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Old 03-25-2020, 05:58 PM   #21  
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Originally Posted by WhiskeyDelta View Post
I hear the preference is “person of size.”
Forgot about that one.
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Old 03-25-2020, 05:59 PM   #22  
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https://www.rlsmedia.com/article/coronavirus-kills-united-airlines-ewr-employee-two-others-test-positive?fbclid=IwAR3CVcMFltNN_A09P0owiGup9D-NAcNc0lpylev-seQOfyzPW7HhAQxwPlc

Deadly enough to start dropping rampers.
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Old 03-25-2020, 05:59 PM   #23  
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RE the thread title, “perception is reality”.

Quote:
Originally Posted by WhiskeyDelta View Post
I hear the preference is “person of size.”
At the rate Americans are becoming fat bastards, eventually thin people will be monikered, and labeled “person without size”
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Old 03-25-2020, 06:14 PM   #24  
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Originally Posted by snolat View Post
I heard something like 60% of all statistics are made up on the spot.
https://www.heart.org/idc/groups/hea...ucm_319587.pdf
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Old 03-26-2020, 05:15 AM   #25  
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What about “Horizontally Enhanced?”
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Old 03-26-2020, 05:31 AM   #26  
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Be nice guys....It takes wide bodies to fly wide bodies
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Old 03-26-2020, 05:44 AM   #27  
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60,000,000 = Total Italian Population
74,386 = Total number of confirmed cases
16,865 = CV19 cases requiring hospitalization
7,503 = CV19 hospitalizations that ended in death

7503/74,386 = 0.1008657543086065‬ mortality rate.
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Old 03-26-2020, 06:07 AM   #28  
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Originally Posted by drywhitetoast View Post
60,000,000 = Total Italian Population
74,386 = Total number of confirmed cases
16,865 = CV19 cases requiring hospitalization
7,503 = CV19 hospitalizations that ended in death

7503/74,386 = 0.1008657543086065‬ mortality rate.
The US CDC has estimated most people infected with COVID-19 are asymptomatic and do not have symptoms. They have also estimated this week the majority of people that are infected with it are never tested and do not seek treatment.

Italy could have millions infected with COVID, we just don’t know.

Assuming the above is correct, your estimate is likely off by several magnitudes.

Germany has done the most testing of any nation and their COVID-19 fatality rate is about 0.3-0.5%. Even with that, people that do not display symptoms are typically not tested.
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Old 03-26-2020, 06:12 AM   #29  
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Be nice guys....It takes wide bodies to fly wide bodies

Lol, single aisle wide bodies in the future...
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Old 03-26-2020, 06:12 AM   #30  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by drywhitetoast View Post
60,000,000 = Total Italian Population
74,386 = Total number of confirmed cases
16,865 = CV19 cases requiring hospitalization
7,503 = CV19 hospitalizations that ended in death

7503/74,386 = 0.1008657543086065‬ mortality rate.
Not exactly accurate, as the 74386 number is just confirmed cases, not resolved cases with a recovery or death. We wont know how many of that 74386 confirmed (actually 57,521, as the others have resolved) actually survive for another week or two. Italys real numbers for RESOLVED cases are 9362 recovered and and 7503 deaths. That looks way worse than it really is, because they obviously are only testing the most extreme cases.

tl;dr nobody actually knows this number and any claim by anyone to know the death rate of a disease that goes asymtomatic as often as corona does is mere conjecture.
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