and a bus base will happen. He also said it isn't "weeks or months" away and that it was probably a lower priority than other new categories.
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Old 01-15-2024, 03:28 AM
  #60  
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Originally Posted by En Garde View Post
thanks..not on property yet so trying to gauge it best I can.

but from what your saying, probably staying a small stagnant base?
If you live in BOS it doesn't matter. A 20-30% bump in seniority isn't worth commuting. I'd take 90% living in base all day over 70% commuting.
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